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1. Company Snapshot

1.a. Company Description

Ondas Holdings Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides private wireless, drone, and automated data solutions.The company operates in two segments, Ondas Networks and American Robotics.The company designs, develops, manufactures, sells, and supports FullMAX, a software defined radio (SDR) platform for wide-area broadband networks.


Its FullMAX SDR platform enables secure and reliable industrial-grade connectivity for truly mission-critical applications.The company also offers Scout Drone, an AI-powered drone with imaging payloads; the ScoutBase, a ruggedized base station for housing, charging, data processing, and cloud transfer; and ScoutView, an American robotics analytics and user interface software package.It serves users in rail, energy, mining, agriculture, and critical infrastructure markets in the United States and internationally.


The company is headquartered in Waltham, Massachusetts.

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1.b. Last Insights on ONDS

Ondas Holdings Inc.'s recent performance was driven by several positive factors. Institutional investors, such as Squarepoint Ops LLC, Two Sigma Investments LP, and Millennium Management LLC, acquired new stakes in the company, indicating confidence in its growth prospects. Additionally, Ondas secured a $14.3 million order from a leading defense customer for its Optimus drone systems, reinforcing its expansion in the global defense and security markets. The company also announced the closing of a $46 million public offering, which is expected to generate approximately $42.8 million in net proceeds. Furthermore, Ondas regained full Nasdaq compliance, having maintained a minimum closing bid price of $1.00 or more for at least 10 consecutive business days. The company has also priced an upsized $40.0 million public offering of common stock and pre-funded warrants, which is expected to provide additional capital for growth initiatives.

1.c. Company Highlights

2. Ondas Holdings' Q3 Earnings: A Record Quarter with Strong Growth Momentum

Ondas Holdings Inc. reported a record-breaking third quarter with $10.1 million in revenue, a more than six-fold increase year over year and a nearly 60% sequential increase from Q2. The company's adjusted EBITDA loss was $8.8 million, and the operating loss was $15.5 million. The actual EPS came out at -$0.06, relative to estimates at -$0.05. The company's gross margin was 26%, with an operating expense increase to $18.1 million primarily due to higher personnel costs.

Publication Date: Nov -23

📋 Highlights
  • Record revenue growth: with $10.1 million in Q3 revenue, a 6x year-over-year increase and 60% sequential growth.
  • 2025 revenue target raised: to at least $36 million, with 2026 guidance of $110 million (no additional M&A factored in).
  • Strong capital position: including $855 million in 2025 equity raises and $433.4 million cash balance as of September 30, 2025.
  • OAS segment performance: generated $10 million in revenue with 26% gross margin, while backlog grew to $23.3 million (up from $11 million at year-start).
  • Ondas Capital initiative: aims to deploy $150 million to accelerate adoption of battle-tested unmanned technologies from allied nations into U.S. and European markets.

Segment Performance and Backlog

The Ondas Autonomous Systems (OAS) segment generated $10 million in revenue, driven by deliveries of Iron Drone and Optimus Systems, as well as contributions from Apero ground robots and related services. The company's consolidated backlog grew to $23.3 million, more than double where it started the year, and reaches over $40 million when including acquisitions that have closed or are pending closure in the fourth quarter. The OAS backlog was $22.2 million, with over $40 million when including announced acquisitions.

Financial Strength and Guidance

Ondas raised its full-year 2025 revenue target to at least $36 million and established a goal for at least $110 million in revenue for 2026. The company has raised approximately $855 million in equity in 2025, providing capital strength to support its business plan, with a cash balance of $433.4 million as of September 30, 2025. Ondas' pro forma cash balances were $840.4 million, and stockholders' equity was $894 million, adjusted for the $47 million in net proceeds raised in an equity offering on October 7, 2025.

Valuation and Growth Prospects

Analysts estimate next year's revenue growth at 219.0%. With a P/S Ratio of 100.27 and an EV/EBITDA of -53.6, the market has priced in significant growth expectations. The company's ROE is -29.19%, and ROIC is -7.74%. Ondas is confident in its 2026 guidance, expecting margins to trend higher with an improving mix, targeting 50% gross margins. The counter-UAS market is expected to grow from $2.4 billion in 2024 to over $10.5 billion by 2030, representing a 27% compound annual growth rate.

Strategic Initiatives and Outlook

Ondas launched Ondas Capital, a multiyear initiative designed to deploy $150 million to accelerate the transition of battle-tested unmanned and dual-use technologies. The company has an active M&A pipeline with over 20 companies and advanced activity with seven potential targets, representing more than $500 million in potential additional revenue. Ondas expects to see meaningful adoption by railroads in 2026 and is targeting the addition of a U.S. DoD or DHS customer in 2025.

3. NewsRoom

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3 Incredible Growth Stocks to Buy Now

Dec -07

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Will ONDS' Lucrative Border-Defense Win Ignite Its Next Growth Engine?

Dec -05

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Stocks to Watch as the AI-Driven Robotics Productivity Push Accelerates

Dec -04

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Will ONDS' Strengthened Balance Sheet Fuel Its Defense Ambitions?

Dec -04

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Ondas Wins Strategic Government Tender to Develop and Deploy Autonomous Border-Protection System with Thousands of Drones

Dec -03

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Rail Industry Leader Brent Laing Joins Ondas Networks Board to Accelerate dot16 Adoption

Dec -02

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Investors bet big on booming drone economy

Dec -01

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Ondas Secures Additional $8.2 Million Counter-UAS Order: Its Second in the Past Two Weeks to Protect Another Major European International Airport

Dec -01

4. Business Breakdown

4.a. Revenues by Country

4.b. Revenues by Segment

5. Expected revenues mid-term growth (11.69%)

6. Segments

Ondas Autonomous Systems

Expected Growth: 12.25%

Ondas Autonomous Systems' 12.25% growth is driven by increasing demand for drone-based solutions in industrial inspection, surveillance, and mapping. Expanding partnerships with tier-1 customers, investments in AI-powered analytics, and growing adoption in 5G-enabled use cases also contribute to this growth.

Ondas Networks

Expected Growth: 10.98%

Ondas Networks' 10.98% growth is driven by increasing demand for private wireless networks, expansion into new markets, and growing adoption of its FullMAX and MC-IoT technologies. The company's focus on mission-critical IoT applications, such as industrial automation and public safety, also contributes to its growth.

7. Detailed Products

Ondas Networks

Ondas Networks is a wireless broadband technology company that designs and manufactures wireless radio systems for mission-critical IoT applications.

Ondas Autonomous Systems

Ondas Autonomous Systems is a developer of drone-based solutions for industrial inspection, surveillance, and mapping.

American Robotics

American Robotics is a developer of autonomous drone systems for industrial inspection and surveillance.

Ondas Labs

Ondas Labs is a research and development company focused on advancing wireless technology and autonomous systems.

8. Ondas Holdings Inc.'s Porter Forces

Forces Ranking

Threat Of Substitutes

The threat of substitutes for Ondas Holdings Inc. is moderate due to the availability of alternative products and services in the market.

Bargaining Power Of Customers

The bargaining power of customers is high due to the concentration of buyers in the market, giving them significant negotiating power.

Bargaining Power Of Suppliers

The bargaining power of suppliers is low due to the availability of multiple suppliers in the market, reducing their negotiating power.

Threat Of New Entrants

The threat of new entrants is moderate due to the moderate barriers to entry and the availability of resources in the market.

Intensity Of Rivalry

The intensity of rivalry is high due to the high level of competition in the market, leading to a high level of advertising and promotional expenses.

9. SWOT Analysis

10. Capital Structure

10.a. Balance Sheet

10.b. Weighted Average Cost of capital

Value
Debt Weight 47.09%
Debt Cost 11.39%
Equity Weight 52.91%
Equity Cost 14.13%
WACC 12.84%
Leverage 89.00%

11. Quality Control: Ondas Holdings Inc. passed 2 out of 9 key points

12.a Historical Valuation

12.b Price/Earnings Ratio

12.c Margin Valuation

12.d Peers Valuation

Peers Group Analysis

Stock-Card
BK Technologies

A-Score: 5.1/10

Value: 2.4

Growth: 7.9

Quality: 8.1

Yield: 1.0

Momentum: 10.0

Volatility: 1.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Sonim Technologies

A-Score: 4.7/10

Value: 10.0

Growth: 4.2

Quality: 4.1

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 10.0

Volatility: 0.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
KVH Industries

A-Score: 4.1/10

Value: 6.0

Growth: 1.9

Quality: 4.0

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 7.0

Volatility: 5.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Ondas

A-Score: 4.0/10

Value: 6.0

Growth: 4.8

Quality: 3.1

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 10.0

Volatility: 0.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Akoustis Technologies

A-Score: 3.5/10

Value: 10.0

Growth: 4.9

Quality: 5.1

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 0.5

Volatility: 0.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Comtech

A-Score: 2.9/10

Value: 9.8

Growth: 1.2

Quality: 3.5

Yield: 1.0

Momentum: 1.0

Volatility: 0.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Peers Metrics

12.e Scoring Insights

12.f DCF BETA

Parameters

Short Term Growth

Short term Time

Long-Term Growth

WACC

Target Price

9.07$

Current Price

9.07$

Potential

-0.00%

Expected Cash-Flows