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1. Company Snapshot

1.a. Company Description

AFC Gamma, Inc.originates, structures, underwrites, and invests in senior secured loans, and other types of loans and debt securities for established companies operating in the cannabis industry in states that have legalized medicinal and/or adult use cannabis.It primarily originates loans structured as senior loans secured by real estate, equipment, and licenses and/or other assets of the loan parties to the extent permitted by applicable laws and the regulations governing such loan parties.


AFC Gamma, Inc.has elected and qualified to be taxed as a real estate investment trust for the United States federal income tax purposes under the Internal Revenue Code of 1986.The company was incorporated in 2020 and is based in West Palm Beach, Florida.

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1.b. Last Insights on AFCG

AFC Gamma's recent performance was negatively driven by analysts' expectations of a decline in earnings. The company's Q4 and full-year 2024 results are expected to be released on March 13, 2025, and management will review the financials at 10:00 am ET via webcast. Additionally, the company announced a dividend for the fourth quarter 2024, but the lack of recent earnings release and disappointing expectations from analysts are key concerns.

1.c. Company Highlights

2. Advanced Flower Capital: BDC Shift Sparks New Growth

In Q4 2025, Advanced Flower Capital reported a net interest income of $5.2 million, up from $3.9 million in the same period last year, while distributable earnings per share fell to negative $0.12. The full‑year EPS rebounded to positive $0.39, reflecting the company’s conversion from a REIT to a BDC and the resulting diversification of its loan portfolio. Management cited the $117 million in paydowns from performing and underperforming credits and the $53 million of new commitments as key drivers of the year‑end earnings rebound. The company’s valuation remains heavily discounted, with a P/E of -2.99 and a P/B of 0.35, underscoring the market’s perception of significant upside potential as the BDC structure unlocks new investment avenues.

Publication Date: Apr -16

📋 Highlights
  • Conversion to BDC:: Completed REIT-to-BDC conversion in 2026, expanding investment flexibility beyond real estate to $1.4B active pipeline.
  • Financial Performance:: Full-year distributable earnings of $0.39/share (vs -$0.12/qtr), $24.6M net interest income, and $0.05/share dividend declared.
  • Portfolio Management:: $117M in paydowns from legacy loans vs $53M in new commitments, with $46.1M CECL reserve (18.2% of loans) mitigating credit risk.
  • Liquidity & Debt:: Repurchased $13M of bonds, $77M remaining outstanding (May 2027 maturity), and $27.7M in unrealized losses on fair-valued loans.
  • Strategic Focus:: Targeting lower-middle-market loans ($5M–$50M EBITDA), cautious on cannabis sector due to regulatory risks, no new 2026 cannabis loans expected.

Pipeline Expansion

The active loan pipeline surged to $1.4 billion, largely attributable to the expanded investable universe beyond real‑estate‑backed credits. Management emphasized a focus on lower‑middle‑market borrowers with EBITDA between $5 million and $50 million, aiming to capture higher yields while maintaining disciplined underwriting standards.

Portfolio Management

Advanced Flower Capital closed two Q1 2026 loans, a $60 million senior secured credit facility and a $30 million senior secured term loan, reinforcing its commitment to high‑quality, cash‑flowing borrowers. The CECL reserve stood at $46.1 million, or 18.2% of loans at carrying value, while unrealized losses totaled $27.7 million, indicating prudent provisioning for potential credit deterioration.

BDC Conversion Impact

The transition from a REIT to a BDC on January 1, 2026 expanded the company’s investment flexibility, allowing it to pursue non‑real‑estate assets and thus broaden its risk profile. This structural change is expected to enhance earnings quality as the company reallocates capital from legacy underperformers to new, higher‑yielding credits.

Liquidity and Capital Structure

The firm repurchased $13 million of unsecured bonds and maintains $77 million of debt maturing in May 2027. With a net debt to EBITDA ratio of -19.04, the company’s leverage remains low, providing a cushion for further originations and potential dividend growth.

Future Outlook

Management projects a first‑quarter originations pace of $100 million, noting that sustainability hinges on additional proceeds from nonaccrual loans or other sources. While the cannabis sector remains a high‑barrier segment, the firm anticipates limited new loans in 2026, focusing instead on unlocking value from underperforming legacy assets and expanding its middle‑market loan book.

Valuation Summary

Given the current P/E of -2.99 and P/B of 0.35, the market appears to price in the company’s upcoming earnings upside once the BDC structure matures. The dividend yield of 12.82% provides an attractive return for income‑focused investors, while the free cash flow yield of 17.49% signals potential for reinvestment or further dividend enhancement.

3. NewsRoom

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Mousetraps: 9 High-Yield REITs With Risky Dividends

Apr -08

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Reviewing Altisource Portfolio Solutions (NASDAQ:ASPS) & AFC Gamma (NASDAQ:AFCG)

Apr -08

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AFC Expands Revolving Credit Facility with $30 Million Additional Commitment from Existing FDIC-Insured Banking Partner

Mar -30

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Reviewing AG Mortgage Investment Trust (NYSE:MITT) and AFC Gamma (NASDAQ:AFCG)

Mar -19

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Head to Head Comparison: DigitalBridge Group (NYSE:DBRG) and AFC Gamma (NASDAQ:AFCG)

Mar -16

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Financial Review: AGNC Investment (NASDAQ:AGNCZ) versus AFC Gamma (NASDAQ:AFCG)

Mar -09

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The Hormuz Halt

Mar -08

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New Strong Sell Stocks for March 6th

Mar -06

4. Business Breakdown

4.a. Revenues by Country

4.b. Revenues by Segment

5. Expected revenues mid-term growth (25.40%)

6. Segments

Financing Senior Secured Loans

Expected Growth: 25.4%

Growing demand for cannabis, increasing legalization, and limited traditional financing options drive growth in senior secured loans for cannabis businesses, with AFC Gamma's flexible terms and competitive rates positioning it for success.

7. Detailed Products

Real Estate Loans

AFC Gamma provides real estate loans to cannabis companies, allowing them to purchase or refinance properties for their businesses.

Equipment Financing

AFC Gamma offers equipment financing solutions to cannabis companies, enabling them to acquire the equipment they need to operate efficiently.

Working Capital Loans

AFC Gamma provides working capital loans to cannabis companies, helping them to manage their day-to-day operations and meet their financial obligations.

Construction Loans

AFC Gamma offers construction loans to cannabis companies, enabling them to build or renovate facilities to support their growth.

Bridge Loans

AFC Gamma provides bridge loans to cannabis companies, helping them to overcome short-term financial gaps and achieve their long-term goals.

8. AFC Gamma, Inc.'s Porter Forces

Forces Ranking

Threat Of Substitutes

AFC Gamma, Inc. operates in a highly competitive industry, but the threat of substitutes is mitigated by the company's strong brand recognition and customer loyalty.

Bargaining Power Of Customers

AFC Gamma, Inc. has a large customer base, but the bargaining power of customers is high due to the availability of alternative products and services.

Bargaining Power Of Suppliers

AFC Gamma, Inc. has a diversified supplier base, which reduces the bargaining power of suppliers.

Threat Of New Entrants

The threat of new entrants is moderate due to the high barriers to entry in the industry, but AFC Gamma, Inc. must continue to innovate to stay ahead of potential competitors.

Intensity Of Rivalry

The industry in which AFC Gamma, Inc. operates is highly competitive, with many established players, which increases the intensity of rivalry.

9. SWOT Analysis

10. Capital Structure

10.a. Balance Sheet

10.b. Weighted Average Cost of capital

Value
Debt Weight 34.96%
Debt Cost 5.28%
Equity Weight 65.04%
Equity Cost 9.33%
WACC 7.92%
Leverage 53.75%

11. Quality Control: AFC Gamma, Inc. passed 5 out of 9 key points

12.a Historical Valuation

12.b Price/Earnings Ratio

12.c Margin Valuation

12.d Peers Valuation

Peers Group Analysis

Stock-Card
Chicago Atlantic

A-Score: 7.5/10

Value: 6.8

Growth: 9.1

Quality: 8.4

Yield: 10.0

Momentum: 1.5

Volatility: 9.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Farmland Partners

A-Score: 6.7/10

Value: 5.8

Growth: 4.9

Quality: 8.9

Yield: 9.0

Momentum: 2.5

Volatility: 9.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Gladstone Land

A-Score: 6.4/10

Value: 4.0

Growth: 5.4

Quality: 5.2

Yield: 9.0

Momentum: 4.5

Volatility: 10.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
AFC Gamma

A-Score: 5.6/10

Value: 8.6

Growth: 7.4

Quality: 4.8

Yield: 10.0

Momentum: 0.0

Volatility: 3.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Uniti

A-Score: 4.1/10

Value: 5.6

Growth: 3.8

Quality: 5.3

Yield: 5.0

Momentum: 2.0

Volatility: 3.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
CoreCivic

A-Score: 3.9/10

Value: 6.3

Growth: 3.6

Quality: 4.9

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 2.5

Volatility: 6.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Peers Metrics

12.e Scoring Insights

12.f DCF BETA

Parameters

Short Term Growth

Short term Time

Long-Term Growth

WACC

Target Price

2.9$

Current Price

2.9$

Potential

-0.00%

Expected Cash-Flows