Download PDF

1. Company Snapshot

1.a. Company Description

Guardant Health, Inc., a precision oncology company, provides blood tests, data sets, and analytics in the United States and internationally.The company offers Guardant360, Guardant360 LDT, Guardant360 CDx, and GuardantOMNI liquid biopsy-based tests for advanced stage cancer; and GuardantINFORM, an in-silico research platform that comprise a clinical-genomic liquid biopsy dataset of advanced cancer patients.It is also developing LUNAR-2 test for the early detection of colorectal cancer in asymptomatic individuals eligible; and GuardantConnect, an integrated software-based solution for clinical and biopharmaceutical customers seeking to connect patients tested with the Guardant360 assay with actionable alterations with potentially relevant clinical trials.


In addition, the company offers Guardant Reveal Test for neoadjuvant and adjuvant treatment selection in early-stage cancer patients; Guardant360 tissue genotyping product; and Guardant-19 for use in the detection of the novel coronavirus.Further, it offers development services, including companion diagnostic development and regulatory approval, clinical study setup, monitoring and maintenance, testing development and support, and kits fulfillment related services to biopharmaceutical companies and medical institutions.The company was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in Redwood City, California.

Show Full description

1.b. Last Insights on GH

Guardant Health's recent performance was driven by strong Q3 2025 earnings, with revenue growing 39% year-over-year to $265.2 million, exceeding expectations. The company's oncology business remains a revenue anchor, with approximately 74,000 oncology tests performed. Additionally, Guardant's therapy selection and biopharma businesses are strong, and its Reveal and Shield tests are making material contributions. The company has also raised its 2025 revenue guidance, indicating confidence in its growth prospects. Institutional investors, such as Creative Planning, have increased their stakes in the company, purchasing 11,449 shares.

1.c. Company Highlights

2. Guardant Health's Q3 2025 Earnings: Strong Revenue Growth and Improving Margins

Guardant Health reported a strong Q3 2025 with revenue growing 39% year-over-year to $265.2 million, driven by robust performance across its oncology, biopharma, and screening businesses. Oncology revenue increased 31% to $184.4 million, with 74,000 tests reported, representing a 40% year-over-year growth. Non-GAAP gross margin improved to 66% in Q3 2025, driven by reductions in Reveal COGS and strong progress in Shield gross margin. The company reported an adjusted EBITDA loss of $45.5 million, an improvement of $10.7 million compared to the third quarter of 2024. Actual EPS came out at -$0.39, beating estimates of -$0.48.

Publication Date: Nov -03

📋 Highlights

Revenue Growth Drivers

The growth was driven by strong performance across various products, including Guardant360 Liquid, Tissue, and Reveal, with volumes up more than 30%. Biopharma and data business revenue grew 18% to $54.7 million, with 2 companion diagnostic approvals achieved during the quarter. Shield revenue totaled $24.1 million, generated from 24,000 tests. As noted by Helmy Eltoukhy, Guardant360 has been growing over 30% for 11 years, driven by its application platform and increasing clinical utility.

Margin Expansion and Operating Expenses

Non-GAAP operating expenses were $228.8 million, up 22% year-over-year, primarily driven by investments in expanding screening commercial infrastructure and scaling sales and marketing for Shield. Despite the increase in operating expenses, the company's adjusted EBITDA loss improved year-over-year. Free cash flow burn was $45.8 million, improving by $9.5 million year-over-year.

Guidance and Outlook

The company raised its full-year 2025 revenue guidance to $965 million to $970 million, representing approximately 31% growth compared to 2024. Oncology revenue is expected to grow approximately 25% year-over-year, driven by stronger-than-expected oncology volumes. Shield revenue guidance was increased to $71 million to $73 million, reflecting higher expected volumes. Management remains confident in its long-term growth prospects and expects to deliver on its plan laid out at the Investor Day.

Valuation and Growth Prospects

With a P/S Ratio of 12.8 and an expected revenue growth rate of 26.0% next year, the company's valuation appears to be partially justified by its growth prospects. However, the EV/EBITDA ratio of -33.08 and ROE of 151.86% indicate that the company's profitability and return on equity are still subject to significant losses. Analysts will be watching closely to see if Guardant Health can continue to improve its margins and achieve profitability in the long term.

3. NewsRoom

Card image cap

Guardant Health to Present 14 Abstracts Demonstrating the Power of Multiomic Liquid Biopsy Tests in Predicting Outcomes and Tailoring Treatment for Early and Metastatic Breast Cancer at the 2025 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium

Dec -05

Card image cap

Is Guardant Health (GH) Stock Outpacing Its Medical Peers This Year?

Dec -04

Card image cap

Guardant Health, Inc. (NASDAQ:GH) Given Average Rating of “Moderate Buy” by Brokerages

Dec -01

Card image cap

5 Top Stocks For AI Fatigue

Nov -28

Card image cap

Creative Planning Purchases 11,449 Shares of Guardant Health, Inc. $GH

Nov -24

Card image cap

Gamehost (TSE:GH) Stock Passes Below 200 Day Moving Average – Here’s Why

Nov -19

Card image cap

Guardant Health Announces Launch of Single Namespace Group Uniting Leading Technology, Healthcare and Research Institutions to Set Global Standard for Exabyte-Scale Data Access

Nov -12

Card image cap

Guardant Health Expands Tissue-Free Reveal Test to Include Late-Stage Therapy Response Monitoring

Nov -10

4. Business Breakdown

4.a. Revenues by Country

4.b. Revenues by Segment

5. Expected revenues mid-term growth (14.35%)

6. Segments

Precision Oncology Testing

Expected Growth: 14.0%

Guardant Health's Precision Oncology Testing growth is driven by increasing adoption of liquid biopsies, rising demand for non-invasive cancer diagnostics, and growing use of biomarkers in personalized medicine. Additionally, expanding reimbursement coverage, strategic partnerships, and investments in R&D are fueling growth, with a 14.0% growth rate.

Development Services and Other

Expected Growth: 18.0%

Guardant Health's Development Services and Other segment growth of 18.0% is driven by increasing demand for its non-invasive genomic testing and analytics services, expansion into new markets, and strategic partnerships with pharmaceutical and biotechnology companies. Additionally, the company's investments in digital health and artificial intelligence are enhancing its service offerings, contributing to the segment's growth.

7. Detailed Products

Guardant360

A comprehensive liquid biopsy test that analyzes circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) to detect cancer mutations in the blood.

GuardantOMNI

A comprehensive liquid biopsy test that analyzes ctDNA to detect cancer mutations in the blood, with a broader gene panel than Guardant360.

LUNAR-1

A non-invasive, early cancer detection test that analyzes ctDNA in the blood to detect cancer at an early stage.

LUNAR-2

A non-invasive, early cancer detection test that analyzes ctDNA in the blood to detect cancer at an early stage, with a focus on multi-cancer detection.

Dx

A liquid biopsy test that analyzes ctDNA in the blood to detect cancer mutations, with a focus on companion diagnostics and clinical trials.

8. Guardant Health, Inc.'s Porter Forces

Forces Ranking

Threat Of Substitutes

Guardant Health, Inc. has a low threat of substitutes due to its unique liquid biopsy technology and strong patent portfolio, making it difficult for competitors to replicate its products.

Bargaining Power Of Customers

Guardant Health, Inc. has a medium bargaining power of customers due to the presence of a few large customers, but the company's products are highly specialized and critical to patient care, limiting the customers' bargaining power.

Bargaining Power Of Suppliers

Guardant Health, Inc. has a low bargaining power of suppliers due to its ability to negotiate prices with suppliers and its diversified supply chain, reducing dependence on any single supplier.

Threat Of New Entrants

Guardant Health, Inc. has a high threat of new entrants due to the growing demand for liquid biopsy and the increasing interest in the field, making it attractive for new companies to enter the market.

Intensity Of Rivalry

Guardant Health, Inc. operates in a competitive market, but its strong brand recognition, patented technology, and established customer base help to mitigate the intensity of rivalry.

9. SWOT Analysis

10. Capital Structure

10.a. Balance Sheet

10.b. Weighted Average Cost of capital

Value
Debt Weight 88.04%
Debt Cost 3.95%
Equity Weight 11.96%
Equity Cost 8.55%
WACC 4.50%
Leverage 736.00%

11. Quality Control: Guardant Health, Inc. passed 4 out of 9 key points

12.a Historical Valuation

12.b Price/Earnings Ratio

12.c Margin Valuation

12.d Peers Valuation

Peers Group Analysis

Stock-Card
Guardant Health

A-Score: 5.2/10

Value: 8.0

Growth: 4.7

Quality: 6.2

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 10.0

Volatility: 2.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Exact Sciences

A-Score: 3.4/10

Value: 4.8

Growth: 6.0

Quality: 3.2

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 2.0

Volatility: 4.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Illumina

A-Score: 3.3/10

Value: 4.6

Growth: 2.8

Quality: 7.4

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 1.5

Volatility: 3.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Sotera Health

A-Score: 3.3/10

Value: 1.4

Growth: 5.2

Quality: 3.8

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 6.0

Volatility: 3.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Revvity

A-Score: 3.3/10

Value: 3.0

Growth: 3.1

Quality: 5.7

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 1.5

Volatility: 6.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Neogen

A-Score: 2.5/10

Value: 7.9

Growth: 1.3

Quality: 3.2

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 0.5

Volatility: 2.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Peers Metrics

12.e Scoring Insights

12.f DCF BETA

Parameters

Short Term Growth

Short term Time

Long-Term Growth

WACC

Target Price

102.02$

Current Price

102.02$

Potential

-0.00%

Expected Cash-Flows