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1. Company Snapshot

1.a. Company Description

Protector Forsikring ASA, a general insurance company, provides various insurance products to the commercial and public sectors, and the affinity insurance markets in Norway, Denmark, Sweden, the United Kingdom, and Finland.It operates in two segments, Commercial Lines of Business and Public Lines of Business.The company offers personal, motor, property, liability, and change of ownership insurance.


It sells its products to non-marine industries through insurance brokers.The company was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Oslo, Norway.

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1.b. Last Insights on PROT

Protector Forsikring ASA's recent performance was bolstered by robust growth in the UK market, driven by a surge in demand for its insurance products. The company's strategic expansion into the French market also contributed to its success, as it leveraged its expertise to tap into a new and lucrative customer base. Furthermore, the company's ability to adapt to changing market conditions in Denmark and Sweden, despite facing challenges, demonstrates its resilience and agility. Additionally, the company's focus on strategic expansion and growth initiatives has likely positioned it for continued success in the future.

1.c. Company Highlights

2. Protector's 2025 Results: A Story of Disciplined Underwriting and Strong Investment Returns

Publication Date: Mar -09

📋 Highlights
  • Combined Ratio & Earnings Growth:: Achieved a 84.7% combined ratio, 14% growth, and NOK 31.7/share earnings driven by NOK 1.5 billion investment returns.
  • Strategic Asset Divestment:: Sold Denmark's workers' comp portfolio to DARAG, eliminating a liability and securing a NOK 80 million one-off gain.
  • Geographic Focus & Pricing:: Focused growth in Scandinavia, Nordic, and France with disciplined underwriting, excluding UK, while navigating irrational Swedish pricing.
  • Investment Performance:: Delivered 14% annual equity return over 10 years, aiming to outperform markets with optimized reinsurance and risk margin reductions.

Financial Performance

The company's financial performance was characterized by a combined ratio of 84.7%, indicating a profitable underwriting business. The 14% growth was driven by a focus on the Scandinavian markets, Nordic markets, and France, rather than the UK. The investment return of NOK 1.5 billion was a significant contributor to the overall performance, with the company's investment portfolio showing strong results, especially on the equity side, with a return of 14% over the long term.

Underwriting and Risk Management

Protector's underwriting performance was driven by disciplined underwriting, with a focus on selective quoting and winning new clients in areas such as real estate in the UK. The company is targeting a large share of the GBP 1 billion market, at least double-digit percent. The company's risk management practices are also noteworthy, with a reduction in reinsurance cost higher than the increase in large loss rates, indicating a well-managed risk profile.

Valuation and Dividend Yield

The company's valuation multiples are attractive, with a Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 5.36, indicating that the stock may be undervalued. The Dividend Yield is 3.63%, providing a relatively stable source of return for investors. The company's Return on Equity (ROE) is 39.89%, indicating a strong ability to generate profits from shareholder equity.

Outlook and Growth Prospects

Protector's long-term financial targets remain unchanged, with a combined ratio target of 91%. The company is prepared to write contracts slightly above 91% on short-tailed business if it makes sense. With a strong underwriting performance and a solid investment return, the company is well-positioned for future growth, with analysts estimating revenue growth of 12.3% next year. The company's focus on the Scandinavian markets, Nordic markets, and France, as well as its selective quoting in areas such as real estate in the UK, provide a solid foundation for future growth.

3. NewsRoom

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Lassila & Tikanoja Plc: Announcement of a change in shareholding according to Chapter 9, Section 10 of the Finnish Securities Market Act

Feb -02

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Protector Forsikring ASA (PSKRF) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Highlights: Strong Growth and Investment ...

Jan -29

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Protector Forsikring ASA (PSKRY) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Highlights: Strong Profitability Amidst ...

Nov -05

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Protector Forsikring (OB:PROT): Exploring Valuation After Steady Share Price Climb

Sep -20

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Protector Forsikring ASA (FRA:PR4) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Highlights: Strong UK Growth and ...

Jan -31

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Protector Forsikring ASA (STU:PR4) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Highlights: Navigating Growth and ...

Oct -25

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Undiscovered Gems To Watch This September 2024

Sep -18

4. Business Breakdown

4.a. Revenues by Country

4.b. Revenues by Segment

5. Expected revenues mid-term growth (12.00%)

6. Segments

Insurance and Related Activities

Expected Growth: 12.0%

Protector Forsikring ASA's 12.0% growth in Insurance and Related Activities is driven by increasing demand for risk management solutions, expansion into new markets, and strategic partnerships. Additionally, the company's focus on digitalization and cost optimization has improved operational efficiency, contributing to the growth. Furthermore, a favorable regulatory environment and rising insurance penetration rates in key markets have also supported the segment's growth.

7. Detailed Products

Motor Insurance

Comprehensive insurance coverage for vehicles, including cars, motorcycles, and commercial vehicles, providing financial protection against accidents, theft, and other risks.

Home Insurance

Insurance coverage for homes and contents, providing financial protection against damage, theft, and other risks.

Travel Insurance

Insurance coverage for individuals and families while traveling, providing financial protection against unexpected medical or travel-related expenses.

Liability Insurance

Insurance coverage for individuals and businesses, providing financial protection against legal liability for damages or injuries to others.

Accident Insurance

Insurance coverage for individuals, providing financial protection against accidental injuries or death.

Health Insurance

Insurance coverage for individuals and families, providing financial protection against medical expenses.

8. Protector Forsikring ASA's Porter Forces

Forces Ranking

Threat Of Substitutes

The threat of substitutes for Protector Forsikring ASA is moderate, as customers have some alternatives to insurance products, but they are not easily substitutable.

Bargaining Power Of Customers

The bargaining power of customers is low, as Protector Forsikring ASA has a strong brand and a large customer base, making it difficult for individual customers to negotiate prices.

Bargaining Power Of Suppliers

The bargaining power of suppliers is moderate, as Protector Forsikring ASA relies on a few large suppliers for certain services, but has some flexibility to switch suppliers if needed.

Threat Of New Entrants

The threat of new entrants is low, as the insurance industry has high barriers to entry, including regulatory requirements and capital requirements.

Intensity Of Rivalry

The intensity of rivalry is high, as the Norwegian insurance market is highly competitive, with many players competing for market share.

9. SWOT Analysis

10. Capital Structure

10.a. Balance Sheet

10.b. Weighted Average Cost of capital

Value
Debt Weight 29.46%
Debt Cost 4.33%
Equity Weight 70.54%
Equity Cost 9.15%
WACC 7.73%
Leverage 41.77%

11. Quality Control: Protector Forsikring ASA passed 5 out of 9 key points

12.a Historical Valuation

12.b Price/Earnings Ratio

12.c Margin Valuation

12.d Peers Valuation

Peers Group Analysis

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Bank of Georgia

A-Score: 8.0/10

Value: 8.3

Growth: 9.9

Quality: 7.1

Yield: 8.1

Momentum: 10.0

Volatility: 4.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
VIEL

A-Score: 7.4/10

Value: 6.8

Growth: 7.1

Quality: 6.9

Yield: 6.9

Momentum: 9.5

Volatility: 7.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Protector Forsikring

A-Score: 6.9/10

Value: 4.5

Growth: 5.8

Quality: 8.3

Yield: 6.9

Momentum: 10.0

Volatility: 6.0

1-Year Total Return ->

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Vestjysk Bank

A-Score: 6.2/10

Value: 5.1

Growth: 3.2

Quality: 7.3

Yield: 8.1

Momentum: 10.0

Volatility: 3.3

1-Year Total Return ->

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Banco di Desio Brianza

A-Score: 6.0/10

Value: 5.5

Growth: 5.1

Quality: 4.5

Yield: 8.1

Momentum: 8.5

Volatility: 4.3

1-Year Total Return ->

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Bank of Cyprus

A-Score: 4.3/10

Value: 5.1

Growth: 5.1

Quality: 6.6

Yield: 2.5

Momentum: 4.0

Volatility: 2.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Peers Metrics

12.e Scoring Insights

12.f DCF BETA

Parameters

Short Term Growth

Short term Time

Long-Term Growth

WACC

Target Price

508.0$

Current Price

508$

Potential

-0.00%

Expected Cash-Flows