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1. Company Snapshot

1.a. Company Description

Creative Realities, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides digital marketing technology and solutions to retail companies, individual retail brands, enterprises, and organizations in the United States and internationally.Its technology and solutions include digital merchandising systems and omni-channel customer engagement systems; interactive digital shopping assistants; advisors and kiosks; and other interactive marketing technologies, such as mobile, social media, point-of-sale transactions, beaconing, and Web-based media that enables its customers to engage with their consumers.The company also provides system hardware; professional and implementation services; software design and development; and software licensing, deployment, and maintenance and support services, as well as media management and distribution software platforms and networks; device and product management; and customized software service layers, systems, experiences, workflows, and integrated solutions.


The company sells its solutions to the automotive, apparel and accessories, banking, baby/children, beauty, CPG, department stores, digital out-of-home, electronics, fashion, fitness, foodservice/quick service restaurant, financial services, gaming, luxury, mass merchants, mobile operators, and pharmacy retail industries.Creative Realities, Inc.is headquartered in Louisville, Kentucky.

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1.b. Last Insights on CREX

Creative Realities' recent performance was negatively impacted by a Q4 loss of $0.27 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of $0.11. This earnings miss was a significant departure from the $0.21 per share earnings reported in the same quarter last year. The company's financial results for the quarter and full year ended December 31, 2024, were also marred by escalating costs and a decline in revenue growth.

1.c. Company Highlights

2. Creative Realities Rockets Past Expectations with $23.9M Q4

Creative Realities posted a striking Q4 revenue of $23.9 million, more than doubling the $11 million seen a year earlier, largely buoyed by CDM’s $13.6 million contribution. Gross profit hit $11.5 million, giving a 47.9% gross margin, while adjusted EBITDA rose to $5.2 million. The company’s diluted EPS was –$0.141, trailing the –$0.07 estimate [Rick Mills]. Valuation multiples reflect the negative earnings: a P/E of –5.54 and an EV/EBITDA of –16.23.

Publication Date: Apr -17

📋 Highlights
  • Revenue Growth and CDM Impact:: Q4 revenue surged to $23.9 million (up from $11 million YoY), with $13.6 million from the CDM acquisition, doubling the company's size.
  • Financial Metrics:: Gross profit reached $11.5 million (47.9% margin), ARR was $20.1 million, and adjusted EBITDA hit $5.2 million in Q4.
  • 2026 Projections:: Targets $100 million+ revenue and 20% adjusted EBITDA margin by FY2026, driven by $54 million NC Lottery contract and $6 million AMC media project.
  • Acquisition Synergies:: CDM integration added $10 million+ in anticipated annual synergies and expanded Canadian market penetration.
  • Sales Expansion and Strategic Contracts:: Sales team tripled in size, secured QSR RFP win, and expects $17 million+ IPTV revenue (doubling YoY) with modular drive-thru systems.

CDM Acquisition Acceleration

The CDM purchase more than doubled Creative’s scale, injecting Canadian market penetration and a robust retail media foothold. Integration has progressed rapidly, with synergies projected at $10 million by year‑end, setting the stage for the anticipated $100 million revenue target in 2026.

Revenue Growth Drivers

Key revenue engines include the IPTV division, slated to double to $17 million, and the QSR/fast‑casual segment, now reaping gains from a next‑gen modular drive‑thru menu board. New media contracts—$6 million with AMC and $54 million with NC Lottery—further diversify the pipeline.

Margin Outlook and Synergies

With integration gains and higher‑margin media contracts, adjusted EBITDA margins are expected to climb into the mid‑teens by year‑end. The company projects a 20% margin, a substantial lift from Q4’s 21.7% adjusted EBITDA margin, driven by operational efficiencies and cost discipline.

Capital Structure and Debt Management

Cash on hand sits at $1.6 million against $43.3 million of gross debt. The management plan is to use incremental cash generation to reduce debt and transition to a leaner capital structure, improving net debt/EBITDA from –10.03 to a more sustainable figure.

Sales Force Expansion

The sales team has tripled, reorganized into vertical units, and is aggressively courting large grocery and convenience‑store chains. A recent QSR win and a 7‑figure AMC contract signal strong pipeline momentum.

Media Network Expansion

Deployments with the NC Lottery and AMC are creating network effects, with the lottery customer reporting measurable sales lift. The company anticipates that Q3 hardware shipments and Q4 media revenue will solidify its market leadership in digital signage.

Weather Impact and Forward Guidance

Unseasonal weather in early 2026 delayed construction, shifting roughly $4 million of revenue from Q1 to later quarters. Despite this, the outlook remains bullish: revenue is projected to exceed $100 million, with a backlog that should cushion the impact of any subsequent delays.

Valuation Snapshot

Current multiples—P/E –5.54, EV/EBITDA –16.23, and P/S 0.69—reflect the company’s current loss profile but also its rapid growth trajectory. As the firm moves toward profitability, these ratios are poised to normalize, potentially unlocking significant upside for investors.

3. NewsRoom

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Creative Realities Q4 Earnings Call Highlights

Apr -16

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Creative Realities, Inc. (CREX) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

Apr -14

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Creative Realities Reports Fiscal 2025 Fourth Quarter Results

Apr -14

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Creative Realities, Inc. Announces Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Earnings Release Date and Conference Call Information

Apr -07

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Creative Realities Appoints Jackie Walker as CXO to Lead Experience Strategy and Next Generation SaaS Platform Vision

Mar -25

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Creative Realities Announces Repurchase of Slipstream Warrants

Feb -18

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Is Creative Realities, Inc. (CREX) Stock Outpacing Its Computer and Technology Peers This Year?

Jan -16

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Creative Realities Launches Digital Drive-Thru 2.0, a Modular, Scalable Solution Designed to Improve Drive-Thru Efficiency and Flexibility

Jan -07

4. Business Breakdown

4.a. Revenues by Country

4.b. Revenues by Segment

5. Expected revenues mid-term growth (10.84%)

6. Segments

Hardware

Expected Growth: 9.9%

Creative Realities' 9.9% growth in Hardware is driven by increasing demand for digital signage and interactive kiosks, expansion into new markets, and strategic partnerships. The company's focus on innovative display technologies, such as LED and OLED, also contributes to its growth. Additionally, the rising need for immersive customer experiences in retail and entertainment industries fuels the demand for Creative Realities' hardware solutions.

Managed Services

Expected Growth: 12.03%

Creative Realities' Managed Services segment growth of 12.03% is driven by increasing demand for digital signage and experiential solutions, expansion into new markets, and strategic partnerships. Additionally, the company's focus on providing comprehensive services, including installation, maintenance, and content management, has led to higher customer retention and upselling opportunities, contributing to the segment's growth.

Installation Services

Expected Growth: 11.47%

Creative Realities' Installation Services growth is driven by increasing demand for digital signage and experiential displays, expansion into new markets, and strategic partnerships. The company's expertise in designing and installing complex display systems, combined with its ability to provide comprehensive services, has enabled it to capitalize on the growing need for immersive brand experiences.

Other Services

Expected Growth: 9.98%

Creative Realities' 9.98% growth in Other Services is driven by increasing demand for digital signage and experiential marketing solutions, expansion into new markets, and strategic partnerships. The company's focus on innovative technologies, such as augmented reality and artificial intelligence, also contributes to its growth.

7. Detailed Products

Digital Signage

Creative Realities' digital signage solutions provide engaging and interactive experiences for customers, employees, and visitors across various industries.

Kiosks and Interactive Displays

Self-service kiosks and interactive displays designed to provide customers with easy access to information, products, and services.

Digital Menu Boards

Digital menu boards designed to display menu items, prices, and nutritional information in a clear and visually appealing way.

Wayfinding and Directory Solutions

Interactive wayfinding and directory solutions that provide visitors with easy navigation and information about a location.

Content Management and Distribution

A cloud-based content management system that enables users to create, schedule, and distribute content across multiple screens and locations.

Analytics and Insights

Data analytics and insights solutions that provide businesses with valuable insights into customer behavior and engagement.

8. Creative Realities, Inc.'s Porter Forces

Forces Ranking

Threat Of Substitutes

The threat of substitutes for Creative Realities, Inc. is medium due to the availability of alternative digital signage solutions.

Bargaining Power Of Customers

The bargaining power of customers is low due to the specialized nature of Creative Realities' products and services.

Bargaining Power Of Suppliers

The bargaining power of suppliers is medium due to the availability of multiple suppliers for the company's hardware and software components.

Threat Of New Entrants

The threat of new entrants is high due to the relatively low barriers to entry in the digital signage industry.

Intensity Of Rivalry

The intensity of rivalry is high due to the competitive nature of the digital signage industry and the presence of several established players.

9. SWOT Analysis

10. Capital Structure

10.a. Balance Sheet

10.b. Weighted Average Cost of capital

Value
Debt Weight 32.72%
Debt Cost 19.86%
Equity Weight 67.28%
Equity Cost 19.86%
WACC 19.86%
Leverage 48.64%

11. Quality Control: Creative Realities, Inc. passed 3 out of 9 key points

12.a Historical Valuation

12.b Price/Earnings Ratio

12.c Margin Valuation

12.d Peers Valuation

Peers Group Analysis

Stock-Card
NetSol Technologies

A-Score: 4.9/10

Value: 8.5

Growth: 4.2

Quality: 5.7

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 8.0

Volatility: 2.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Domo

A-Score: 4.7/10

Value: 7.7

Growth: 4.9

Quality: 5.6

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 8.0

Volatility: 2.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
MoneyLion

A-Score: 4.2/10

Value: 3.6

Growth: 6.1

Quality: 5.8

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 6.0

Volatility: 3.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Amplitude

A-Score: 3.9/10

Value: 4.6

Growth: 5.4

Quality: 4.3

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 5.0

Volatility: 4.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Creative Realities

A-Score: 3.9/10

Value: 9.2

Growth: 2.8

Quality: 5.0

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 5.0

Volatility: 1.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Weave Communications

A-Score: 3.3/10

Value: 5.5

Growth: 5.9

Quality: 4.0

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 1.0

Volatility: 3.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Peers Metrics

12.e Scoring Insights

12.f DCF BETA

Parameters

Short Term Growth

Short term Time

Long-Term Growth

WACC

Target Price

3.94$

Current Price

3.94$

Potential

-0.00%

Expected Cash-Flows