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1. Company Snapshot

1.a. Company Description

Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.operates as a beverage company in the United States and internationally.It operates through Coffee Systems, Packaged Beverages, Beverage Concentrates, and Latin America Beverages segments.


The Coffee Systems segment manufactures and distributes various finished goods related to its coffee systems, K-Cup pods, and brewers, as well as specialty coffee.This segment sells its brewers through third-party distributors and retail partners, as well as through its website at keurig.com.The Packaged Beverages segment engages in the manufacture and distribution of packaged beverages of its brands; contract manufacturing of various private label and emerging brand beverages; and distribution of packaged beverages for its partner brands.


The Beverage Concentrates segment manufactures and sells beverage concentrates primarily under the Dr Pepper, Canada Dry, A&W, 7UP, Sunkist, Squirt, Big Red, RC Cola, Vernors, Snapple, Mott's, Bai, Hawaiian Punch, Clamato, Yoo-Hoo, Core, ReaLemon, evian, Vita Coco, and Mr and Mrs T mixers brands.This segment also manufactures beverage concentrates into syrup.The Latin America Beverages segment manufactures and distributes carbonated mineral water, flavored carbonated soft drinks, bottled water, and vegetable juice products under the Peñafiel, Clamato, Squirt, Dr Pepper, Crush, and Aguafiel brands.


The company serves retailers, bottlers and distributors, restaurants, hotel chains, office coffee distributors, and end-use consumers.Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.was founded in 1981 and is headquartered in Burlington, Massachusetts.

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1.b. Last Insights on KDP

Keurig Dr Pepper's recent performance was driven by several positive factors. The company's quarterly dividend of $0.23 per share, announced on February 3, 2026, demonstrates its commitment to returning value to shareholders. Additionally, Chicago Partners Investment Group LLC's purchase of a new position in Keurig Dr Pepper, valued at approximately $642,000, indicates growing institutional interest in the company. Furthermore, the company's upcoming earnings release on February 24, 2026, is expected to provide insight into its financial performance and future prospects.

1.c. Company Highlights

2. Keurig Dr Pepper's 2025 Earnings: A Strong Performance with Promising Outlook

Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. delivered a robust financial performance in 2025, with net sales increasing 8.6% to a significant figure, operating income rising 4.9%, and EPS growing 7.3% on a constant currency basis to $2.43, with Q4 EPS coming in at $0.60, slightly above estimates of $0.589. The company's US refreshment beverages segment demonstrated a strong performance, growing net sales 11.5%, driven by volume mix and net pricing, while segment operating income increased 8.7%. In contrast, the US coffee segment faced challenges, with net sales growing 3.9% but segment operating income declining 8.8% due to cost inflation and volume mix decline.

Publication Date: Feb -25

📋 Highlights
  • 2025 Performance:: Net sales rose 8.6%, operating income up 4.9%, and EPS grew 7.3% on a constant currency basis.
  • 2026 EPS Guidance:: Targets low double-digit growth, with JDE Peet's acquisition contributing 6-7% to EPS growth ($0.36-0.37 EPS in Q1 despite headwinds).
  • Separation & Integration:: Plans to split into Beverage Co and Global Coffee Co; JDE Peet's acquisition (adding $8.5-8.7B sales) expected to close April 2026.
  • International Growth:: Net sales surged 16% in constant currency (2025), driven by 9.2% net price realization and 6.8% volume mix growth.
  • Free Cash Flow:: $1.519B in 2025, targeting $2B in 2026 (vs. $1.07-1.12B interest expense) as cost headwinds moderate in H2.

Segment Performance

The company's international business also showed promising growth, with net sales increasing 16% in constant currency, driven by net price realization and volume mix. The US refreshment beverages segment is expected to continue its strong performance in 2026, with the company planning to drive innovation and growth. As Anthony DiSalvestro, the new CFO, expressed enthusiasm for the company's direction and potential, highlighting the unique value creation opportunity presented by the JDE Peet's acquisition.

Outlook and Guidance

Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. expects low double-digit EPS growth in 2026, driven by the JDE Peet's acquisition, which is expected to contribute 6-7 percentage points to EPS growth. The company has provided guidance for Q1 EPS in the range of $0.36-0.37 and expects EPS growth to be positive in Q2 and accelerate further in the second half. The company's free cash flow is expected to increase to approximately $2 billion in 2026, with a refined financing plan in place for the JDE Peet's acquisition.

Valuation and Metrics

With a current P/E Ratio of 20.27, P/B Ratio of 1.65, and EV/EBITDA of 16.02, the market appears to have priced in a significant level of growth for Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. The company's ROE of 8.29% and ROIC of 5.5% indicate a reasonable return on equity and invested capital. As the company navigates the integration of JDE Peet's and the separation into two pure-play companies, investors will be watching closely to see if the company can deliver on its growth promises.

3. NewsRoom

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The Best 3 Consumer Staples Stocks to Buy and Hold for Decades

Mar -13

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Capital International Investors Lowers Stock Position in Keurig Dr Pepper, Inc $KDP

Mar -13

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Capital Group Private Client Services Inc. Cuts Stock Position in Keurig Dr Pepper, Inc $KDP

Mar -11

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Barrow Hanley Mewhinney & Strauss LLC Increases Stock Holdings in Keurig Dr Pepper, Inc $KDP

Mar -11

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Cresset Asset Management LLC Lowers Stock Holdings in Keurig Dr Pepper, Inc $KDP

Mar -11

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Keurig Dr Pepper, Inc $KDP Position Trimmed by Clarkston Capital Partners LLC

Mar -09

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Keurig Dr Pepper, Inc $KDP Stock Position Increased by Barclays PLC

Mar -08

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Chapman Financial Group LLC Invests $487,000 in Keurig Dr Pepper, Inc $KDP

Mar -07

4. Business Breakdown

4.a. Revenues by Country

4.b. Revenues by Segment

5. Expected revenues mid-term growth (4.14%)

6. Segments

U.s. Refreshment Beverages

Expected Growth: 4.2%

The U.S. Refreshment Beverages segment growth of 4.2% for Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. is driven by increased consumer demand for convenient and sustainable beverage options, strong performance of flagship brands such as Dr Pepper and Canada Dry, and successful product innovations and packaging redesigns that appeal to health-conscious consumers.

International

Expected Growth: 5.1%

Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.'s international segment growth of 5.1% is driven by increased demand for beverage products, expansion into new markets, and strategic partnerships. The company's diversified portfolio, including brands like Keurig and Dr Pepper, contributes to its growth momentum. Additionally, investments in e-commerce and digital marketing enhance its global reach and consumer engagement.

U.s. Coffee

Expected Growth: 3.5%

The U.S. Coffee segment from Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. is driven by growth in single-serve coffee sales, increased consumer demand for convenience and sustainability, and expansion of the Keurig brand through innovative products and partnerships, resulting in a 3.5% growth rate.

7. Detailed Products

Coffee

Single-serve coffee makers and brewers that use K-Cup pods to provide a convenient and customizable coffee experience

Tea and Other Beverages

Hot and iced tea, hot chocolate, and other specialty beverages available in K-Cup pods

Water Filtration Systems

At-home water filtration systems that provide clean and fresh-tasting water

Soda and Juice

A variety of flavored sodas, juices, and sparkling waters from brands like Dr Pepper, 7 Up, and Snapple

Flavor Shots and Creamers

Flavor shots and creamers that can be used to customize coffee and other beverages

Office Coffee Solutions

Commercial coffee makers and brewers designed for high-volume use in offices and workplaces

8. Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.'s Porter Forces

Forces Ranking

Threat Of Substitutes

Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. faces moderate threat from substitutes, as consumers have various options for coffee and beverage products. However, the company's strong brand portfolio and innovative products help mitigate this threat.

Bargaining Power Of Customers

Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. has a large and diverse customer base, which reduces the bargaining power of individual customers. Additionally, the company's products are widely available, making it difficult for customers to negotiate prices.

Bargaining Power Of Suppliers

Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. relies on a few large suppliers for its coffee beans and other raw materials. While the company has some bargaining power due to its size, suppliers may still exert some pressure on prices and supply terms.

Threat Of New Entrants

The beverage industry has high barriers to entry, including significant capital requirements and established distribution networks. This makes it difficult for new entrants to compete with Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.'s scale and brand recognition.

Intensity Of Rivalry

The beverage industry is highly competitive, with many established players competing for market share. Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. faces intense rivalry from companies like PepsiCo, The Coca-Cola Company, and Nestle, which can lead to pricing pressure and advertising wars.

9. SWOT Analysis

10. Capital Structure

10.a. Balance Sheet

10.b. Weighted Average Cost of capital

Value
Debt Weight 36.60%
Debt Cost 4.23%
Equity Weight 63.40%
Equity Cost 7.02%
WACC 6.00%
Leverage 57.73%

11. Quality Control: Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. passed 2 out of 9 key points

12.a Historical Valuation

12.b Price/Earnings Ratio

12.c Margin Valuation

12.d Peers Valuation

Peers Group Analysis

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A-Score: 4.7/10

Value: 3.8

Growth: 3.0

Quality: 5.8

Yield: 5.0

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Peers Metrics

12.e Scoring Insights

12.f DCF BETA

Parameters

Short Term Growth

Short term Time

Long-Term Growth

WACC

Target Price

27.41$

Current Price

27.41$

Potential

-0.00%

Expected Cash-Flows