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1. Company Snapshot

1.a. Company Description

TrueBlue, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides specialized workforce solutions in the United States, Canada, and Puerto Rico.It operates through three segments: PeopleReady, PeopleManagement, and PeopleScout.The PeopleReady segment offers contingent staffing solutions for blue-collar, on-demand, and skilled labor in construction, manufacturing and logistics, warehousing and distribution, waste and recycling, energy, retail, hospitality, and general labor industries.


The PeopleManagement segment provides contingent labor and outsourced industrial workforce solutions.This segment also offers on-site management and recruitment for the contingent industrial workforce of manufacturing, warehouse, and distribution facilities; and recruitment and management of contingent and dedicated commercial drivers to the transportation and distribution industries under the Staff Management, SIMOS Insourcing Solutions, and Centerline Drivers brands.The PeopleScout segment offers permanent employee recruitment process outsourcing services; and manages clients' contingent labor programs comprising vendor selection, performance management, compliance monitoring, and risk management.


The company was formerly known as Labor Ready, Inc.and changed its name to TrueBlue, Inc.in December 2007.


TrueBlue, Inc.was incorporated in 1985 and is headquartered in Tacoma, Washington.

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1.b. Last Insights on TBI

Here is a 90-word analysis of the negative drivers behind TrueBlue's recent stock performance: TrueBlue's recent performance was negatively impacted by a quarterly loss of $0.02 per share, a significant decline from earnings of $0.08 per share a year ago. The company's revenue decreased 16% on a comparable 13-week basis, driven by a 14-week fiscal fourth quarter in 2023. Additionally, the company's SG&A expense increased, contributing to the net loss of $12 million. These factors likely weighed on investor sentiment, despite the company's efforts to attract investors with its perceived attractive pricing.

1.c. Company Highlights

2. TrueBlue's Q4 2025 Earnings: A Mixed Bag

TrueBlue, Inc.'s fourth-quarter 2025 revenue was $418 million, up 8% year-over-year, driven by a 5% organic revenue growth and a 3% contribution from the acquired HSB business. However, gross margin was 21.5%, down from 26.6% in the prior year, primarily due to less favorable workers' compensation reserve adjustments and changes in revenue mix. The company's skilled businesses, particularly in the energy sector, delivered double-digit growth for the third consecutive quarter. The net loss was $32 million, which included a non-cash long-lived asset impairment charge of $18 million. Adjusted net loss was $8 million, and adjusted EBITDA was $2 million. The actual EPS came out at -$0.25, missing estimates at -$0.08.

Publication Date: Mar -08

📋 Highlights
  • Revenue Growth Composition:: Q4 2025 revenue reached $418M (+8% YoY), driven by 5% organic growth and 3% from HSB acquisition.
  • Energy Sector Momentum:: Skilled energy business saw double-digit growth (Q3-Q4 2025), with renewables revenue doubling for the second quarter.
  • Gross Margin Pressure:: Gross margin fell to 21.5% (-5.1pps YoY), impacted by workers' comp adjustments and energy pass-through costs.
  • IPO-Related Impairment:: $18M non-cash impairment charge on Chicago support center, generating $30M cash savings over 10 years.
  • 2026 Guidance:: Revenue growth projected at 3-9% YoY (1% from HSB), with energy and healthcare positioning as key growth drivers.

Operational Highlights

The company's energy business, particularly in renewables, showed significant growth, with revenue more than doubling for the second consecutive quarter. TrueBlue secured several multimillion-dollar project wins and has a healthy pipeline, positioning it for continued growth in this space. The company has made progress in creating greater flexibility to scale and driving efficiencies, positioning it to deliver strong incremental margins as industry demand rebounds.

Guidance and Outlook

For 2026, TrueBlue expects revenue growth of 3-9% year-over-year, including 1% inorganic growth from HSB. Analysts estimate revenue growth at 3.9% next year. The company is focused on capturing market share, strengthening its sales reach, and expanding in growing markets. TrueBlue is confident in its strategy to drive long-term sustainable value and is well-positioned to capitalize on growth opportunities ahead.

Valuation and Metrics

With a P/E Ratio of -2.65, P/B Ratio of 0.46, and P/S Ratio of 0.08, the market seems to have priced in the challenges faced by the company. The EV/EBITDA ratio is high at 1013.16, indicating that the market is expecting significant improvement in EBITDA in the future. The company's ROE and ROIC are negative, indicating that the company is currently not generating returns on its equity and invested capital.

Margin Pressures and Cost Management

The current pricing environment continues to present some pressure, with pay rates up 3.8% and bill rates up 2.5% in the quarter, leading to a 40 bps decline in margin. However, the company has made progress in reducing SG&A by 11% despite revenue growth. The non-cash impairment charge of $18 million related to its Chicago support center is expected to result in $30 million in cash savings over the next ten years.

3. NewsRoom

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TrueBlue Responds to Misleading Statements From EHS Investments

Mar -03

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EHS Comments on Disappointing TrueBlue Fourth Quarter Earnings Results

Mar -03

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TrueBlue Appoints Mike Kruszewski to President of PeopleReady On-Demand

Feb -26

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TrueBlue to Participate in Truist Securities' Inaugural Human Capital Virtual Conference

Feb -25

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TrueBlue: A Contrarian Bet I'm Willing To Make (Upgrade)

Feb -20

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TrueBlue, Inc. (TBI) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

Feb -19

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TrueBlue (TBI) Reports Q4 Loss, Beats Revenue Estimates

Feb -18

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TrueBlue Reports Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2025 Results

Feb -18

4. Business Breakdown

4.a. Revenues by Country

4.b. Revenues by Segment

5. Expected revenues mid-term growth (7.17%)

6. Segments

PeopleReady

Expected Growth: 4.5%

Growing demand for temporary staffing solutions in industries such as construction, manufacturing, and hospitality, driven by labor shortages, increasing project-based work, and the need for workforce flexibility.

PeopleManagement

Expected Growth: 10.2%

The workforce management platform is expected to grow driven by increasing demand for staffing and recruitment solutions, adoption of HR technologies, and rising need for businesses to optimize labor costs and improve workforce efficiency.

PeopleScout

Expected Growth: 12.3%

Growing demand for recruitment process outsourcing, increasing adoption of digital technologies, and rising need for efficient talent acquisition strategies drive the growth of the RPO market, benefiting PeopleScout's workforce solutions and talent acquisition services.

7. Detailed Products

PeopleReady

Provides on-demand, contingent labor for a variety of industries, including manufacturing, logistics, and hospitality.

PeopleScout

Offers recruitment process outsourcing (RPO) and managed service provider (MSP) solutions to help clients manage their workforce.

Staff Management | SMX

Provides contingent workforce management solutions, including staffing, on-site management, and vendor management.

Centerline Drivers

Specializes in commercial driver staffing and recruitment services for the transportation industry.

8. TrueBlue, Inc.'s Porter Forces

Forces Ranking

Threat Of Substitutes

The threat of substitutes for TrueBlue, Inc. is medium due to the availability of alternative staffing solutions and the ease of switching costs for clients.

Bargaining Power Of Customers

The bargaining power of customers is high due to the concentration of clients in the staffing industry, giving them significant negotiating power over prices and services.

Bargaining Power Of Suppliers

The bargaining power of suppliers is low due to the abundance of labor supply and the lack of differentiation in the staffing industry, giving TrueBlue, Inc. significant negotiating power.

Threat Of New Entrants

The threat of new entrants is low due to the high barriers to entry, including regulatory hurdles, high startup costs, and the need for established relationships with clients.

Intensity Of Rivalry

The intensity of rivalry is high due to the competitive nature of the staffing industry, with many established players competing for market share and clients.

9. SWOT Analysis

10. Capital Structure

10.a. Balance Sheet

10.b. Weighted Average Cost of capital

Value
Debt Weight 11.81%
Debt Cost 3.95%
Equity Weight 88.19%
Equity Cost 11.46%
WACC 10.57%
Leverage 13.40%

11. Quality Control: TrueBlue, Inc. passed 2 out of 9 key points

12.a Historical Valuation

12.b Price/Earnings Ratio

12.c Margin Valuation

12.d Peers Valuation

Peers Group Analysis

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HireQuest

A-Score: 4.5/10

Value: 5.3

Growth: 4.4

Quality: 8.4

Yield: 4.0

Momentum: 1.0

Volatility: 3.7

1-Year Total Return ->

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ShiftPixy

A-Score: 4.2/10

Value: 10.0

Growth: 4.4

Quality: 4.9

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 6.0

Volatility: 0.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
DHI Group

A-Score: 3.6/10

Value: 7.1

Growth: 3.0

Quality: 3.1

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 6.5

Volatility: 1.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
TrueBlue

A-Score: 3.3/10

Value: 10.0

Growth: 0.7

Quality: 4.8

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 1.5

Volatility: 2.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
ZipRecruiter

A-Score: 3.1/10

Value: 6.0

Growth: 3.6

Quality: 6.2

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 0.5

Volatility: 2.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Professional Diversity Network

A-Score: 3.1/10

Value: 10.0

Growth: 3.8

Quality: 4.1

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 0.5

Volatility: 0.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Peers Metrics

12.e Scoring Insights

12.f DCF BETA

Parameters

Short Term Growth

Short term Time

Long-Term Growth

WACC

Target Price

3.78$

Current Price

3.78$

Potential

-0.00%

Expected Cash-Flows