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1. Company Snapshot

1.a. Company Description

Cinemark Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the motion picture exhibition business.As of June 30, 2022, it operated 522 theatres with 5,868 screens in the United States, and South and Central America.The company was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Plano, Texas.

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1.b. Last Insights on CNK

Breaking News: Cinemark Holdings Inc has not released recent earnings data. However, cinema stocks including Cinemark dropped after Netflix announced its acquisition of Warner Bros. and suggested shorter theatrical releases. This $82.7 billion deal sparked concern about its potential impact on movie theaters. Analysts at various firms have not updated their recommendations on Cinemark Holdings Inc following this news. A comprehensive review of analyst recommendations is required to provide an accurate rating.

1.c. Company Highlights

2. Cinemark's Q3 2025 Earnings: A Strong Performance

Cinemark Holding, Inc. reported a robust financial performance in the third quarter of 2025, with global revenue reaching $857.5 million and adjusted EBITDA of $177.6 million. The company's domestic operations generated $683.6 million of revenue and $140.2 million of adjusted EBITDA, yielding a solid 20.5% adjusted EBITDA margin. The actual EPS came out at $0.4, slightly below estimates of $0.44. The company's financial performance was driven by a strong box office performance, with the domestic market share reaching its highest level in the company's history.

Publication Date: Nov -13

📋 Highlights
  • Debt Resolution & Capital Structure:: Settled $460M in pandemic-related convertible notes, strengthening balance sheet; nearest debt maturity now 2028, with net leverage at 2.4x.
  • Financial Performance:: Generated $858M global revenue, $178M adjusted EBITDA, and 21% adjusted EBITDA margin, outperforming North American box office by 250 basis points.
  • Capital Returns:: Launched $300M stock repurchase program and raised dividend 12.5% to $0.09/share, reflecting confidence in financial stability and shareholder value.
  • Domestic Market Share:: Achieved record 20.5% domestic EBITDA margin ($140.2M) and highest-ever third-quarter domestic market share amid 10% attendance decline.
  • Non-Traditional Content Growth:: Alternative content (16% of domestic box office) and food/beverage per cap revenue ($8.20) highlight diversified revenue strategies and operational efficiency.

Revenue Growth and Margin Analysis

Cinemark's revenue growth was driven by a well-spaced film release cadence throughout the quarter, minimizing capacity constraints. Alternative content accounted for a significant 16% of the domestic box office in the quarter. The company's adjusted EBITDA margin was 21%, driven by a combination of attendance, box office performance, and market share of food and beverage per cap. As Sean Gamble noted, "We're thrilled to have produced yet another quarter of consistent outperforming results, while at the same time further refortifying our financial strength and competitive position."

Valuation Metrics

Based on the current valuation metrics, Cinemark's P/E Ratio stands at 11.65, indicating a relatively reasonable valuation. The EV/EBITDA ratio is 9.08, suggesting a moderate valuation. The Dividend Yield is 0.8%, which is relatively low. The ROE is 60.01%, indicating a strong return on equity. The Net Debt / EBITDA ratio is 3.82, suggesting a manageable debt burden.

Capital Allocation and M&A

Cinemark's Board of Directors has authorized a new $300 million stock repurchase program, demonstrating the company's commitment to returning excess capital to shareholders. The company also approved a 12.5% increase in the quarterly cash dividend, raising it to $0.09 per share. Regarding M&A, Cinemark has an appetite for high-quality assets that can deliver solid assured returns over time, with a focus on deepening penetration in areas where they already have a presence.

Outlook and Growth Prospects

Cinemark is optimistic about the rest of 2025, with a loaded slate of movies coming in November and December. Analysts estimate next year's revenue growth at 7.8%. The company's focus on premium large screen formats, including ScreenX, D-BOX, and IMAX, is expected to drive growth. Additionally, the company's efforts to expand its U.S. market share through initiatives like programming screens, marketing efforts, and loyalty programs are expected to contribute to its growth prospects.

3. NewsRoom

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Dow Jones Today: Stocks Tick Higher After Key Inflation Data; Netflix To Buy Warner Bros. in $83B Deal

Dec -05

Source: investopedia.com

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Cinema Stocks Drop After Netflix Suggests Shorter Theatrical Releases Following Warner Bros. Acquisition

Dec -05

Source: forbes.com

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Cinemark Target of Unusually Large Options Trading (NYSE:CNK)

Dec -04

Source: defenseworld.net

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Ignore AMC Stock in 2026 and Load Up on This Movie Theater Stock Instead

Dec -03

Source: fool.com

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Edgestream Partners L.P. Takes Position in Cinemark Holdings Inc $CNK

Dec -03

Source: defenseworld.net

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Cinemark Holdings Inc $CNK Shares Bought by Creative Planning

Dec -02

Source: defenseworld.net

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‘Wicked: For Good' wins box office with $150 million domestic opening

Nov -24

Source: youtube.com

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Marathon Asset Management Builds New 300,000 Share Position in Cinemark Stock

Nov -19

Source: fool.com

4. Business Breakdown

4.a. Revenues by Country

4.b. Revenues by Segment

5. Expected revenues mid-term growth (3.54%)

6. Segments

Admissions

Expected Growth: 4%

Cinemark's 4% growth in admissions is driven by strategic initiatives, including premium format expansion, enhanced food and beverage offerings, and targeted marketing efforts. Additionally, the company's focus on cost savings and operational efficiencies has contributed to increased profitability. Furthermore, the popularity of blockbuster films and a strong slate of upcoming releases have also supported growth in admissions.

Concession

Expected Growth: 3%

Cinemark Holdings, Inc.'s concession segment growth is driven by increasing average ticket prices, higher concession sales per patron, and a growing number of theatre locations. Additionally, strategic initiatives such as enhanced food and beverage offerings, loyalty programs, and premium formats like XD and Luxury Loungers contribute to the 3% growth.

Other

Expected Growth: 2%

Cinemark's 'Other' segment, experiencing 2% growth, is driven by increasing demand for premium formats like XD and IMAX, as well as enhanced food and beverage offerings. Additionally, strategic partnerships and expanded amenities, such as luxury loungers and dine-in services, contribute to this growth.

Screen Advertising, Screen Rental and Promotional

Expected Growth: 5%

Cinemark's Screen Advertising growth is driven by increasing demand for on-screen ads, premium formats like XD and Luxury Loungers, and strategic partnerships. Screen Rental growth is fueled by rising demand for private events and alternative content. Promotional growth is driven by innovative marketing campaigns, loyalty programs, and strategic partnerships, all contributing to a 5% growth rate.

7. Detailed Products

Movie Tickets

Cinemark Holdings, Inc. sells movie tickets to customers through its website, mobile app, and at the box office of its theaters.

Concessions

Cinemark offers a variety of food and beverage items, such as popcorn, snacks, and drinks, at its theaters.

Premium Format Experiences

Cinemark offers premium format experiences, such as XD, IMAX, and 3D, which provide a unique and immersive viewing experience.

Private Watch Parties

Cinemark offers private watch parties, which allow customers to rent out a theater for a private screening.

Event Cinema

Cinemark hosts event cinema, which includes live broadcasts of concerts, sports, and other events.

Loyalty Program

Cinemark offers a loyalty program, which rewards customers for their purchases and provides exclusive benefits.

8. Cinemark Holdings, Inc.'s Porter Forces

Forces Ranking

Threat Of Substitutes

Cinemark Holdings, Inc. faces moderate threat from substitutes, as customers have alternative options for entertainment, such as streaming services and home theaters. However, the unique experience offered by Cinemark's theaters, including its XD and Luxury Loungers formats, helps to mitigate this threat.

Bargaining Power Of Customers

Cinemark Holdings, Inc. has a large customer base, but individual customers have limited bargaining power due to the company's dominant market position and lack of alternative options for cinema entertainment.

Bargaining Power Of Suppliers

Cinemark Holdings, Inc. has a moderate level of dependence on its suppliers, including film studios and concession suppliers. While the company has some bargaining power due to its size, suppliers also have some leverage due to the importance of their products to Cinemark's business.

Threat Of New Entrants

The threat of new entrants is low for Cinemark Holdings, Inc., as the cinema industry has high barriers to entry, including significant capital requirements and complex logistics. Additionally, the company's established brand and market position make it difficult for new entrants to gain traction.

Intensity Of Rivalry

The cinema industry is highly competitive, with several major players, including AMC Entertainment and Regal Cinemas. Cinemark Holdings, Inc. faces intense rivalry from these competitors, which can lead to pricing pressure and competition for market share.

9. SWOT Analysis

Strength

Weaknesses

Opportunities

Threats

10. Capital Structure

10.a. Balance Sheet

10.b. Weighted Average Cost of capital

Value
Debt Weight 89.45%
Debt Cost 5.63%
Equity Weight 10.55%
Equity Cost 15.26%
WACC 6.65%
Leverage 847.51%

11. Quality Control: Cinemark Holdings, Inc. passed 2 out of 9 key points

12.a Historical Valuation

12.b Price/Earnings Ratio

12.c Margin Valuation

12.d Peers Valuation

Peers Group Analysis

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Sinclair Broadcast Group

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Value: 7.2

Growth: 4.4

Quality: 4.5

Yield: 10.0

Momentum: 3.0

Volatility: 3.3

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Marcus

A-Score: 4.8/10

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Growth: 4.0

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Yield: 3.0

Momentum: 4.0

Volatility: 6.0

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Cinemark

A-Score: 4.6/10

Value: 6.0

Growth: 5.2

Quality: 5.2

Yield: 1.0

Momentum: 4.5

Volatility: 6.0

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Value: 9.8

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Quality: 4.9

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 6.0

Volatility: 3.3

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Quality: 4.7

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 6.0

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A-Score: 3.1/10

Value: 6.3

Growth: 5.9

Quality: 3.3

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 1.0

Volatility: 2.3

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Peers Metrics

12.e Scoring Insights

12.f DCF BETA

Parameters

Short Term Growth

Short term Time

Long-Term Growth

WACC

Target Price

23.81$

Current Price

23.81$

Potential

-0.00%

Expected Cash-Flows