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1. Company Snapshot

1.a. Company Description

Melrose Industries PLC engages in the aerospace, automotive, powder metallurgy, and other industrial businesses in the United Kingdom, rest of Europe, North America, and internationally.Its Aerospace segment provides airframe and engine structures, and electrical interconnection systems for the aerospace industry in civil airframe and defense platforms.The company's Automotive segment designs, develops, manufactures, and integrates driveline technologies, including electric vehicle components.


Its Powder Metallurgy segment offers precision powder metal parts for the automotive and industrial sectors; and metal powder for powder metallurgy, as well as commercializes additive manufacturing.The company's Other Industrial segment designs, manufactures, and distributes ergonomic products for use in a various working, learning, and healthcare environments; and offers metal hydride hydrogen storage solutions for use in a range of industrial and commercial applications.The company was formerly known as New Melrose Industries PLC and changed its name to Melrose Industries PLC in November 2015.


Melrose Industries PLC was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.

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1.b. Last Insights on MRO

Breaking News: Melrose Industries PLC reported strong 2025 results with revenue rising 8% to £3.59 billion and a significant dividend boost. However, despite the positive earnings release, the company's shares tumbled 13% due to investors' reaction to the guidance for 2026, which came in below market expectations. The aerospace engineer delivered solid growth, but the profit guidance disappointed. Some analysts recommend a hold, citing the company's strong cash flow and growth prospects, while others are cautious about the near-term outlook.

1.c. Company Highlights

2. Melrose's Strong 2025 Results Driven by Engines and Defense

Melrose reported a robust financial performance in 2025, with revenue growing 8% on a like-for-like basis, driven by the Engines division, which grew 15%. The company's operating profit increased by 23% to GBP 647 million, and it achieved positive free cash flow of GBP 125 million, a significant milestone. However, the actual EPS of 0.0676 was below the estimated EPS of 0.1669.

Publication Date: Mar -03

📋 Highlights
  • Operating Profit Growth: Operating profit surged 23% to GBP 647 million in 2025, driven by Engines and Defense divisions.
  • Free Cash Flow Inflection: Achieved positive free cash flow of GBP 125 million in 2025, exceeding guidance and signaling progress toward GBP 600 million target by 2029.
  • 2026 Revenue Guidance: Revenue expected to grow 10% year-on-year, reaching GBP 3.75–3.95 billion, with operating profit projected at GBP 700–750 million (19% margins).
  • Share Buyback Program: Announced a GBP 175 million share buyback for 2026, reflecting confidence in hitting 2029 free cash flow targets and returning capital to shareholders.

Revenue and Margin Performance

The Engines division's revenue growth was driven by higher GEnx and GTF volumes, and the aftermarket grew 14%. Airframes delivered 3% like-for-like revenue growth, driven by defense, which was up 15%. The company's guidance for 2026 indicates revenue growth of around 10%, with operating profit expected to be between GBP 700 million and GBP 750 million, representing margins around 19%.

Cash Flow and Capital Allocation

Melrose's cash performance in 2025 was strong, with free cash flow post interest and tax exceeding guidance. The company is guiding to free cash flow post interest and tax of GBP 150 million to GBP 200 million in 2026. The company's capital allocation policy prioritizes investing in the business, maintaining disciplined leverage, and returning cash to shareholders through a new GBP 175 million 12-month share buyback program.

Valuation and Outlook

Using the given valuation metrics, Melrose's P/E Ratio of 18.9 and EV/EBITDA of 7.16 suggest that the market is pricing in a certain level of growth. With a ROE of 13.03% and ROIC of 11.75%, the company is generating returns above its cost of capital. Analysts estimate revenue growth at 9.5% for next year, which is slightly below the company's guidance. As Matthew Gregory mentioned, "We're confident in delivering the midpoint of our free cash flow range of GBP 175 million, with potential for upside."

Growth Drivers and Opportunities

Melrose's growth drivers include production ramp-ups, RSPs, engine repairs, and operational excellence. The company is also expanding in additive fabrication, military uncrewed vehicles, and advanced air mobility, with a focus on sustainability, safety, and people engagement. With a strong backlog and increasing shop visits due to rising flying hours, Melrose is well-positioned to deliver growth from existing platforms.

3. NewsRoom

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Melrose shares drop 12% as guidance disappoints despite strong cash flow beat

Feb -27

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Melrose shares tumble 13% despite strong 2025 results and dividend boost

Feb -27

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FTSE 100 smashes past 10,000 milestone to start 2026

Jan -02

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FTSE 100 nears 10,000 milestone to start 2026

Jan -02

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Defence stocks slide as traders bank gains after rare geopolitical breather

Dec -01

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FTSE, US stocks and bitcoin see downbeat start to December

Dec -01

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How Recent Analyst Upgrades Are Reshaping the Story for Melrose Industries

Nov -29

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What Recent Analyst Shifts Mean for Melrose Industries’ Evolving Valuation Story

Nov -12

4. Business Breakdown

4.a. Revenues by Country

4.b. Revenues by Segment

5. Expected revenues mid-term growth (5.71%)

6. Segments

Structures

Expected Growth: 5%

Melrose Industries PLC's 5% growth is driven by its diversified industrial portfolio, strong aftermarket demand, and strategic acquisitions. The company's focus on cost savings, operational efficiencies, and investment in digital technologies also contribute to its growth. Additionally, its exposure to growing end-markets such as aerospace, defense, and automotive supports its expansion.

Engines

Expected Growth: 7%

Melrose Industries PLC's 7% growth in Engines segment is driven by increasing demand for energy-efficient solutions, rising adoption of electric vehicles, and growing need for reduced emissions. Additionally, strategic acquisitions, investments in R&D, and expansion into emerging markets have contributed to the segment's growth.

7. Detailed Products

GKN Aerospace

Designs and manufactures complex aerospace systems, including aerostructures, engine systems, and electrical wiring interconnection systems.

GKN Automotive

Develops and manufactures driveline systems, including all-wheel drive systems, transaxles, and eDrive systems.

GKN Powder Metallurgy

Produces precision powder metal components, including gears, bearings, and other precision parts.

GKN Hydrogen

Develops and manufactures hydrogen storage systems, including fuel tanks and storage vessels.

8. Melrose Industries PLC's Porter Forces

Forces Ranking

Threat Of Substitutes

The threat of substitutes for Melrose Industries PLC is medium due to the presence of alternative products and services in the market.

Bargaining Power Of Customers

The bargaining power of customers for Melrose Industries PLC is low due to the company's strong brand reputation and customer loyalty.

Bargaining Power Of Suppliers

The bargaining power of suppliers for Melrose Industries PLC is medium due to the presence of multiple suppliers in the market.

Threat Of New Entrants

The threat of new entrants for Melrose Industries PLC is high due to the low barriers to entry in the industry.

Intensity Of Rivalry

The intensity of rivalry for Melrose Industries PLC is high due to the presence of multiple competitors in the market.

9. SWOT Analysis

10. Capital Structure

10.a. Balance Sheet

10.b. Weighted Average Cost of capital

Value
Debt Weight 15.81%
Debt Cost 3.95%
Equity Weight 84.19%
Equity Cost 11.88%
WACC 10.63%
Leverage 18.78%

11. Quality Control: Melrose Industries PLC passed 1 out of 9 key points

12.a Historical Valuation

12.b Price/Earnings Ratio

12.c Margin Valuation

12.d Peers Valuation

Peers Group Analysis

Stock-Card
Interpump

A-Score: 4.5/10

Value: 3.7

Growth: 6.4

Quality: 6.9

Yield: 1.2

Momentum: 4.0

Volatility: 4.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Spirax-Sarco Engineering

A-Score: 4.3/10

Value: 2.8

Growth: 5.2

Quality: 5.5

Yield: 3.8

Momentum: 3.0

Volatility: 5.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Interroll

A-Score: 4.3/10

Value: 2.4

Growth: 4.7

Quality: 7.4

Yield: 2.5

Momentum: 5.0

Volatility: 4.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Beijer Ref

A-Score: 4.1/10

Value: 2.1

Growth: 8.6

Quality: 4.7

Yield: 1.2

Momentum: 2.5

Volatility: 5.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Melrose

A-Score: 4.1/10

Value: 5.0

Growth: 2.1

Quality: 6.0

Yield: 2.5

Momentum: 5.0

Volatility: 4.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
FLSmidth

A-Score: 4.0/10

Value: 3.6

Growth: 2.7

Quality: 5.4

Yield: 2.5

Momentum: 5.0

Volatility: 4.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Peers Metrics

12.e Scoring Insights

12.f DCF BETA

Parameters

Short Term Growth

Short term Time

Long-Term Growth

WACC

Target Price

5.42$

Current Price

5.42$

Potential

-0.00%

Expected Cash-Flows