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1. Company Snapshot

1.a. Company Description

ABC arbitrage SA, together with its subsidiaries, develops arbitrage strategies for liquid assets worldwide.It develops liquidity, statistical, risk, and derivatives arbitrage strategies; and provides asset and portfolio management services.The company was incorporated in 1995 and is based in Paris, France.

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1.b. Last Insights on ABCA

Recent positive drivers behind ABC Arbitrage SA's performance include: * Increasing pace of activity, as indicated in the trading update on June 2, 2025, which suggests a strong start to the 2025 financial year. * Strong investor interest in small-cap stocks, driven by favorable European market conditions, including a positive shift in the pan-European STOXX Europe 600 Index and easing inflation. * Resilience in fluctuating economic climates, as observed in the company's ability to navigate recent market conditions. * Strong fundamentals, which provide a solid basis for the company's growth prospects. * Potential opportunities from the European Central Bank's recent rate cuts and stronger-than-expected GDP growth. The company's recent General Meeting on June 6, 2025, and the availability of preparatory documents for the meeting suggest a proactive approach to corporate governance and transparency.

1.c. Company Highlights

2. Transcript Summary

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3. NewsRoom

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Undiscovered Gems in Europe with Strong Potential for November 2025

Nov -18

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ABC arbitrage: calendar of financial events for the year 2026

Oct -31

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Uncovering Europe's Undiscovered Gems for October 2025

Oct -15

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ABC arbitrage Release of the interim financial report as of June 30, 2025

Sep -25

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ABC arbitrage: HY 2025 Consolidated Results

Sep -23

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ABC arbitrage: HY 2025 Consolidated Results

Sep -23

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LVMH: Share transactions disclosure

Sep -09

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The BANK of Greenland issued and early redemption of Senior Non-Preferred capital

Sep -09

4. Business Breakdown

4.a. Revenues by Country

4.b. Revenues by Segment

5. Expected revenues mid-term growth (5.20%)

6. Segments

Investment and Related Activities

Expected Growth: 5.2%

Growing demand for arbitrage strategies, increasing market inefficiencies, and expansion of ABC Arbitrage SA's liquidity provision services drive growth in the investment and related activities segment.

7. Detailed Products

Market Making

ABC arbitrage SA provides market making services, acting as a liquidity provider for various financial instruments, ensuring a stable and efficient market.

High-Frequency Trading

ABC arbitrage SA engages in high-frequency trading, using advanced algorithms to rapidly execute trades and capitalize on small price discrepancies across markets.

Statistical Arbitrage

ABC arbitrage SA employs statistical arbitrage strategies, identifying mispricings in the market by analyzing statistical relationships between securities.

Event-Driven Arbitrage

ABC arbitrage SA focuses on event-driven arbitrage, profiting from price movements resulting from specific events, such as mergers and acquisitions, bankruptcies, or regulatory changes.

Risk Arbitrage

ABC arbitrage SA engages in risk arbitrage, taking positions in companies involved in mergers and acquisitions, profiting from the spread between the market price and the proposed acquisition price.

8. ABC arbitrage SA's Porter Forces

Forces Ranking

Threat Of Substitutes

The threat of substitutes for ABC arbitrage SA is moderate, as there are some alternative investment products available in the market, but they are not very attractive to customers.

Bargaining Power Of Customers

The bargaining power of customers for ABC arbitrage SA is low, as customers have limited negotiating power and are not very price-sensitive.

Bargaining Power Of Suppliers

The bargaining power of suppliers for ABC arbitrage SA is moderate, as suppliers have some negotiating power, but the company has some flexibility in its supply chain.

Threat Of New Entrants

The threat of new entrants for ABC arbitrage SA is high, as the barriers to entry are relatively low, and new competitors can easily enter the market.

Intensity Of Rivalry

The intensity of rivalry for ABC arbitrage SA is high, as the market is highly competitive, and companies are constantly competing for market share.

9. SWOT Analysis

10. Capital Structure

10.a. Balance Sheet

10.b. Weighted Average Cost of capital

Value
Debt Weight 3.79%
Debt Cost 3.95%
Equity Weight 96.21%
Equity Cost 5.06%
WACC 5.02%
Leverage 3.94%

11. Quality Control: ABC arbitrage SA passed 5 out of 9 key points

12.a Historical Valuation

12.b Price/Earnings Ratio

12.c Margin Valuation

12.d Peers Valuation

Peers Group Analysis

Stock-Card
ABC arbitrage

A-Score: 7.6/10

Value: 6.1

Growth: 3.4

Quality: 8.9

Yield: 8.8

Momentum: 9.0

Volatility: 9.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
City of London Investment

A-Score: 6.6/10

Value: 6.4

Growth: 3.7

Quality: 9.1

Yield: 10.0

Momentum: 5.5

Volatility: 4.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Impax Environmental Markets

A-Score: 5.5/10

Value: 7.4

Growth: 2.9

Quality: 6.4

Yield: 1.2

Momentum: 5.0

Volatility: 10.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
eQ

A-Score: 5.3/10

Value: 2.1

Growth: 3.6

Quality: 9.4

Yield: 8.1

Momentum: 2.5

Volatility: 6.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Tamburi Investment Partners

A-Score: 4.2/10

Value: 4.2

Growth: 2.8

Quality: 4.1

Yield: 2.5

Momentum: 3.0

Volatility: 8.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Mattioli Woods

A-Score: 4.1/10

Value: 3.0

Growth: 3.8

Quality: 7.0

Yield: 3.8

Momentum: 4.0

Volatility: 3.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Peers Metrics

12.e Scoring Insights

12.f DCF BETA

Parameters

Short Term Growth

Short term Time

Long-Term Growth

WACC

Target Price

5.46$

Current Price

5.46$

Potential

-0.00%

Expected Cash-Flows