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1. Company Snapshot

1.a. Company Description

VTEX provides software-as-a-service digital commerce platform for enterprise brands and retailers.Its platform enables customers to execute their commerce strategy, including building online stores, integrating, and managing orders across channels, and creating marketplaces to sell products from third-party vendors.It has operations in Brazil, Argentina, Chile, Colombia, France, Italy, Mexico, Peru, Portugal, Romania, Spain, the United Kingdom, and the United States.


VTEX was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.

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1.b. Last Insights on VTEX

The recent 3-month performance of VTEX has been negatively impacted by a decline in investor sentiment. Despite meeting Q4 earnings estimates, the company's stock price has been affected by a 40% share price decline. This decline can be attributed to macroeconomic challenges, which have decelerated revenue and GMV growth. Additionally, the company's trimmed guidance for the year has contributed to investor concerns.

1.c. Company Highlights

2. VTEX's Q4 2025 Earnings: A Closer Look at the Numbers and Growth Prospects

VTEX reported a GMV of $6.3 billion, representing a year-over-year growth of 17.2% in U.S. dollars and 10.0% in FX-neutral. Subscription revenue reached $66.7 million in the fourth quarter, representing a growth of 12.2% year-over-year in U.S. dollars and 5.4% in FX-neutral. The company's actual EPS came out at $0.05, in line with estimates. The gross margin for existing stores increased from 80% in 2024 to 82% in 2025, while operating margin reached 44%, representing a 1 percentage point increase year-over-year.

Publication Date: Mar -06

📋 Highlights
  • Global Expansion Growth:: 22% subscription revenue growth in global markets in 2025, driven by scaling in high-complexity regions.
  • Subscription Revenue Performance:: Q4 2025 subscription revenue reached $66.7M, up 12.2% YoY, with existing stores contributing $194M and 99.5% net revenue retention.
  • Gross Margin Improvement:: Subscription gross margin rose to 81.8% in Q4 2025, a 3-point increase from 78.8%, attributed to AI-powered customer support automation.
  • Capital Allocation Strategy:: Announced a $50M share repurchase program to optimize capital structure and mitigate dilution from share-based compensation.
  • 2026 Financial Guidance:: Mid-single-digit subscription revenue growth and mid-teens non-GAAP operating margin expected in Q1 2026 on an FX-neutral basis.

Growth Levers and Strategic Focus

VTEX is focusing on four key growth levers: global expansion, B2B commerce, retail media, and AI. The company has seen significant traction in global markets, with subscription revenue growth of 22% in 2025. As Geraldo Thomaz mentioned, "We're not just building AI features, but the mission-critical backbone for connected commerce that global brands can rely on to deploy AI safely and effectively." The B2B pipeline is evolving, with roughly half of VTEX's deals in the US and EMEA now being B2B-related, effectively doubling the company's addressable market.

Valuation and Outlook

VTEX's valuation metrics indicate a relatively high P/E Ratio of 34.75 and EV/EBITDA of 29.38, suggesting that the market is pricing in significant growth prospects. The company's guidance for 2026 includes subscription revenue growth at a mid-single-digit percentage rate on an FX-neutral year-over-year basis, and non-GAAP income from operations to be in the mid-teens' percentage margin. Analysts estimate next year's revenue growth at 10.7%, which is slightly higher than the company's guidance. With a Free Cash Flow Yield of 4.65%, VTEX appears to be generating significant cash, which could be used to fund its growth initiatives or return value to shareholders through share buybacks.

Capital Allocation and Shareholder Returns

VTEX announced a new $50 million 12-month share repurchase program, demonstrating its commitment to returning value to shareholders. The company's capital allocation strategy prioritizes long-term value creation while maintaining flexibility to navigate a dynamic macro environment. With a ROIC of 6.2% and ROE of 8.24%, VTEX is generating returns on its invested capital, although there is room for improvement.

3. NewsRoom

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VTEX (NYSE:VTEX) Receives $6.16 Consensus Target Price from Analysts

Mar -05

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VTEX vs. SPOT: Which Stock Should Value Investors Buy Now?

Mar -03

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VTEX (VTEX) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

Feb -27

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VTEX (VTEX) Q4 Earnings Meet Estimates

Feb -26

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VTEX's 2025 Annual Report on Form 20-F Available on Our Website

Feb -26

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VTEX Reports Fourth Quarter and Fiscal Year 2025 Financial Results

Feb -26

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Principal Financial Group Inc. Acquires New Holdings in VTEX $VTEX

Feb -19

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VTEX to Announce Fourth Quarter and Fiscal Year 2025 Financial Results on February 26th, 2026

Feb -11

4. Business Breakdown

4.a. Revenues by Country

4.b. Revenues by Segment

5. Expected revenues mid-term growth (17.43%)

6. Segments

Subscriptions

Expected Growth: 17.62%

VTEX's subscription growth of 17.62% is driven by increasing adoption of e-commerce platforms, rising demand for omnichannel experiences, and growing need for businesses to digitize their operations. Additionally, VTEX's scalable and flexible solutions, strong partnerships, and expanding presence in emerging markets contribute to its rapid growth.

Services

Expected Growth: 14.07%

VTEX's 14.07% growth is driven by increasing adoption of e-commerce platforms, rising demand for omnichannel experiences, and growing need for digital transformation in the retail industry. Additionally, VTEX's scalable and flexible solutions, strong partnerships, and expanding presence in new markets contribute to its rapid growth.

7. Detailed Products

VTEX Commerce Platform

A comprehensive e-commerce platform that enables businesses to create and manage their online stores, including product catalog management, order management, and payment processing.

VTEX OMS (Order Management System)

A cloud-based order management system that streamlines order processing, inventory management, and fulfillment operations.

VTEX Marketplace

A platform that enables businesses to create and manage their own marketplaces, connecting buyers and sellers in a single platform.

VTEX CMS (Content Management System)

A headless CMS that enables businesses to create, manage, and deliver content across multiple channels and devices.

VTEX IoT (Internet of Things)

A platform that enables businesses to connect and manage IoT devices, collecting and analyzing data to improve operational efficiency.

VTEX AI (Artificial Intelligence)

A platform that uses AI and machine learning to analyze customer behavior, preferences, and purchasing patterns.

8. VTEX's Porter Forces

Forces Ranking

Threat Of Substitutes

VTEX's platform is highly customizable, making it difficult for substitutes to emerge. However, the rise of headless commerce and API-first commerce platforms poses a moderate threat.

Bargaining Power Of Customers

VTEX's customers are primarily large enterprises, which have limited bargaining power due to their reliance on VTEX's platform for their e-commerce operations.

Bargaining Power Of Suppliers

VTEX has a diverse supplier base, and its suppliers have limited bargaining power due to the company's strong market position and negotiating power.

Threat Of New Entrants

The e-commerce platform market is highly competitive, and new entrants can easily disrupt the market with innovative solutions, posing a significant threat to VTEX's market share.

Intensity Of Rivalry

The e-commerce platform market is highly competitive, with many established players and new entrants vying for market share, leading to intense rivalry among competitors.

9. SWOT Analysis

10. Capital Structure

10.a. Balance Sheet

10.b. Weighted Average Cost of capital

Value
Debt Weight 1.68%
Debt Cost 10.91%
Equity Weight 98.32%
Equity Cost 10.96%
WACC 10.96%
Leverage 1.70%

11. Quality Control: VTEX passed 5 out of 9 key points

12.a Historical Valuation

12.b Price/Earnings Ratio

12.c Margin Valuation

12.d Peers Valuation

Peers Group Analysis

Stock-Card
Riskified

A-Score: 3.5/10

Value: 6.0

Growth: 5.6

Quality: 3.3

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 4.0

Volatility: 2.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
WalkMe

A-Score: 3.1/10

Value: 4.4

Growth: 6.3

Quality: 3.4

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 4.0

Volatility: 0.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Accesso Technology Group

A-Score: 3.1/10

Value: 4.8

Growth: 2.8

Quality: 6.6

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 0.5

Volatility: 4.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
MotorK

A-Score: 3.1/10

Value: 4.4

Growth: 4.4

Quality: 3.4

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 5.5

Volatility: 0.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
VTEX

A-Score: 3.0/10

Value: 1.9

Growth: 7.3

Quality: 6.9

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 1.0

Volatility: 1.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Big Technologies

A-Score: 2.9/10

Value: 5.7

Growth: 6.6

Quality: 4.1

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 0.0

Volatility: 1.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Peers Metrics

12.e Scoring Insights

12.f DCF BETA

Parameters

Short Term Growth

Short term Time

Long-Term Growth

WACC

Target Price

4.16$

Current Price

4.17$

Potential

-0.00%

Expected Cash-Flows