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1. Company Snapshot

1.a. Company Description

PPL Corporation, a utility holding company, delivers electricity and natural gas in the United States and the United Kingdom.The company operates through two segments: Kentucky Regulated and Pennsylvania Regulated.It serves approximately 429,000 electric and 333,000 natural gas customers in Louisville and adjacent areas in Kentucky; 538,000 electric customers in central, southeastern, and western Kentucky; and 28,000 electric customers in five counties in southwestern Virginia.


The company also provides electric services to approximately 1.4 million customers in Pennsylvania; and generates electricity from coal, gas, hydro, and solar sources in Kentucky; and sells wholesale electricity to two municipalities in Kentucky.PPL Corporation was founded in 1920 and is headquartered in Allentown, Pennsylvania.

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1.b. Last Insights on PPL

PPL Corporation's recent performance has been driven by constructive regulatory jurisdiction, stable capital investment, and rising demand in its service territories. The company's ability to predict equipment issues before they become a problem, as evidenced by its recent industry award for innovative distribution technology, is expected to enhance public safety, improve reliability, and drive operational efficiencies. Additionally, PPL's systematic expenditure to strengthen operations and its rising estimates are contributing to its positive performance.

1.c. Company Highlights

2. PPL's 2025 Earnings Report: A Strong Performance

PPL's financial performance in 2025 was robust, with ongoing earnings of $1.81 per share, a 7.1% increase from the previous year. The company's GAAP earnings were $1.59 per share, compared to $1.20 per share in 2024. Revenue growth was driven by incremental returns on capital investments across its regulated businesses, supported by higher transmission revenues, rider recovery, and continued cost discipline. The actual EPS came out at $0.41 relative to estimates at $0.42, a minor miss. Analysts estimate next year's revenue growth at 4.9%.

Publication Date: Feb -22

📋 Highlights
  • 2025 Financial Performance:: Achieved ongoing earnings of $1.81 per share (+7.1% YoY) and $4.4B in capital investments focused on grid modernization and advanced metering.
  • 2026 Earnings Guidance:: Set a range of $1.90–$1.98/share (7.2% growth from 2025) with a $23B investment plan (2026–2029) targeting 10.3% annual rate base CAGR.
  • Operational Efficiency:: Delivered $170M in O&M savings (exceeding $20M target) and reduced O&M costs by 3% annually, supporting affordability and EPS growth.
  • Data Center Pipeline:: Pennsylvania’s pipeline reached 25.2 GW (+23% QoQ) and Kentucky’s at 9 GW, driven by electrification and economic development partnerships (e.g., Eli Lilly’s $3.5B investment).
  • Strategic Partnerships:: Launched a Blackstone joint venture to build new generation in PJM, targeting $1.3B for Pennsylvania data center reliability projects and potential backstop generation solutions by 2028–2029.

Operational Highlights

Operationally, PPL performed well, with high levels of reliability and execution. The company focused on innovation and digital solutions to improve customer service, including an AI-powered digital customer service agent and a customer app. PPL achieved $170 million in run-rate savings by 2025, exceeding its O&M savings target. The company's commitment to affordability remains a core element of its strategy, with a focus on cost control and economic development to support customer affordability.

Guidance and Outlook

PPL issued ongoing earnings guidance of $1.90 to $1.98 per share for 2026, with a midpoint of $1.94, representing a 7.2% increase from 2025. The company extended its 6% to 8% annual EPS growth target through 2029, with a projected EPS CAGR near the top end of that range. PPL's updated capital investment plan includes $23 billion in investments from 2026 to 2029, with a 10.3% rate base CAGR, providing a strong foundation for predictable and durable earnings growth.

Valuation Metrics

Using the current valuation metrics, PPL's P/E Ratio is 23.46, indicating that the stock may be slightly overvalued. The P/B Ratio is 1.28, suggesting that the stock is reasonably priced. The EV/EBITDA ratio is 13.85, which is relatively moderate. The Dividend Yield is 2.91%, providing a relatively stable source of return. As Vince Sorgi mentioned, "We're thinking about keeping up with the ramp rates by getting smaller generation amounts online quicker," which may contribute to the company's growth prospects.

Growth Prospects

PPL's growth prospects are driven by its updated business plan, which extends its growth trajectory and strengthens the predictability of its earnings. The company's focus on data center development, electrification, and new generation is expected to drive growth. The data center backlog of 10 gigawatts by the end of the decade is significant, and PPL is engaging with hyperscalers to provide solutions. The joint venture with Blackstone is also expected to contribute to the company's growth prospects, although the earnings contribution is not assumed in the updated plan.

3. NewsRoom

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Comparing PPL (NYSE:PPL) & Genie Energy (NYSE:GNE)

Mar -07

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Pembina Pipeline Corporation (PPL:CA) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

Feb -27

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PPL vs. FirstEnergy: Which Utility Is Positioned for Stronger Growth?

Feb -27

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PPL Corporation: A Stable Utility With Measured Growth Optionality

Feb -26

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Renewable Energy & Battery Stocks to Buy Amid Expanding Energy Transition

Feb -24

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PPL Gains 2.1% in Three Months: Worth Including in Your Portfolio?

Feb -24

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PPL Corporation announces pricing of equity units offering

Feb -24

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Compared to Estimates, PPL (PPL) Q4 Earnings: A Look at Key Metrics

Feb -23

4. Business Breakdown

4.a. Revenues by Country

4.b. Revenues by Segment

5. Expected revenues mid-term growth (4.14%)

6. Segments

Kentucky Regulated

Expected Growth: 4%

Kentucky Regulated's 4% growth is driven by increasing electricity demand, favorable weather patterns, and a strong economy. Additionally, PPL Corporation's investments in grid modernization and renewable energy sources contribute to the segment's growth. Furthermore, the company's focus on operational efficiency and cost management also support its growth momentum.

Pennsylvania Regulated

Expected Growth: 5%

Pennsylvania Regulated segment of PPL Corporation is driven by a 5% growth rate, attributed to increasing electricity demand, infrastructure investments, and favorable regulatory environment. Additionally, the segment benefits from a rate base growth of 6.5%, driven by transmission and distribution capital expenditures, as well as a strong track record of cost management and operational efficiency.

Rhode Island Regulated

Expected Growth: 3%

Rhode Island Regulated segment's 3% growth is driven by increasing electricity demand, favorable weather patterns, and infrastructure investments. Additionally, PPL Corporation's focus on grid modernization, renewable energy integration, and customer-centric initiatives contribute to the segment's growth.

Corporate and Other

Expected Growth: 2%

PPL Corporation's Corporate and Other segment growth is driven by strategic investments in renewable energy, expansion of energy storage capabilities, and cost savings initiatives. Additionally, the company's focus on grid modernization and infrastructure upgrades contributes to its 2% growth. These efforts enhance operational efficiency, reduce costs, and position the company for long-term success.

7. Detailed Products

Electricity Generation

PPL Corporation generates electricity through its power plants, using a diverse mix of fuels including coal, natural gas, and renewable energy sources.

Electricity Transmission

PPL Corporation owns and operates a vast network of high-voltage transmission lines, substations, and switchyards that transport electricity from power plants to the grid.

Electricity Distribution

PPL Corporation distributes electricity to customers through its network of power lines, substations, and distribution transformers.

Natural Gas Distribution

PPL Corporation distributes natural gas to customers through its network of pipelines, providing a clean and efficient source of energy.

Renewable Energy

PPL Corporation invests in renewable energy sources, such as wind and solar power, to reduce its carbon footprint and provide clean energy to customers.

8. PPL Corporation's Porter Forces

Forces Ranking

Threat Of Substitutes

The threat of substitutes for PPL Corporation is moderate due to the availability of alternative energy sources such as wind and solar power.

Bargaining Power Of Customers

The bargaining power of customers for PPL Corporation is low due to the lack of alternative energy providers in the region.

Bargaining Power Of Suppliers

The bargaining power of suppliers for PPL Corporation is moderate due to the presence of multiple fuel suppliers and the company's ability to negotiate prices.

Threat Of New Entrants

The threat of new entrants for PPL Corporation is low due to the high barriers to entry in the energy industry, including regulatory hurdles and high capital requirements.

Intensity Of Rivalry

The intensity of rivalry for PPL Corporation is high due to the presence of multiple energy providers in the region, leading to intense competition for market share.

9. SWOT Analysis

10. Capital Structure

10.a. Balance Sheet

10.b. Weighted Average Cost of capital

Value
Debt Weight 52.86%
Debt Cost 5.30%
Equity Weight 47.14%
Equity Cost 8.04%
WACC 6.59%
Leverage 112.14%

11. Quality Control: PPL Corporation passed 0 out of 9 key points

12.a Historical Valuation

12.b Price/Earnings Ratio

12.c Margin Valuation

12.d Peers Valuation

Peers Group Analysis

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Pinnacle West Capital

A-Score: 6.5/10

Value: 6.5

Growth: 5.1

Quality: 4.1

Yield: 8.0

Momentum: 5.5

Volatility: 10.0

1-Year Total Return ->

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Ameren

A-Score: 6.5/10

Value: 5.5

Growth: 4.8

Quality: 4.6

Yield: 6.0

Momentum: 8.0

Volatility: 10.0

1-Year Total Return ->

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PPL

A-Score: 6.4/10

Value: 5.5

Growth: 4.2

Quality: 4.4

Yield: 7.0

Momentum: 7.0

Volatility: 10.0

1-Year Total Return ->

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CMS Energy

A-Score: 6.3/10

Value: 5.5

Growth: 4.1

Quality: 4.4

Yield: 6.0

Momentum: 7.5

Volatility: 10.0

1-Year Total Return ->

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CenterPoint Energy

A-Score: 6.1/10

Value: 5.0

Growth: 3.4

Quality: 4.4

Yield: 5.0

Momentum: 9.0

Volatility: 10.0

1-Year Total Return ->

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Alliant Energy

A-Score: 5.9/10

Value: 2.4

Growth: 4.2

Quality: 5.0

Yield: 6.0

Momentum: 7.5

Volatility: 10.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Peers Metrics

12.e Scoring Insights

12.f DCF BETA

Parameters

Short Term Growth

Short term Time

Long-Term Growth

WACC

Target Price

38.31$

Current Price

38.31$

Potential

-0.00%

Expected Cash-Flows