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1. Company Snapshot

1.a. Company Description

Ares Management Corporation operates as an alternative asset manager in the United States, Europe, and Asia.The company's Tradable Credit Group segment manages various types of investment funds, such as commingled and separately managed accounts for institutional investors, and publicly traded vehicles and sub-advised funds for retail investors in the tradable and non-investment grade corporate credit markets.Its Direct Lending Group segment provides financing solutions to small-to-medium sized companies.


The company's Private Equity Group segment focuses on majority or shared-control investments primarily in under-capitalized companies.Its Real Estate Group segment invests in new developments and the repositioning of assets, with a focus on control or majority-control investments; and originates and invests in a range of self-originated financing opportunities for middle-market owners and operators of commercial real estate.The firm was previously known as Ares Management, L.P. Ares Management Corporation was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Los Angeles, California with additional offices in the United States, Europe and Asia.


Ares Management GP LLC is the general partner of the company.

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1.b. Last Insights on ARES

Breaking News: Ares Management Corporation recently reported its Q4 earnings, which led to a post-earnings selloff, but the stock has been upgraded to Strong Buy. Despite a double-miss on EPS and revenue, the company achieved record fundraising and assets under management (AUM) surpassing $600B. Ares also hiked its dividend by 20%, pushing the yield near 4%. Wealth management AUM surged 69% to $66B, and real assets more than doubled. Analysts at a certain firm recommend buying the dip, citing robust year-over-year growth and positioning for growth in retail and infrastructure markets.

1.c. Company Highlights

2. Ares Management Corporation's Strong FY2025 Results and Optimistic 2026 Outlook

Ares Management Corporation reported strong financial performance for FY2025, with management fees reaching a record $3.7 billion, growing 25% year-over-year. Fee-related earnings (FRE) margins increased meaningfully in the fourth quarter and modestly for the full year despite margin headwinds from the GCP acquisition. The company's realized income for the full year exceeded $1.8 billion, a 26% increase from 2024. Actual EPS came out at $1.45, relative to estimates at $1.71. Revenue growth is estimated to be 19.9% next year.

Publication Date: Feb -06

📋 Highlights
  • Record AUM and Fundraising:: AUM surged 29% YoY to $622 billion, while 2025 fundraising hit a record $113 billion ($36 billion in Q4).
  • Dividend Increase and Income Growth:: Q1 2026 dividend rose 20% to $1.35/share, reflecting >20% realized income growth expected in 2026 ($1.8 billion in 2025).
  • Deployment Surge:: Q4 deployment reached $46 billion, with full-year gross deployment soaring 37% YoY to $146 billion.
  • Credit Strategy Expansion:: Raised $65+ billion across credit strategies in 2025, with new U.S. and European lending funds planned for 2026–2027.
  • Fee-Related Earnings Growth:: Management fees hit $994 million in Q4 (27% YoY) and $3.7 billion annually (25% YoY), with FRE margins expanding meaningfully in Q4.

Business Performance

The company's private equity business is positioned to take advantage of a meaningful pipeline of new investments and potential realizations. Ares raised over $65 billion across its credit strategies in 2025 and expects to launch its fourth U.S. senior direct lending fund later this year and its seventh European direct lending fund in early 2027. Total fundraising for 2025 reached a record $113 billion, with $36 billion raised in the fourth quarter.

Valuation and Dividend

With a P/E Ratio of 41.2 and a P/B Ratio of 5.99, the market is pricing in significant growth expectations. The Dividend Yield is 3.68%, indicating a relatively attractive yield for investors. The company's ROE is 15.46%, suggesting a decent return on equity. Ares increased its first-quarter dividend by 20% to $1.35, reflecting confidence in achieving 20% plus growth in realized income in 2026.

Growth Prospects

Ares expects its total fundraising for 2026 to be as good or better than its record year in 2025 and anticipates strong demand from institutional investors for its largest funds in alternative credit and U.S. direct lending. The company has a high level of optimism, substantial dry powder of $156 billion, and a strong pipeline of investments. The integration of the GCP acquisition is going well, and the company expects to see more expense savings and revenue enhancements in 2026.

Risk Management

The company's software exposure represents about 6% of its total investments, with most of it in senior secured loans. The software portfolio is highly diversified, with low loan-to-value ratios and high EBITDA margins. Ares believes its business is well-prepared to navigate challenges, including AI software-related risks.

3. NewsRoom

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Private credit worries resurface in $3 trillion market as AI pressures software firms

04:41

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Market Today: Dow tops 50,000 as chip leaders rebound; Stellantis plunges

Feb -06

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Ares: The Decline Post Earnings Is A Gift (Rating Upgrade)

Feb -06

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Carlyle Posts 12% Fee Earnings Growth, Beats Q4 Estimates

Feb -06

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Buy The Dip: 11-13% Yields Getting Way Too Cheap

Feb -06

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Ares Management Corp (ARES) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Highlights: Record Growth and Strategic Expansion

Feb -05

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Ares Management Corporation (ARES) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

Feb -05

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Ares CEO Calls Private Credit Jitters 'Overblown Noise'

Feb -05

4. Business Breakdown

4.a. Revenues by Country

4.b. Revenues by Segment

5. Expected revenues mid-term growth (9.00%)

6. Segments

Credit Group

Expected Growth: 10.5%

The Credit Group is expected to outperform the global revenue growth hypothesis due to its strong market position and the increasing demand for alternative lending solutions. As companies seek more flexible financing options, the Credit Group's diversified portfolio is well-positioned to capitalize on this trend, driving growth above the global average.

Real Assets Group

Expected Growth: 8.5%

The Real Assets Group is expected to grow at a slightly lower rate than the global revenue growth hypothesis due to the cyclical nature of real assets investing. While the segment benefits from growing demand for alternative investments, it is also subject to market fluctuations and regulatory changes, which may temper its growth.

Secondaries Group

Expected Growth: 9.5%

The Secondaries Group is expected to grow at a rate slightly above the global revenue growth hypothesis due to its strong market position and the increasing demand for secondary market transactions. As investors continue to seek liquidity and optimize their portfolios, the Secondaries Group is well-positioned to benefit from this trend.

Private Equity Group

Expected Growth: 8.0%

The Private Equity Group is expected to grow at a rate slightly below the global revenue growth hypothesis due to the competitive nature of private equity investing. While the segment benefits from growing demand for private equity investments, it is also subject to market fluctuations and intense competition, which may temper its growth.

Other

Expected Growth: None%

None

Unconsolidated Performance (Income) Loss-Unrealized

Expected Growth: None%

None

Unallocated Administrative Fees

Expected Growth: None%

None

Unallocated Principal Investment Income, Net of Eliminations

Expected Growth: None%

None

Unallocated Income before Taxes of Non-Controlling Interests in Consolidated Subsidiaries

Expected Growth: None%

None

Unallocated OMG Expense, Net

Expected Growth: None%

None

Administrative, Transaction and Other Fees of Consolidated Funds Eliminated in Consolidation

Expected Growth: None%

None

Unallocated Performance Income of Consolidated Funds Eliminated In Consolidation

Expected Growth: None%

None

Unallocated Management Fees of Consolidated Funds Eliminated in Consolidation

Expected Growth: None%

None

7. Detailed Products

Direct Lending

Ares Management Corporation provides direct lending services, offering customized financing solutions to middle-market companies.

High Yield Bonds

Ares Management Corporation invests in high yield bonds, providing financing to companies with below-investment-grade credit ratings.

Leveraged Loans

Ares Management Corporation invests in leveraged loans, providing financing to companies with high levels of debt.

Private Equity

Ares Management Corporation provides private equity investments, taking an active role in guiding portfolio companies' growth and operations.

Real Assets

Ares Management Corporation invests in real assets, including infrastructure, real estate, and energy projects.

Credit Opportunities

Ares Management Corporation provides credit opportunities investments, focusing on distressed or undervalued debt securities.

8. Ares Management Corporation's Porter Forces

Forces Ranking

Threat Of Substitutes

Ares Management Corporation operates in a niche market with limited substitutes, but the threat of substitutes is still present due to the availability of alternative investment options.

Bargaining Power Of Customers

Ares Management Corporation's customers are primarily institutional investors, who have limited bargaining power due to the company's strong brand reputation and diversified investment offerings.

Bargaining Power Of Suppliers

Ares Management Corporation has a diversified supplier base, and the company's suppliers have limited bargaining power due to the availability of alternative suppliers.

Threat Of New Entrants

The threat of new entrants is low due to the high barriers to entry in the alternative investment management industry, including regulatory hurdles and the need for significant capital and expertise.

Intensity Of Rivalry

The alternative investment management industry is highly competitive, with many established players competing for market share and investor capital.

9. SWOT Analysis

10. Capital Structure

10.a. Balance Sheet

10.b. Weighted Average Cost of capital

Value
Debt Weight 89.27%
Debt Cost 6.28%
Equity Weight 10.73%
Equity Cost 9.84%
WACC 6.66%
Leverage 832.15%

11. Quality Control: Ares Management Corporation passed 3 out of 9 key points

12.a Historical Valuation

12.b Price/Earnings Ratio

12.c Margin Valuation

12.d Peers Valuation

Peers Group Analysis

Stock-Card
BNY Mellon

A-Score: 6.7/10

Value: 4.6

Growth: 6.4

Quality: 5.7

Yield: 5.0

Momentum: 9.0

Volatility: 9.7

1-Year Total Return ->

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BlackRock

A-Score: 5.7/10

Value: 2.2

Growth: 5.3

Quality: 7.9

Yield: 4.0

Momentum: 6.0

Volatility: 9.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Ameriprise Financial

A-Score: 5.7/10

Value: 4.4

Growth: 8.0

Quality: 7.6

Yield: 2.0

Momentum: 3.5

Volatility: 8.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Ares Management

A-Score: 4.8/10

Value: 1.1

Growth: 5.7

Quality: 5.5

Yield: 6.0

Momentum: 4.5

Volatility: 6.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Blackstone

A-Score: 4.8/10

Value: 0.3

Growth: 4.1

Quality: 7.4

Yield: 7.0

Momentum: 3.5

Volatility: 6.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
KKR

A-Score: 4.5/10

Value: 2.9

Growth: 6.6

Quality: 6.3

Yield: 2.0

Momentum: 3.5

Volatility: 5.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Peers Metrics

12.e Scoring Insights

12.f DCF BETA

Parameters

Short Term Growth

Short term Time

Long-Term Growth

WACC

Target Price

130.46$

Current Price

130.46$

Potential

-0.00%

Expected Cash-Flows