Triumph Group, Inc. (TGI) | Investment Case

1. Company Snapshot

1.a. Company Description

Triumph Group, Inc.designs, engineers, manufactures, repairs, overhauls, and distributes aerostructures, aircraft components, accessories, subassemblies, and systems worldwide.It operates in two segments, Triumph Systems & Support, and Triumph Aerospace Structures.

The company offers aircraft and engine-mounted accessory drives, thermal control systems and components, cargo hooks, high lift actuations, cockpit control levers, hydraulic systems and components, control system valve bodies, landing gear actuation systems, electronic engine controls, landing gear components and assemblies, exhaust nozzles and ducting, main engine gearbox assemblies, geared transmissions and drive train components, main fuel pumps, fuel-metering units, primary and secondary flight control systems, and vibration absorbers.It also designs, manufactures, and repairs composite and metal bonding, flight control surfaces, engine nacelles, empennages, wing flaps, acoustic and thermal insulation systems, and composite ducts and floor panels, as well as provides integrated testing and certification services; and fuselage panels, horizontal and vertical tails, and floor grids.In addition, the company offers air cycle machines, blades and vanes, auxiliary power units, constant speed drives, combustors, engine and airframe accessories, stators, flight control surfaces, transition ducts, integrated drive generators, sidewalls, nacelles, light assemblies, remote sensors, overhead bins, thrust reversers, and fuel bladder cells, as well as cabin panes, shades, light lenses, and other components.

It serves original equipment manufacturers of commercial, regional, and military aircraft; and aircraft components, as well as business jets and regional airlines, and air cargo carriers.Triumph Group, Inc.was incorporated in 1993 and is headquartered in Berwyn, Pennsylvania.

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1.b. Last Insights on TGI

Triumph Group's recent performance was driven by strong Q3 fiscal 2025 earnings and revenue beat, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 10.1%. The company's total sales increased 10.7% from the year-ago level, driven by solid growth prospects and a robust backlog. Additionally, the company's acquisition by private equity firms, Warburg Pincus and Berkshire Partners, at a substantial premium to the previous closing price, has contributed to the stock's momentum.

1.c. Company Highlights

Last Price	26.01
Change Percentage	0.62%
Open	25.83
Previous Close	25.85
Market Cap ( Millions)	2023
Volume	6527511
Year High	26.03
Year Low	11.01
M A 50	25.8
M A 200	22.59

FCF Yield	8.71%
Dividend Yield	0.00%
ROE	-54.29%
Debt / Equity	-1291.15%
Net Debt / EBIDTA	638.75%
Price To Book	-26.35
Price Earnings Ratio	46.73
Price To FCF	11.48
Price To sales	2.92
EV / EBITDA	24.59

2. Transcript Summary

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3. NewsRoom

TGI Solar Power Group Launches Sovereign National Carbon Registry for Angola via AXINA Platform; Integrates Environmental Assets into National Digital Infrastructure

Apr -13

Source: accessnewswire.com

TGI Group and Vista Capital Trust Angola Sign Landmark Letter of Intent to Develop VISTA ADVENT CITY - Angola's First $20 Billion Smart Forest City

Apr -10

Source: accessnewswire.com

Triumph Announces Schedule for First Quarter 2026 Earnings Release and Conference Call

Apr -08

Source: businesswire.com

TGI Axina Group Inc. Releases Groundbreaking White Paper: "The End of Greenwashing" and the Path to AAA-Rated Climate Finance

Apr -07

Source: accessnewswire.com

TGI Group Launches DURTEQ(TM) Mycorefinery Protocol to Transform 2026 Global Sargassum Crisis into Sustainable Opportunity

Apr -02

Source: accessnewswire.com

TGI Research by Axina Group Sub of TGI Announces "AFRICA RISING 2026"

Apr -01

Source: accessnewswire.com

TGI Announces CEO Samuel Epstein Leading Scientific Presentation Platform at Geological Association of America Northeastern Regional Meeting

Mar -31

Source: accessnewswire.com

TGI Solar Power Group Inc. and MetaSense Inc. Expand Alliance to Launch Global Training Academy for High-Stakes Industries

Mar -30

Source: accessnewswire.com

4. Business Breakdown

4.a. Revenues by Country

4.b. Revenues by Segment

5. Expected revenues mid-term growth (2.65%)

6. Segments

Systems & Support

Expected Growth: 2.5%

Triumph Group's Systems & Support segment growth is driven by increasing demand for military and commercial aircraft maintenance, repair, and overhaul (MRO) services, as well as the company's strategic investments in digitalization and supply chain optimization. Additionally, the segment benefits from long-term contracts with major OEMs and government agencies, ensuring a stable revenue stream.

Interiors

Expected Growth: 3.5%

Triumph Group's Interiors segment growth of 3.5% is driven by increasing demand for lightweight, fuel-efficient aircraft interior solutions, coupled with the company's strategic investments in innovative product development and expanding aftermarket services. Additionally, growing passenger traffic and airline fleet modernization efforts contribute to the segment's growth momentum.

7. Detailed Products

Aerostructures

Triumph Group's Aerostructures segment designs, develops, and manufactures complex structural components and assemblies for the aerospace industry.

Aerospace Systems

Triumph Group's Aerospace Systems segment provides a range of systems and components for the aerospace industry, including hydraulic, mechanical, and electromechanical systems.

Aftermarket Services

Triumph Group's Aftermarket Services segment provides maintenance, repair, and overhaul (MRO) services for aircraft components and systems.

8. Triumph Group, Inc.'s Porter Forces

Forces Ranking

Threat Of Substitutes

The threat of substitutes for Triumph Group, Inc. is medium due to the availability of alternative products and services in the aerospace and defense industry.

Bargaining Power Of Customers

The bargaining power of customers for Triumph Group, Inc. is high due to the concentration of buyers in the aerospace and defense industry, giving them significant negotiating power.

Bargaining Power Of Suppliers

The bargaining power of suppliers for Triumph Group, Inc. is low due to the company's large size and diversified supply chain, reducing the dependence on individual suppliers.

Threat Of New Entrants

The threat of new entrants for Triumph Group, Inc. is low due to the high barriers to entry in the aerospace and defense industry, including significant capital requirements and regulatory hurdles.

Intensity Of Rivalry

The intensity of rivalry for Triumph Group, Inc. is high due to the competitive nature of the aerospace and defense industry, with many established players competing for market share.

9. SWOT Analysis

10. Capital Structure

10.a. Balance Sheet

10.b. Weighted Average Cost of capital

	Value
Debt Weight	110.73%
Debt Cost	9.05%
Equity Weight	-10.73%
Equity Cost	16.61%
WACC	8.24%
Leverage	-1031.86%

11. Quality Control: Triumph Group, Inc. passed 2 out of 9 key points

Strong Liquidity

Low Debt

Strong Interest Coverage

Healthy Cash Flow

Operating Inefficiency

Strong Return On Equity

Consistent Revenue Growth

Consistent Operating Cash Flow Growth

Margin Improvement

12.a Historical Valuation

12.b Price/Earnings Ratio

12.c Margin Valuation

12.d Peers Valuation

Peers Group Analysis

Ducommun

A-Score: 4.9/10

Value: 6.4

Growth: 3.0

Quality: 4.2

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 9.0

Volatility: 6.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Byrna Technologies

A-Score: 4.8/10

Value: 3.6

Growth: 9.1

Quality: 8.8

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 5.5

Volatility: 1.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Triumph Group

A-Score: 4.5/10

Value: 4.2

Growth: 3.4

Quality: 4.4

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 8.5

Volatility: 6.3

1-Year Total Return ->

SIFCO

A-Score: 3.5/10

Value: 5.7

Growth: 1.1

Quality: 2.5

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 9.5

Volatility: 2.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Astrotech

A-Score: 3.2/10

Value: 8.4

Growth: 3.3

Quality: 4.3

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 0.5

Volatility: 2.7

1-Year Total Return ->

CPI Aerostructures

A-Score: 3.0/10

Value: 5.0

Growth: 5.1

Quality: 2.7

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 2.0

Volatility: 3.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Peers Metrics

12.e Scoring ^Insights

12.f DCF ^BETA

Parameters

Short Term Growth

29.04%

Short term Time

10.0

Long-Term Growth

2.00%

WACC

8.24%

Triumph Group, Inc. - US8968181011

1. Company Snapshot

1.a. Company Description

1.b. Last Insights on TGI

1.c. Company Highlights

Cheaper

More Volatile

Average Yield

Earnings Beats

Revenues Beats

Average Growth

Medium Volatility

Strong Momentum

Earnings Miss

Lower Growth

Stable Momentum

Revenues Miss

Better Quality

Fairly Valued

2. Transcript Summary

3. NewsRoom

4. Business Breakdown

4.a. Revenues by Country

4.b. Revenues by Segment

5. Expected revenues mid-term growth (2.65%)

6. Segments

Systems & Support

Expected Growth: 2.5%

Interiors

Expected Growth: 3.5%

7. Detailed Products

Aerostructures

Aerospace Systems

Aftermarket Services

8. Triumph Group, Inc.'s Porter Forces

Forces Ranking

Threat Of Substitutes

Bargaining Power Of Customers

Bargaining Power Of Suppliers

Threat Of New Entrants

Intensity Of Rivalry

9. SWOT Analysis

Strength

Weaknesses

Opportunities

Threats

10. Capital Structure

10.a. Balance Sheet

10.b. Weighted Average Cost of capital

11. Quality Control: Triumph Group, Inc. passed 2 out of 9 key points

12.a Historical Valuation

12.b Price/Earnings Ratio

12.c Margin Valuation

12.d Peers Valuation

Peers Group Analysis

Peers Metrics

12.e Scoring Insights

12.f DCF BETA

Parameters

Short Term Growth

Short term Time

Long-Term Growth

WACC

Target Price

26.01$

Current Price

26.01$

Potential

-0.00%

Expected Cash-Flows

12.e Scoring ^Insights

12.f DCF ^BETA