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1. Company Snapshot

1.a. Company Description

American Homes 4 Rent (NYSE: AMH) is a leader in the single-family home rental industry and "American Homes 4 Rent" is fast becoming a nationally recognized brand for rental homes, known for high-quality, good value and tenant satisfaction.We are an internally managed Maryland real estate investment trust, or REIT, focused on acquiring, developing, renovating, leasing, and operating attractive, single-family homes as rental properties.As of September 30, 2020, we owned 53,229 single-family properties in selected submarkets in 22 states.

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1.b. Last Insights on AMH

American Homes 4 Rent's recent performance faced challenges due to increased holdings by several investment firms, potentially diluting shareholder value. The company reported a 4.2% year-over-year increase in rents and other single-family property revenues to $455.0 million in Q4 2025. Despite this, a "Hold" consensus rating from 17 brokerages, with 9 holding and 8 buying recommendations, may indicate tempered expectations. Additionally, insider and institutional transactions, including purchases by 111 Capital and American Century Companies Inc., may influence the stock's short-term trajectory.

1.c. Company Highlights

2. AMH Delivers Steady Performance Amidst Challenging Environment

AMH reported core FFO per share of $1.87 in 2025, representing a 5.4% year-over-year growth. The company's revenue growth was steady, and its earnings per share (EPS) came in line with estimates at $0.47. The results demonstrate the company's ability to navigate a challenging environment, including seasonal demand moderation and supply constraints. Operationally, the company's teams delivered new, renewal, and blended spreads of minus 1%, 3.5%, and 2.4%, respectively, for the month of January.

Publication Date: Feb -24

📋 Highlights
  • Core FFO Growth:: Delivered $1.87/core FFO per share in 2025, a 5.4% YoY increase.
  • 2026 Guidance:: Forecasts core FFO per share of $1.89–$1.95 (2.7–2.25% growth) with high 95% occupancy.
  • Capital Deployment:: Plans to invest $750M to add 1,900 homes via development and joint ventures.
  • Disposition Activity:: Sold 1,800 homes in 2025 for $570M, focusing on non-core assets and consolidation properties.
  • Supply Challenges:: Elevated supply in Sunbelt markets (Phoenix, Las Vegas) vs. constrained Midwest supply.

Guidance and Outlook

AMH guided for core FFO per share of $1.89 to $1.95 in 2026, representing year-over-year growth of 2.7%. The company expects occupancy to be in the high 95% area and contemplates core property operating expense growth of 2.75% driven by property tax growth. The guidance suggests a steady performance in the coming year, with a focus on maintaining occupancy and managing expenses.

Investment Strategy

AMH expects to deploy approximately $750 million of total capital in 2026, adding 1,900 new homes to its wholly-owned and joint venture portfolios. The company's disposition program will provide a highly attractive form of capital to reinvest back into its development program. As Christopher Lau noted, the company is taking a more patient approach to incremental buybacks this year, with a balance between keeping the development program in motion and maintaining the balance sheet and targeted leverage levels.

Valuation

With a P/E Ratio of 24.04 and an EV/EBITDA of 13.99, AMH's valuation suggests a premium for its steady performance and growth prospects. The company's Dividend Yield of 4.08% provides an attractive return for income investors. Analysts estimate next year's revenue growth at 5.0%, which is in line with the company's historical performance. The current valuation metrics imply that the market has priced in a moderate growth trajectory for AMH.

Operational Highlights

The company's development yields for the product it's starting today are around 5.3%, similar to 2025. AMH is sizing its capital deployment to be match-funded with disposition proceeds, freeing up incremental capital capacity for buybacks. The company has approximately $500 million of share repurchase authorization remaining and has capacity on the balance sheet for about a couple of hundred million dollars of incremental opportunistic capital deployment.

3. NewsRoom

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American Homes 4 Rent $AMH Stock Holdings Boosted by Bamco Inc. NY

Mar -16

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A Crude Awakening

Mar -15

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REITs May Be The Biggest Winner Of The Coming Market Shift

Mar -14

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First Trust Advisors LP Raises Stock Position in American Homes 4 Rent $AMH

Mar -13

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American Century Companies Inc. Grows Stock Holdings in American Homes 4 Rent $AMH

Mar -09

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The Hormuz Halt

Mar -08

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American Homes 4 Rent: Reaction Overdone (Initiate At Buy)

Mar -03

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American Homes 4 Rent (AMH) Presents at Citi's Miami Global Property CEO Conference 2026 Transcript

Mar -03

4. Business Breakdown

4.a. Revenues by Country

4.b. Revenues by Segment

5. Expected revenues mid-term growth (5.00%)

6. Segments

Single-family Homes

Expected Growth: 5.0%

American Homes 4 Rent's single-family home segment growth of 5.0% is driven by increasing demand for rental properties, particularly among millennials and baby boomers. Strong job market, low mortgage rates, and limited housing supply also contribute to growth. Additionally, the company's strategic acquisitions and efficient property management practices enhance revenue and occupancy rates.

7. Detailed Products

Single-Family Rental Homes

American Homes 4 Rent offers a wide range of single-family rental homes, from starter homes to luxury estates, in various locations across the United States.

Lease-to-Own Options

American Homes 4 Rent provides lease-to-own options, allowing renters to work towards homeownership while still enjoying the benefits of renting.

Rental Property Management

American Homes 4 Rent offers property management services, handling tasks such as maintenance, repairs, and rent collection for property owners.

Home Buying and Selling Services

American Homes 4 Rent provides home buying and selling services, connecting buyers and sellers with real estate agents and providing resources for a smooth transaction.

8. American Homes 4 Rent's Porter Forces

Forces Ranking

Threat Of Substitutes

American Homes 4 Rent operates in a niche market, providing single-family rental homes, which reduces the threat of substitutes.

Bargaining Power Of Customers

While customers have some bargaining power due to the availability of alternative housing options, American Homes 4 Rent's focus on providing high-quality homes and excellent customer service helps to mitigate this threat.

Bargaining Power Of Suppliers

American Homes 4 Rent has a diversified supplier base, which reduces its dependence on any single supplier, thereby minimizing the bargaining power of suppliers.

Threat Of New Entrants

While there are some barriers to entry in the single-family rental home market, new entrants can still pose a threat to American Homes 4 Rent's market share, particularly if they have access to significant capital.

Intensity Of Rivalry

The single-family rental home market is highly competitive, with several large players competing for market share, which increases the intensity of rivalry.

9. SWOT Analysis

10. Capital Structure

10.a. Balance Sheet

10.b. Weighted Average Cost of capital

Value
Debt Weight 39.13%
Debt Cost 4.97%
Equity Weight 60.87%
Equity Cost 7.46%
WACC 6.49%
Leverage 64.30%

11. Quality Control: American Homes 4 Rent passed 5 out of 9 key points

12.a Historical Valuation

12.b Price/Earnings Ratio

12.c Margin Valuation

12.d Peers Valuation

Peers Group Analysis

Stock-Card
Invitation Homes

A-Score: 6.0/10

Value: 3.8

Growth: 6.3

Quality: 6.1

Yield: 7.0

Momentum: 3.0

Volatility: 10.0

1-Year Total Return ->

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American Homes

A-Score: 6.0/10

Value: 3.2

Growth: 6.3

Quality: 5.8

Yield: 7.0

Momentum: 3.5

Volatility: 10.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Essex Property Trust

A-Score: 5.9/10

Value: 3.3

Growth: 5.6

Quality: 6.7

Yield: 7.0

Momentum: 3.5

Volatility: 9.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Camden Property

A-Score: 5.7/10

Value: 3.0

Growth: 4.2

Quality: 6.6

Yield: 7.0

Momentum: 3.5

Volatility: 10.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Mid-America Apartment Communities

A-Score: 5.6/10

Value: 2.8

Growth: 5.2

Quality: 5.5

Yield: 7.0

Momentum: 3.0

Volatility: 10.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Apartment Income REIT

A-Score: 4.6/10

Value: 4.4

Growth: 4.3

Quality: 5.4

Yield: 4.0

Momentum: 6.0

Volatility: 3.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Peers Metrics

12.e Scoring Insights

12.f DCF BETA

Parameters

Short Term Growth

Short term Time

Long-Term Growth

WACC

Target Price

28.57$

Current Price

28.57$

Potential

-0.00%

Expected Cash-Flows