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1. Company Snapshot

1.a. Company Description

CVR Partners, LP, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production and sale of nitrogen fertilizer products in the United States.The company offers ammonia products for agricultural and industrial customers; and urea and ammonium nitrate products to agricultural customers, as well as retailers and distributors.CVR GP, LLC serves as the general partner of the company.


CVR Partners, LP was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Sugar Land, Texas.

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1.b. Last Insights on UAN

CVR Partners' recent momentum is driven by robust fertilizer demand, secure feedstock, and compelling long-term yield prospects. The company benefits from declining pet coke costs and rising UAN/ammonia prices, supporting a sustainable 9-11% yield. Distribution coverage remains solid, with potential for special distributions as cash reserves grow, according to Weiss Ratings.

1.c. Company Highlights

2. CVR Partners LP's Q4 2025 Earnings: A Mixed Bag

CVR Partners LP reported net sales of $131 million, a net loss of $10 million, and EBITDA of $20 million for the fourth quarter of 2025. The company's actual EPS came out at -$1.7, significantly worse than the estimated -$0.33. The EBITDA decrease was primarily due to lower production and sales volumes and higher direct operating costs associated with the planned turnaround of Coffeyville. Total ammonia production for the quarter was 140,000 gross tons, with 62,000 net tons available for sale.

Publication Date: Feb -22

📋 Highlights
  • Financial Performance:: Q4 net sales $131M, net loss $10M, EBITDA $20M, with $0.37/unit distribution declared.
  • Production Volumes:: Total ammonia 140K gross tons (62K net tons available), UAN 169K tons, down due to Coffeyville turnaround.
  • Market Outlook:: USDA forecasts 187 bu/acre corn yield, $4.45/bushel May corn prices, and 95M acres planted in 2026.
  • Supply Constraints:: Trinidad UAN imports stalled by Nutrien upgrades, Russian exports ongoing despite geopolitical risks.
  • Pricing Trends:: Ammonia/UAN prices expected to rise in Q1 2026 as higher-priced contracts offset Q4 volumes.

Financial Performance

The company's financial performance was impacted by the planned turnaround and subsequent start-up issues at Coffeyville, resulting in lower UAN and ammonia sales volumes. The Board of Directors declared a fourth-quarter distribution of $0.37 per common unit, indicating a commitment to returning value to shareholders. With a 'P/S Ratio' of 1.76 and an 'EV/EBITDA' of 6.58, the company's valuation appears reasonable, considering the challenges it faced during the quarter.

Market Outlook

The company remains optimistic about the spring season, citing strong demand for nitrogen fertilizers due to the record crop year and constrained supply side. Mark Pytosh, CEO, noted that the early start to ammonia application is a good omen for the spring season, as it typically leads to a better outcome. The company has a good book of business, with a strong order book, and expects high utilization at its plants to move product for customers.

Operational Focus

The company is focused on improving reliability and redundancy at its plants, with a goal of operating at utilization rates above 95% of nameplate capacity. They are also working on construction and design plans for the feedstock diversification and ammonia expansion project at the Coffeyville facility. As Mark Pytosh mentioned, "the company is confident that the issues have been dealt with, but they are revisiting their business plan with the service provider," indicating a proactive approach to addressing operational challenges.

Valuation and Dividend Yield

With a 'Dividend Yield (%)' of 11.83 and a 'P/E Ratio' of 10.8, the company's valuation appears attractive, considering its commitment to returning value to shareholders. The 'ROIC (%)' of 14.68 and 'ROE (%)' of 32.82 indicate a strong return on investment, supporting the company's ability to sustain its dividend payments. Analysts estimate next year's revenue growth at None%, indicating a cautious outlook for the company's top-line performance.

3. NewsRoom

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CVR Partners: Iran Just Made This 12% Yield Look Cheap

Mar -09

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Top 3 Materials Stocks That May Crash This Month

Mar -09

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CVR Partners (NYSE:UAN) Reaches New 52-Week High – Here’s Why

Mar -08

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Why CVR Partners Is Not Down More After A Bad Quarter

Feb -20

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CVR Partners, LP Common Units (UAN) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

Feb -19

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CVR Partners Files Form 10-K Annual Report For Fiscal Year Ended December 31, 2025

Feb -18

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CVR Partners Reports Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2025 Results

Feb -18

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Carl Icahn's Strategic Moves: A Closer Look at Icahn Enterprises LP

Feb -17

4. Business Breakdown

4.a. Revenues by Country

4.b. Revenues by Segment

5. Expected revenues mid-term growth (4.50%)

6. Segments

Urea Ammonium Nitrate

Expected Growth: 4.5%

Growing demand for crop nutrition and plant growth, increasing adoption of precision agriculture, and rising need for sustainable farming practices drive the growth of the UAN market.

Ammonia

Expected Growth: 4.5%

Growing demand for ammonia-based fertilizers in agriculture, increasing adoption in industrial applications, and rising natural gas production drive the market growth.

Freight

Expected Growth: 4.5%

The freight segment of CVR Partners, LP is expected to grow driven by increasing demand for fertilizer and ammonia, expansion of production capacity, and rising transportation costs.

Urea Products

Expected Growth: 4.5%

Growing demand for fertilizers in agriculture, increasing adoption of precision farming, and rising industrial applications drive the growth of CVR Partners' Urea Products segment.

Other

Expected Growth: 4.5%

The 'Other' segment of CVR Partners, LP is expected to grow driven by increasing demand for nitrogen fertilizers, expansion of the nitrogen fertilizer plant, and diversification of revenue streams through miscellaneous income.

7. Detailed Products

Nitrogen Fertilizers

CVR Partners, LP produces nitrogen fertilizers, including ammonia, urea ammonium nitrate (UAN) and ammonium nitrate (AN) for agricultural and industrial applications.

Sulfuric Acid

CVR Partners, LP produces sulfuric acid, a strong acid used in various industrial processes.

Ammonia

CVR Partners, LP produces anhydrous ammonia, a key ingredient in the production of nitrogen fertilizers.

UAN (Urea Ammonium Nitrate)

CVR Partners, LP produces UAN, a liquid fertilizer used in agriculture.

Ammonium Nitrate (AN)

CVR Partners, LP produces AN, a nitrogen-based fertilizer used in agriculture.

8. CVR Partners, LP's Porter Forces

Forces Ranking

Threat Of Substitutes

The threat of substitutes for CVR Partners, LP is moderate due to the availability of alternative products and services in the energy industry.

Bargaining Power Of Customers

The bargaining power of customers for CVR Partners, LP is low due to the company's strong market position and limited customer concentration.

Bargaining Power Of Suppliers

The bargaining power of suppliers for CVR Partners, LP is moderate due to the presence of multiple suppliers in the energy industry.

Threat Of New Entrants

The threat of new entrants for CVR Partners, LP is high due to the relatively low barriers to entry in the energy industry.

Intensity Of Rivalry

The intensity of rivalry for CVR Partners, LP is high due to the competitive nature of the energy industry and the presence of several established players.

9. SWOT Analysis

10. Capital Structure

10.a. Balance Sheet

10.b. Weighted Average Cost of capital

Value
Debt Weight 64.51%
Debt Cost 5.24%
Equity Weight 35.49%
Equity Cost 10.53%
WACC 7.12%
Leverage 181.75%

11. Quality Control: CVR Partners, LP passed 6 out of 9 key points

12.a Historical Valuation

12.b Price/Earnings Ratio

12.c Margin Valuation

12.d Peers Valuation

Peers Group Analysis

Stock-Card
CVR Partners

A-Score: 7.4/10

Value: 7.3

Growth: 4.7

Quality: 5.9

Yield: 10.0

Momentum: 8.0

Volatility: 8.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Oil-Dri

A-Score: 6.8/10

Value: 6.2

Growth: 8.1

Quality: 7.0

Yield: 4.0

Momentum: 10.0

Volatility: 5.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Westlake Chemical Partners

A-Score: 6.7/10

Value: 8.6

Growth: 3.1

Quality: 6.5

Yield: 10.0

Momentum: 2.0

Volatility: 10.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Friedman Industries

A-Score: 5.0/10

Value: 5.8

Growth: 6.3

Quality: 3.5

Yield: 2.0

Momentum: 8.5

Volatility: 3.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
US Lime & Minerals

A-Score: 4.6/10

Value: 1.8

Growth: 8.2

Quality: 8.4

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 3.0

Volatility: 6.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Intrepid Potash

A-Score: 3.8/10

Value: 8.1

Growth: 1.8

Quality: 3.6

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 5.0

Volatility: 4.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Peers Metrics

12.e Scoring Insights

12.f DCF BETA

Parameters

Short Term Growth

Short term Time

Long-Term Growth

WACC

Target Price

123.51$

Current Price

123.51$

Potential

-0.00%

Expected Cash-Flows