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1. Company Snapshot

1.a. Company Description

Clipper Realty Inc.(NYSE: CLPR) is a self-administered and self-managed real estate company that acquires, owns, manages, operates and repositions multifamily residential and commercial properties in the New York metropolitan area, with a portfolio in Manhattan and Brooklyn.

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1.b. Last Insights on CLPR

Negative drivers behind Clipper Realty Inc.'s recent 3-month performance include a significant increase in short interest, with a 21.1% rise in December to 210,217 shares, representing approximately 2.8% of the company's outstanding shares. Additionally, the company's potential dividend cut is a concern, as highlighted in a recent sell alert, which may impact investor confidence. Furthermore, the overall market sentiment remains bearish, with a recent downgrade to a sell rating from a hold, citing limited geographic diversification, negative equity, and a high AFFO dividend payout ratio.

1.c. Company Highlights

2. Clipper Realty's Q4 2025 Earnings: A Mixed Bag

Clipper Realty reported revenues of $37.1 million, Net Operating Income (NOI) of $20.7 million, and Adjusted Funds From Operations (AFFO) of $1.7 million for the fourth quarter of 2025. The company's earnings per share (EPS) came in at $0.04, missing analyst estimates of $0.11. The residential property segment drove revenue growth, but was offset by a $4.0 million decrease due to the termination of the New York City lease at the 250 Livingston Street office property. As David Bistricer noted, "our residential properties continue to perform very well due to continued high residential rental demand, generating excellent cash flow."

Publication Date: Mar -07

📋 Highlights
  • High Residential Rents: New leases exceeded prior rents by 13%, with free market rents at $85/ft and properties like Tribeca House at $95/ft.
  • Strong Occupancy: Stabilized residential properties are 99% leased, with renewals up 7% compared to previous leases.
  • Prospect House Progress: 78% leased in Q4, with free market rents at $85/ft for this development at 953 Dean Street.
  • Financial Results: Revenues of $37.1M, NOI of $20.7M, and AFFO of $1.7M, impacted by a $4M loss from NYC lease termination.
  • Dividend Declared: $0.095/share dividend for Q4 2025, to be paid on March 19, 2026.

Operational Highlights

The company's residential leasing performance was robust, with stabilized properties at 99% occupancy and new leases exceeding prior rents by 13%. The Prospect House development is also making progress, with 78% occupancy and free market rents at $85 per square foot. The strong leasing performance is a testament to the company's ability to capitalize on high demand for residential rentals.

Valuation and Outlook

With a P/S Ratio of 0.33, Clipper Realty's valuation appears reasonable compared to its revenue. The Dividend Yield stands at 12.18%, indicating an attractive return for income investors. However, the EV/EBITDA ratio of 20.12 suggests that the company's enterprise value may be high relative to its earnings. Looking ahead, analysts estimate revenue growth of 3.4% for the next year, which could provide a positive catalyst for the stock.

Challenges Ahead

The termination of the New York City lease at 250 Livingston Street and the absence of results from the 10 West 65th Street property are potential headwinds for the company. However, with $30.8 million in unrestricted cash and a manageable debt profile (89% fixed at an average rate of 3.87%), Clipper Realty is well-positioned to navigate these challenges. The company's focus on efficiently operating its portfolio and capitalizing on new opportunities should help drive long-term value creation.

3. NewsRoom

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Seeking Shelter In A Shifting Market

Mar -01

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Clipper Realty: Cheap Even With Office And Political Overhangs

Feb -27

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Clipper Realty Inc. (CLPR) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

Feb -27

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Clipper Realty Inc. (CLPR) Misses Q4 FFO and Revenue Estimates

Feb -26

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Sell Alert: 3 REITs Facing Likely Dividend Cuts

Jan -22

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Clipper Realty Inc. (NYSE:CLPR) Short Interest Up 21.1% in December

Jan -21

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Insider Buying: Clipper Realty (NYSE:CLPR) Director Buys $10,585.47 in Stock

Jan -03

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Sam Levinson Purchases 19,558 Shares of Clipper Realty (NYSE:CLPR) Stock

Jan -02

4. Business Breakdown

4.a. Revenues by Country

4.b. Revenues by Segment

5. Expected revenues mid-term growth (4.78%)

6. Segments

Residential

Expected Growth: 4.5%

Clipper Realty's 4.5% growth in Residential segment is driven by increasing demand for affordable housing, favorable demographics, and strategic expansion into high-growth markets. Additionally, the company's focus on amenity-rich communities, strong brand recognition, and efficient operations contribute to its growth momentum.

Commercial

Expected Growth: 5.5%

Clipper Realty Inc.'s 5.5% growth is driven by increasing demand for multifamily housing, strategic acquisitions, and effective cost management. Additionally, the company's focus on value-add initiatives, such as renovations and repositioning, has enhanced property values and driven rental growth.

7. Detailed Products

Residential Brokerage

Clipper Realty Inc. offers residential brokerage services, connecting buyers and sellers of residential properties, including single-family homes, condominiums, and townhouses.

Commercial Brokerage

Clipper Realty Inc. provides commercial brokerage services, facilitating the buying and selling of commercial properties, including office buildings, retail spaces, and industrial facilities.

Property Management

Clipper Realty Inc. offers property management services, overseeing the day-to-day operations of residential and commercial properties, including rent collection, maintenance, and financial reporting.

Development and Construction

Clipper Realty Inc. develops and constructs new properties, including residential and commercial projects, from concept to completion.

Investment Sales

Clipper Realty Inc. facilitates the sale of investment properties, including apartment buildings, office buildings, and retail centers.

8. Clipper Realty Inc.'s Porter Forces

Forces Ranking

Threat Of Substitutes

The threat of substitutes for Clipper Realty Inc. is moderate, as there are alternative options for customers, but they are not highly attractive.

Bargaining Power Of Customers

The bargaining power of customers is low, as Clipper Realty Inc. has a strong brand and customers have limited alternatives.

Bargaining Power Of Suppliers

The bargaining power of suppliers is moderate, as Clipper Realty Inc. relies on a few key suppliers, but has some flexibility in its supply chain.

Threat Of New Entrants

The threat of new entrants is high, as the real estate industry is relatively easy to enter, and new companies can quickly gain market share.

Intensity Of Rivalry

The intensity of rivalry is high, as the real estate industry is highly competitive, and companies must constantly innovate to stay ahead.

9. SWOT Analysis

10. Capital Structure

10.a. Balance Sheet

10.b. Weighted Average Cost of capital

Value
Debt Weight 99.77%
Debt Cost 8.06%
Equity Weight 0.23%
Equity Cost 10.06%
WACC 8.06%
Leverage 43936.73%

11. Quality Control: Clipper Realty Inc. passed 1 out of 9 key points

12.a Historical Valuation

12.b Price/Earnings Ratio

12.c Margin Valuation

12.d Peers Valuation

Peers Group Analysis

Stock-Card
Clipper Realty

A-Score: 6.4/10

Value: 9.8

Growth: 6.2

Quality: 5.8

Yield: 10.0

Momentum: 2.5

Volatility: 4.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
NexPoint Residential Trust

A-Score: 6.0/10

Value: 6.6

Growth: 5.1

Quality: 5.2

Yield: 9.0

Momentum: 2.0

Volatility: 8.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Centerspace

A-Score: 5.8/10

Value: 6.0

Growth: 3.2

Quality: 4.5

Yield: 8.0

Momentum: 5.0

Volatility: 8.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
BRT Apartments

A-Score: 5.8/10

Value: 6.1

Growth: 5.3

Quality: 3.8

Yield: 9.0

Momentum: 2.0

Volatility: 8.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
UMH Properties

A-Score: 5.5/10

Value: 3.9

Growth: 2.9

Quality: 4.6

Yield: 9.0

Momentum: 3.0

Volatility: 9.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Bluerock Homes Trust

A-Score: 5.2/10

Value: 7.5

Growth: 5.6

Quality: 3.2

Yield: 9.0

Momentum: 1.0

Volatility: 5.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Peers Metrics

12.e Scoring Insights

12.f DCF BETA

Parameters

Short Term Growth

Short term Time

Long-Term Growth

WACC

Target Price

3.2$

Current Price

3.2$

Potential

-0.00%

Expected Cash-Flows