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1. Company Snapshot

1.a. Company Description

International Consolidated Airlines Group, S.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the provision of passenger and cargo transportation services in the United Kingdom, Spain, Ireland, the United States, and rest of the world.The company operates under the British Airways, Iberia, Vueling, Aer Lingus, and LEVEL brands.It operates a fleet of 531 aircraft.


The company was incorporated in 2009 and is based in Madrid, Spain.

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1.b. Last Insights on IAG

International Consolidated Airlines Group's recent performance has been influenced by several factors. The company's Q3 earnings report revealed a 2% increase in earnings, but pre-tax profits fell due to weakness in the transatlantic market. Revenue from North Atlantic routes declined 7.1% year-over-year. Despite this, IAG's CEO expressed confidence in the company's growth initiatives. Analysts have upgraded their price targets, citing IAG's strong competitive position in the European airline sector. The company's Fair Value Estimate has also increased, reflecting improved forecasts and confidence in its market position at London Heathrow.

1.c. Company Highlights

2. IAG's Q3 2025 Earnings: Strong Revenue Performance and Margin Expansion

International Airlines Group (IAG) reported a robust third quarter 2025, with passenger revenue increasing by EUR 177 million or 2% year-over-year, driven by strong demand for travel across its network and brands. The group's operating profit increased by around 18%, and pre-exceptional profit after tax rose by approximately 20% to EUR 2.7 billion. Adjusted earnings per share increased by 27% to EUR 0.241, which was below analyst estimates of EUR 0.2809. The group's revenue performance was in line with guidance, with capacity growing by 2.4% and unit revenue declining by 2.4%, partly due to currency movements.

Publication Date: Nov -13

📋 Highlights
  • Operating Profit Growth:: Operating profit rose 18% YoY to EUR 2.7 billion, with pre-exceptional profit after tax increasing 20%.
  • Passenger Revenue Performance:: Passenger revenue grew EUR 177 million (2% YoY), while cargo revenue declined slightly due to prior-year Red Sea disruption comparisons.
  • Subsidiary Profit Highlights:: Iberia’s operating profit surged EUR 56 million (up to EUR 510 million, 23.7% margin), and Aer Lingus boosted profits by EUR 31 million (to EUR 170 million, 21.6% margin).
  • Financial Leverage Reduction:: Net leverage dropped to 0.8x, with gross leverage at 1.9x, enabling EUR 3–5 billion potential for shareholder returns.
  • Strategic Outcomes:: 15.2% trailing margin (market-leading), 2.4% capacity growth, and adjusted EPS up 27%, driven by strong demand and cost discipline.

Segmental Performance

The group's operating companies delivered mixed results, with Iberia, Aer Lingus, and Loyalty showing strong profit growth, while BA and Vueling profits were slightly down year-over-year. Iberia's operating profit increased by EUR 56 million to EUR 510 million, with operating margins expanding by 2.2% to 23.7%. Aer Lingus also reported a significant increase in operating profit, up EUR 31 million to EUR 170 million, with operating margins rising by 3 percentage points to 21.6%. As noted by Luis Martín, the group's strategy is focused on delivering earnings growth at high levels of margin and return on capital, which will create substantial value for shareholders.

Cost Management and Outlook

IAG's nonfuel costs continue to improve, with the group expecting nonfuel unit costs to increase by around 3% in 2025. Fuel costs are expected to be around EUR 7.1 billion. The group's outlook for the 2025 full year remains unchanged, with expectations for revenue and earnings growth, margin progression, and strong shareholder returns. The balance sheet continues to strengthen, with gross leverage reduced to 1.9x and net leverage decreased to 0.8x.

Valuation and Returns

IAG's current valuation multiples are 6.71x P/E Ratio, 3.53x P/B Ratio, and 0.62x P/S Ratio. The group's Return on Equity (ROE) is 54.23%, and Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is 13.82%. The dividend yield is 1.33%, and the free cash flow yield is 11.59%. With a Net Debt / EBITDA ratio of 1.38, IAG's financial position appears robust. The market seems to have priced in a reasonable level of earnings growth, and the current valuation multiples suggest that the stock may be fairly valued.

3. NewsRoom

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IAG or AGI: Which Is the Better Value Stock Right Now?

Dec -02

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How Recent Developments Are Rewriting the Story for IAG

Nov -26

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Britain's IAG joins major European carriers in bidding race for Portugal’s TAP

Nov -24

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British Airways’ Parent IAG Joins Race to Bid for Stake in Portugal’s TAP

Nov -21

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Airline Stocks to Watch as the Government Shutdown Ends

Nov -13

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How the Narrative Around IAG Is Evolving After Recent Analyst Upgrades and Market Developments

Nov -11

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Are Transportation Stocks Lagging International Consolidated Airlines Group (ICAGY) This Year?

Nov -11

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FTSE 100 at new high amid US shutdown optimism

Nov -10

4. Business Breakdown

4.a. Revenues by Country

4.b. Revenues by Segment

5. Expected revenues mid-term growth (2.80%)

6. Segments

British Airways

Expected Growth: 2.8%

British Airways' 2.8% growth is driven by increasing demand for premium travel, particularly in transatlantic routes, and a strong performance in cargo operations. Additionally, the airline's focus on cost reduction initiatives, such as fleet modernization and operational efficiencies, has contributed to its growth.

Iberia

Expected Growth: 2.5%

Iberia's 2.5% growth is driven by increased demand for leisure travel, particularly in Latin America and the Mediterranean, as well as cost savings from fleet modernization and operational efficiencies. Additionally, Iberia's strong brand presence and loyalty program contribute to its growth, along with strategic partnerships and codeshare agreements.

Vueling

Expected Growth: 3.2%

Vueling's 3.2% growth is driven by its low-cost carrier model, strong demand in European short-haul markets, and increasing popularity of its ancillary revenue streams. Additionally, IAG's strategic investments in digital transformation and operational efficiency have enhanced Vueling's competitiveness, allowing it to capitalize on market opportunities and drive growth.

Aer Lingus

Expected Growth: 2.9%

Aer Lingus' 2.9% growth is driven by strong demand for transatlantic routes, increased capacity on key routes, and successful cost control measures. Additionally, the airline's focus on premium products, such as AerSpace and business class, has contributed to revenue growth. Furthermore, the airline's strong brand reputation and efficient operations have enabled it to maintain a competitive edge in the market.

IAG Loyalty

Expected Growth: 3.1%

IAG Loyalty's 3.1% growth driven by increased customer retention, successful loyalty program revamps, and strategic partnerships. Additionally, enhanced digital platforms and personalized offerings have boosted engagement, while expanded airline partnerships have increased earning opportunities. Effective yield management and targeted marketing campaigns have also contributed to the segment's growth.

Other Group Companies

Expected Growth: 2.7%

IAG's Other Group Companies segment, with a 2.7% growth, is driven by increasing demand for aviation services, expansion of cargo operations, and strategic partnerships. Additionally, cost savings initiatives, fleet optimization, and investments in digital transformation are contributing to the segment's growth.

7. Detailed Products

British Airways

Flag carrier airline of the United Kingdom, offering passenger flights to over 180 destinations worldwide.

Iberia

Flag carrier airline of Spain, offering passenger flights to over 100 destinations in Europe, America, and Africa.

Iberia Express

Low-cost carrier airline, offering affordable flights within Europe.

Aer Lingus

Flag carrier airline of Ireland, offering passenger flights to over 100 destinations in Europe and North America.

Vueling

Low-cost carrier airline, offering affordable flights within Europe.

Level

Low-cost, long-haul airline, offering affordable flights between Europe and the Americas.

IAG Cargo

Cargo airline, offering freight services to over 350 destinations worldwide.

8. International Consolidated Airlines Group S.A.'s Porter Forces

Forces Ranking

Threat Of Substitutes

The threat of substitutes for International Consolidated Airlines Group S.A. is medium due to the availability of alternative modes of transportation such as trains, buses, and cars. However, the convenience and speed of air travel make it a preferred choice for many passengers.

Bargaining Power Of Customers

The bargaining power of customers is high due to the availability of multiple airlines and the ease of comparing prices and services online. This gives customers the power to negotiate prices and demand better services.

Bargaining Power Of Suppliers

The bargaining power of suppliers is low due to the dominance of International Consolidated Airlines Group S.A. in the market. The company has a strong negotiating position with its suppliers, which enables it to secure better deals.

Threat Of New Entrants

The threat of new entrants is low due to the high barriers to entry in the airline industry. The high capital requirements, regulatory hurdles, and complexity of operations make it difficult for new entrants to establish themselves.

Intensity Of Rivalry

The intensity of rivalry is high due to the presence of multiple airlines in the market, leading to intense competition for market share. The company needs to constantly innovate and improve its services to stay ahead of the competition.

9. SWOT Analysis

10. Capital Structure

10.a. Balance Sheet

10.b. Weighted Average Cost of capital

Value
Debt Weight 73.21%
Debt Cost 7.46%
Equity Weight 26.79%
Equity Cost 15.52%
WACC 9.62%
Leverage 273.26%

11. Quality Control: International Consolidated Airlines Group S.A. passed 2 out of 9 key points

12.a Historical Valuation

12.b Price/Earnings Ratio

12.c Margin Valuation

12.d Peers Valuation

Peers Group Analysis

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Momentum: 5.0

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A-Score: 5.4/10

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Quality: 5.0

Yield: 1.2

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Aeroports de Paris

A-Score: 4.4/10

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Yield: 2.5

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Volatility: 8.0

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A-Score: 4.1/10

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Growth: 6.9

Quality: 6.2

Yield: 0.0

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Peers Metrics

12.e Scoring Insights

12.f DCF BETA

Parameters

Short Term Growth

Short term Time

Long-Term Growth

WACC

Target Price

4.76$

Current Price

4.76$

Potential

-0.00%

Expected Cash-Flows