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1. Company Snapshot

1.a. Company Description

GSK plc, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the creation, discovery, development, manufacture, and marketing of pharmaceutical products, vaccines, over-the-counter medicines, and health-related consumer products in the United Kingdom, the United States, and internationally.It operates through four segments: Pharmaceuticals, Pharmaceuticals R&D, Vaccines, and Consumer Healthcare.The company offers pharmaceutical products comprising medicines in the therapeutic areas, such as respiratory, HIV, immuno-inflammation, oncology, anti-viral, central nervous system, cardiovascular and urogenital, metabolic, anti-bacterial, and dermatology.


It also provides consumer healthcare products in wellness, oral health, nutrition, and skin health categories.The company offers its consumer healthcare products in the form of nasal sprays, tablets, syrups, lozenges, gum and trans-dermal patches, caplets, infant syrup drops, liquid filled suspension, wipes, gels, effervescents, toothpastes, toothbrushes, mouthwashes, denture adhesives and cleansers, topical creams and non-medicated patches, lip balm, gummies, and soft chews.It has collaboration agreements with 23andMe; Lyell Immunopharma, Inc.; Novartis; Sanofi SA; Surface Oncology; Progentec Diagnostics, Inc.; Alector, Inc.; and CureVac AG., as well as strategic partnership with IDEAYA Biosciences, Inc.


and Vir Biotechnology, Inc.The company was formerly known as GlaxoSmithKline plc and changed its name to GSK plc in May 2022.GSK plc was founded in 1715 and is headquartered in Brentford, the United Kingdom.

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1.b. Last Insights on GSK

GSK's recent performance was driven by strong Q4 results, beating medium-term targets, and a solid guidance. Shore Capital notes the company has effectively delivered its medium-term plan a year early, with a potential £40 billion prize in sight. Citi raised its price target to £22.50, citing improving fundamentals. A clean fourth-quarter beat and modest 2026 guidance also contributed to positive momentum. Additionally, GSK's experimental cancer medicine, risvutatug rezetecan, received US orphan status, and a breakthrough trial result for its hepatitis B drug was announced.

1.c. Company Highlights

2. GSK's 2025 Results Show Strong Sales Growth and Positive R&D Output

GSK's 2025 results showed a strong financial performance, with sales growing 7% to over GBP 32 billion, driven by Specialty Medicines, up 17%, and vaccines. Core operating profit grew 11%, and EPS was up 12% to 0.2522, beating analyst estimates of 0.2353. The company's cash generation was strong at GBP 8.9 billion, supporting a 2p dividend upgrade to 66p. The operating margin increased by 110 basis points, driven by SG&A margin improvement and gross margin growth.

Publication Date: Feb -06

📋 Highlights

Segmental Performance

Specialty Medicines sales grew 17%, with Respiratory Immunology and Inflammation up 18%, driven by Benlysta and Nucala. Oncology sales were up 43%, with Jemperli up 89% and Ojjaara up 60%. HIV sales grew 11%, powered by long-acting injectables and Dovato. Vaccines sales were GBP 9.2 billion, up 2%, driven by Shingrix and Bexero.

R&D Output and Pipeline

GSK's R&D output remained positive, with 5 FDA approvals and 7 new pivotal trial starts. The company is focused on accelerating development to deliver new products to patients faster. The company has a strong pipeline, with 10 pivotal starts planned for 2026, including five from ADCs. The EMBOLD SCLC-301 study has started recruiting in second and third line, with US recruitment to begin later this year.

Guidance and Valuation

GSK guides for mid- to high single-digit growth in 2026, with sales expected to grow low double-digit for Specialty Medicines. The company's valuation metrics show a P/E Ratio of 15.33, P/B Ratio of 5.35, and Dividend Yield of 2.74%. With a strong pipeline and expected growth, the company's current valuation appears reasonable. The EV/EBITDA ratio of 8.61 and ROE of 37.19% also indicate a healthy financial position.

Future Prospects

The company's focus on execution and operational delivery is expected to drive top-line growth by maximizing launch products like Blenrep and Exdensur. The HIV franchise will see a significant evolution, with Dovato and Cabenuva driving growth, while Triumeq declines. The company's long-term growth prospects appear positive, with a goal to accelerate the pipeline through smart business development and create value for shareholders.

3. NewsRoom

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GSK pays $950m for a pulmonary hypertension drug designed to avoid the bleeding risk that limits rival treatments

Feb -25

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Citi lifts GSK target price but keeps neutral stance after rally

Feb -09

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ShoreCap says GSK has cracked it and the £40bn prize is now in sight

Feb -06

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GSK beat the numbers, but the real story was the guidance

Feb -04

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AstraZeneca the 'top pick' among European pharmas - broker

Jan -27

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GSK reports breakthrough trial results for hepatitis B drug

Jan -07

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GSK's asthma treatment gets greenlight in Japan

Jan -06

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FTSE 100 Live: London stocks lose weight before Xmas, gold gains sparkle

Dec -22

4. Business Breakdown

4.a. Revenues by Country

4.b. Revenues by Segment

5. Expected revenues mid-term growth (5.60%)

6. Segments

Commercial Operations

Expected Growth: 5.6%

GSK plc's Commercial Operations segment is expected to grow driven by increasing demand for pharmaceutical products, expansion into emerging markets, and a strong pipeline of new products.

7. Detailed Products

Advair

A medication used to treat asthma and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD)

HIV Medicines

A range of medications used to treat HIV infection

Sensodyne

A range of toothpastes and mouthwashes designed to relieve sensitivity

Panadol

A range of pain relief medications

Nicorette

A range of nicotine replacement therapy (NRT) products

Horlicks

A range of malted milk drinks

Theraflu

A range of over-the-counter medications used to treat cold and flu symptoms

Vaccines

A range of vaccines used to prevent infectious diseases

8. GSK plc's Porter Forces

Forces Ranking

Threat Of Substitutes

GSK plc has a moderate threat of substitutes due to the presence of alternative treatments and products in the pharmaceutical industry.

Bargaining Power Of Customers

GSK plc has a low bargaining power of customers due to the fragmented nature of the pharmaceutical market and the lack of concentration among buyers.

Bargaining Power Of Suppliers

GSK plc has a moderate bargaining power of suppliers due to the presence of multiple suppliers in the pharmaceutical industry, but also due to the high switching costs associated with changing suppliers.

Threat Of New Entrants

GSK plc has a low threat of new entrants due to the high barriers to entry in the pharmaceutical industry, including high research and development costs and stringent regulatory requirements.

Intensity Of Rivalry

GSK plc operates in a highly competitive pharmaceutical industry, with intense rivalry among established players, which drives innovation and pricing pressures.

9. SWOT Analysis

10. Capital Structure

10.a. Balance Sheet

10.b. Weighted Average Cost of capital

Value
Debt Weight 55.97%
Debt Cost 4.91%
Equity Weight 44.03%
Equity Cost 5.30%
WACC 5.08%
Leverage 127.12%

11. Quality Control: GSK plc passed 3 out of 9 key points

12.a Historical Valuation

12.b Price/Earnings Ratio

12.c Margin Valuation

12.d Peers Valuation

Peers Group Analysis

Stock-Card
Novartis

A-Score: 6.5/10

Value: 3.0

Growth: 4.2

Quality: 8.3

Yield: 7.5

Momentum: 6.5

Volatility: 9.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
GSK

A-Score: 6.3/10

Value: 4.7

Growth: 2.2

Quality: 7.1

Yield: 6.9

Momentum: 9.0

Volatility: 7.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Sanofi

A-Score: 5.9/10

Value: 6.2

Growth: 4.0

Quality: 8.0

Yield: 7.5

Momentum: 2.5

Volatility: 7.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
AstraZeneca

A-Score: 5.9/10

Value: 1.3

Growth: 7.6

Quality: 6.8

Yield: 3.1

Momentum: 9.0

Volatility: 7.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Roche

A-Score: 5.4/10

Value: 1.1

Growth: 3.0

Quality: 6.4

Yield: 5.6

Momentum: 8.5

Volatility: 7.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Bayer

A-Score: 4.4/10

Value: 7.0

Growth: 2.1

Quality: 2.7

Yield: 3.1

Momentum: 8.5

Volatility: 3.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Peers Metrics

12.e Scoring Insights

12.f DCF BETA

Parameters

Short Term Growth

Short term Time

Long-Term Growth

WACC

Target Price

21.8$

Current Price

21.8$

Potential

-0.00%

Expected Cash-Flows