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1. Company Snapshot

1.a. Company Description

T-Mobile US, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides mobile communications services in the United States, Puerto Rico, and the United States Virgin Islands.The company offers voice, messaging, and data services to 108.7 million customers in the postpaid, prepaid, and wholesale markets.It also provides wireless devices, including smartphones, wearables, and tablets and other mobile communication devices, as well as wireless devices and accessories.


In addition, the company offers services, devices, and accessories under the T-Mobile and Metro by T-Mobile brands through its owned and operated retail stores, T-Mobile app and customer care channels, and its websites.It also sells its devices to dealers and other third-party distributors for resale through independent third-party retail outlets and various third-party websites.As of December 31, 2021, it operated approximately 102,000 macro cell and 41,000 small cell/distributed antenna system sites.


The company was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Bellevue, Washington.

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1.b. Last Insights on TMUS

T-Mobile US, Inc.'s recent performance was driven by solid demand for postpaid services, with Q4 revenues climbing to $24.33B and adding 2.4M net customers. The company's 5G network leadership and disruptive pricing strategy have fueled growth, with industry-leading postpaid growth and 9% service revenue growth reported in FQ3 2025. A "Moderate Buy" rating from analysts, with 18 buy ratings and 3 strong buy ratings, further supports the stock. Additionally, the company's $15.1B share buyback program and 5.5% dividend yield provide a total shareholder yield of 8.1%, outpacing peers.

1.c. Company Highlights

2. T-Mobile US, Inc. Delivers Strong Revenue Growth and Expands Differentiation

T-Mobile US, Inc. reported revenues of $20.3 billion, with a year-over-year growth rate of 4.3% below analysts' estimates. The company's EPS came out at $1.88, missing estimates of $2.05. Adjusted EBITDA was $9.3 billion, representing a margin of 45.8%. The company's postpaid net account additions were 261,000 in Q4, and postpaid ARPA growth was 2.7% year-over-year.

Publication Date: Feb -12

📋 Highlights
  • Revenue Growth & Shareholder Returns: T-Mobile grew service revenue four times faster than competitors and returned over $20 billion to shareholders, with $18–18.7 billion in adjusted free cash flow expected in 2026.
  • 5G Network Leadership: Its 5G stand-alone core provides a 3–4 year lead, with median download speeds twice competitors’ and 2.5 GHz spectrum covering 70% more area than C-band.
  • Customer Value Edge: Existing customers pay 12–15% less than AT&T/Verizon users, supported by a 50% reduction in forced calls and 39% of upgrades done unassisted via TLife.
  • Financial Guidance: Targets $77 billion in service revenue by 2026 (8% growth) and $80.5–81.5 billion in 2027, with adjusted EBITDA of $37–37.5 billion in 2026.
  • AI & Broadband Expansion: AI-driven initiatives saved $2.7 billion already, with $3 billion savings expected by 2027; aims for 15 million fixed wireless customers and 3–4 million fiber customers by 2030.

Operational Highlights

The company's operational performance was driven by its focus on network leadership, with median download speeds twice as much as its nearest competitors. T-Mobile US, Inc. has also made significant progress in reducing calls, with a 50% reduction, and is committed to expanding its lead in the market. The company's customer experience story is built on incredible people and an incredible culture, with a focus on solving customer problems and eliminating forced calls.

Growth Opportunities

T-Mobile US, Inc. sees significant growth opportunities in broadband, with its fixed wireless access (FWA) product gaining traction. The company expects to reach 15 million customers by 2030, with an additional 3-4 million customers coming from fiber. This will give the company a broadband business of 18-19 million customers, with significant upside potential. The company's growth strategy is focused on widening differentiation through its network, value, and experience.

Valuation

Using the given valuation metrics, we can see that T-Mobile US, Inc. has a P/E Ratio of 21.26, P/B Ratio of 3.95, and EV/EBITDA of 12.18. The company's ROE is 18.18%, indicating a strong return on equity. The Net Debt / EBITDA ratio is 3.93, suggesting a manageable debt burden. These metrics indicate that the company's stock price may be slightly high, but its growth prospects and strong financial performance justify the valuation.

Guidance and Outlook

T-Mobile US, Inc. expects to deliver $77 billion in service revenue in 2026, representing 8% top-line growth, and between $80.5 and $81.5 billion in 2027. The company anticipates strong postpaid net account growth, with expectations of 900,000 to 1 million postpaid net account additions in 2026. Adjusted EBITDA is expected to be between $37 and $37.5 billion in 2026, representing 10% reported growth.

3. NewsRoom

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T-Mobile Pairs iPhone 17e and iPad Air with Plans that Bring Built-in Value from Day One

Mar -02

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Nvidia's Quiet Bet On 6G

Mar -02

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T-Mobile countersues Verizon Wireless over alleged false ad promises

Mar -02

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First Look: Oil Jumps, Paramount-WBD Deal, Berkshire and Nvidia

Mar -02

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Bright Futures Wealth Management LLC. Takes $1.41 Million Position in T-Mobile US, Inc. $TMUS

Mar -02

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T-Mobile US, Inc. $TMUS Shares Sold by 111 Capital

Mar -02

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T-Mobile US (NASDAQ:TMUS) Director Sells $3,061,393.77 in Stock

Feb -28

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DNB Asset Management AS Raises Stake in T-Mobile US, Inc. $TMUS

Feb -27

4. Business Breakdown

4.a. Revenues by Country

4.b. Revenues by Segment

5. Expected revenues mid-term growth (4.00%)

6. Segments

Wireless Communications Carrier

Expected Growth: 4.0%

T-Mobile US, Inc.'s 4.0% growth is driven by increasing demand for 5G services, expanding customer base, and rising average revenue per user (ARPU). The company's aggressive network expansion and innovative offerings, such as unlimited data plans, have also contributed to its growth. Additionally, T-Mobile's merger with Sprint has enhanced its market position and competitiveness.

7. Detailed Products

Postpaid Wireless Services

T-Mobile offers postpaid wireless services, including voice, data, and text messaging plans, to individual and business customers, providing a range of data plans, international coverage, and features like streaming perks and device financing.

Prepaid Wireless Services

T-Mobile's prepaid wireless services offer customers a no-contract option for voice, data, and text messaging plans, with various data allowances and add-on features like international coverage and data rollover.

Home Internet Services

T-Mobile's home internet services provide fast, reliable internet access to customers at home, using wireless technology to deliver high-speed internet to areas where traditional wired internet services are not available or are unreliable.

Mobile Hotspot Services

T-Mobile's mobile hotspot services allow customers to access the internet from anywhere, using a mobile hotspot device or a smartphone, providing a secure and reliable connection for multiple devices.

Device Sales

T-Mobile sells a wide range of devices, including smartphones, tablets, smartwatches, and other wireless devices, from top manufacturers like Apple, Samsung, and Google.

TVision (Streaming Service)

TVision is T-Mobile's streaming service, offering live TV, on-demand content, and cloud DVR capabilities, providing an alternative to traditional cable or satellite TV services.

Magenta (Business Services)

T-Mobile's Magenta business services provide wireless solutions for businesses, including plans for voice, data, and text messaging, with features like mobile device management and security.

8. T-Mobile US, Inc.'s Porter Forces

Forces Ranking

Threat Of Substitutes

T-Mobile US, Inc. faces a moderate threat from substitutes as there are alternative wireless communication services such as satellite phones, internet-based communication services (e.g., Skype, WhatsApp), and other mobile virtual network operators (MVNOs). However, the convenience, widespread coverage, and reliability of traditional cellular services limit the appeal of substitutes.

Bargaining Power Of Customers

The bargaining power of T-Mobile's customers is relatively low due to the large number of customers and the low switching costs between wireless carriers. While customers can choose from several major carriers, the differences in service offerings and pricing plans often make it difficult for individual customers to negotiate better deals.

Bargaining Power Of Suppliers

T-Mobile US, Inc. has a large supplier base, including major equipment providers like Ericsson, Nokia, and Samsung. The company can negotiate favorable terms with its suppliers due to the large volume of purchases. Additionally, there are often multiple suppliers for similar components, which further reduces the bargaining power of individual suppliers.

Threat Of New Entrants

The threat of new entrants in the US wireless carrier market is relatively low due to high capital requirements for network infrastructure, spectrum acquisition costs, and the need for a large customer base to achieve economies of scale. These barriers make it difficult for new companies to enter the market and compete effectively.

Intensity Of Rivalry

The intensity of rivalry among wireless carriers in the US is high. The market is dominated by a few major players (Verizon, AT&T, T-Mobile, and Sprint), leading to aggressive competition in terms of pricing, service offerings, and marketing. This competition drives innovation but also puts pressure on profit margins.

9. SWOT Analysis

10. Capital Structure

10.a. Balance Sheet

10.b. Weighted Average Cost of capital

Value
Debt Weight 64.86%
Debt Cost 4.31%
Equity Weight 35.14%
Equity Cost 7.76%
WACC 5.52%
Leverage 184.55%

11. Quality Control: T-Mobile US, Inc. passed 5 out of 9 key points

12.a Historical Valuation

12.b Price/Earnings Ratio

12.c Margin Valuation

12.d Peers Valuation

Peers Group Analysis

Stock-Card
AT&T

A-Score: 7.0/10

Value: 7.5

Growth: 2.6

Quality: 5.5

Yield: 9.0

Momentum: 8.0

Volatility: 9.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Verizon

A-Score: 6.9/10

Value: 8.0

Growth: 3.1

Quality: 5.8

Yield: 10.0

Momentum: 4.5

Volatility: 10.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Comcast

A-Score: 6.1/10

Value: 8.6

Growth: 5.2

Quality: 6.6

Yield: 7.0

Momentum: 1.0

Volatility: 8.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Alphabet

A-Score: 5.8/10

Value: 1.0

Growth: 8.2

Quality: 8.2

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 10.0

Volatility: 7.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
T-Mobile US

A-Score: 5.2/10

Value: 4.5

Growth: 7.1

Quality: 5.8

Yield: 2.0

Momentum: 3.0

Volatility: 9.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Charter

A-Score: 4.6/10

Value: 8.1

Growth: 7.7

Quality: 5.3

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 1.0

Volatility: 5.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Peers Metrics

12.e Scoring Insights

12.f DCF BETA

Parameters

Short Term Growth

Short term Time

Long-Term Growth

WACC

Target Price

219.71$

Current Price

219.71$

Potential

-0.00%

Expected Cash-Flows