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1. Company Snapshot

1.a. Company Description

T-Mobile US, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides mobile communications services in the United States, Puerto Rico, and the United States Virgin Islands.The company offers voice, messaging, and data services to 108.7 million customers in the postpaid, prepaid, and wholesale markets.It also provides wireless devices, including smartphones, wearables, and tablets and other mobile communication devices, as well as wireless devices and accessories.


In addition, the company offers services, devices, and accessories under the T-Mobile and Metro by T-Mobile brands through its owned and operated retail stores, T-Mobile app and customer care channels, and its websites.It also sells its devices to dealers and other third-party distributors for resale through independent third-party retail outlets and various third-party websites.As of December 31, 2021, it operated approximately 102,000 macro cell and 41,000 small cell/distributed antenna system sites.


The company was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Bellevue, Washington.

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1.b. Last Insights on TMUS

T-Mobile US, Inc.'s recent performance was driven by strong Q2 earnings, beating estimates with rising revenues, record postpaid growth, and a raised 2025 outlook. The company's 5G network expansion, high-speed wireless broadband business, and postpaid phone additions fueled growth. Additionally, T-Mobile's solid backlog and demand for infrastructural solutions contributed to its performance.

1.c. Company Highlights

2. T-Mobile's Strong Q3 2025 Earnings: A Testament to its Network Leadership

T-Mobile reported a robust financial performance in Q3 2025, with actual EPS coming in at $2.59, beating estimates of $2.4. The company's postpaid service revenue grew 12% year-over-year, driven by its strong network leadership and customer-centric approach. Core adjusted EBITDA was up 6%, reflecting the company's ability to maintain its margin profile despite a competitive landscape. Revenue growth was also robust, setting the stage for a strong full-year performance. Analysts estimate next year's revenue growth at 6.9%, indicating a continued upward trajectory.

Publication Date: Oct -24

📋 Highlights
  • Leadership Transition: Mike Sievert steps down as CEO after 50+ quarters; Srini Gopalan assumes role with $1.2B UScellular synergy target by 2027.
  • Postpaid Growth: Records 1.0M postpaid phone net adds and 500K+ 5G broadband additions, raising full-year postpaid net adds guidance to 7.2–7.4M.
  • Financial Performance: Postpaid service revenue up 12% YoY; core adjusted EBITDA guidance raised to $33.7–33.9B, with $17.8–18B adjusted free cash flow projected.
  • Network Leadership: Median iPhone download speeds 90% faster than a key competitor, driven by denser site count and advanced 5G/6G innovations like AI-RAN.
  • Broadband Expansion: Targets 12M fiber home passes, leveraging 500K+ FWA net adds (22% YoY growth) and a dual FWA/fiber strategy for broadband dominance.

Operational Highlights

The company's operational performance was equally impressive, with over 1 million postpaid phone net additions and over 500,000 customer additions on 5G broadband. This growth was driven by T-Mobile's superior network, with Ookla data showing that its median download speeds on the new iPhone are nearly 90% faster than a benchmark competitor. The company's focus on digital transformation and customer acquisition strategies, including its T-Life app and eSIM technology, also contributed to its success.

Guidance and Outlook

T-Mobile raised its guidance for total postpaid net additions to 7.2-7.4 million and postpaid phone net additions to 3.3 million. Core adjusted EBITDA is expected to be $33.7-33.9 billion, with cash CapEx around $10 billion and adjusted free cash flow of $17.8-18 billion. The UScellular merger is expected to generate $1.2 billion in total OpEx and CapEx run rate synergies, with an accelerated timeline to realize these synergies within 2 years.

Valuation and Future Prospects

With a P/E Ratio of 20.47 and an EV/EBITDA of 11.13, T-Mobile's valuation appears reasonable given its growth prospects. The company's strong balance sheet and capabilities position it to maintain and extend its lead in the market for years to come. As Srini Gopalan takes over as CEO, investors will be watching to see how the company continues to execute on its strategy and drive long-term value creation. With a ROE of 19.42% and a Free Cash Flow Yield of 6.7%, T-Mobile appears well-positioned to deliver strong returns to shareholders.

3. NewsRoom

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T-Mobile Declares Quarterly Cash Dividend

00:10

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Meet Your New Magenta BFF: T-Mobile and Baby Three Release Limited-Edition Plush Collab

Dec -04

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T-Mobile to Host Q4 and Full Year 2025 Earnings Call on February 4, 2026

Dec -03

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Building An Income Portfolio? 3 Picks To Start With For An Average Yield Of 6%+

Dec -03

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T-Mobile US, Inc. to Present at the UBS Global Media and Communications Conference

Dec -02

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T-Mobile Launches Most Aggressive Black Friday Wireless Promotion

Nov -28

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Black Friday Sale for Income Investors: These Ultra-High-Yield Dividend Stocks Are Bargain Buys

Nov -28

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Market Today: Stocks Rally, Tesla Robotaxi and Nvidia Scrutiny

Nov -26

4. Business Breakdown

4.a. Revenues by Country

4.b. Revenues by Segment

5. Expected revenues mid-term growth (4.00%)

6. Segments

Wireless Communications Carrier

Expected Growth: 4.0%

T-Mobile US, Inc.'s 4.0% growth is driven by increasing demand for 5G services, expanding customer base, and rising average revenue per user (ARPU). The company's aggressive network expansion and innovative offerings, such as unlimited data plans, have also contributed to its growth. Additionally, T-Mobile's merger with Sprint has enhanced its market position and competitiveness.

7. Detailed Products

Postpaid Wireless Services

T-Mobile offers postpaid wireless services, including voice, data, and text messaging plans, to individual and business customers, providing a range of data plans, international coverage, and features like streaming perks and device financing.

Prepaid Wireless Services

T-Mobile's prepaid wireless services offer customers a no-contract option for voice, data, and text messaging plans, with various data allowances and add-on features like international coverage and data rollover.

Home Internet Services

T-Mobile's home internet services provide fast, reliable internet access to customers at home, using wireless technology to deliver high-speed internet to areas where traditional wired internet services are not available or are unreliable.

Mobile Hotspot Services

T-Mobile's mobile hotspot services allow customers to access the internet from anywhere, using a mobile hotspot device or a smartphone, providing a secure and reliable connection for multiple devices.

Device Sales

T-Mobile sells a wide range of devices, including smartphones, tablets, smartwatches, and other wireless devices, from top manufacturers like Apple, Samsung, and Google.

TVision (Streaming Service)

TVision is T-Mobile's streaming service, offering live TV, on-demand content, and cloud DVR capabilities, providing an alternative to traditional cable or satellite TV services.

Magenta (Business Services)

T-Mobile's Magenta business services provide wireless solutions for businesses, including plans for voice, data, and text messaging, with features like mobile device management and security.

8. T-Mobile US, Inc.'s Porter Forces

Forces Ranking

Threat Of Substitutes

T-Mobile US, Inc. faces a moderate threat from substitutes as there are alternative wireless communication services such as satellite phones, internet-based communication services (e.g., Skype, WhatsApp), and other mobile virtual network operators (MVNOs). However, the convenience, widespread coverage, and reliability of traditional cellular services limit the appeal of substitutes.

Bargaining Power Of Customers

The bargaining power of T-Mobile's customers is relatively low due to the large number of customers and the low switching costs between wireless carriers. While customers can choose from several major carriers, the differences in service offerings and pricing plans often make it difficult for individual customers to negotiate better deals.

Bargaining Power Of Suppliers

T-Mobile US, Inc. has a large supplier base, including major equipment providers like Ericsson, Nokia, and Samsung. The company can negotiate favorable terms with its suppliers due to the large volume of purchases. Additionally, there are often multiple suppliers for similar components, which further reduces the bargaining power of individual suppliers.

Threat Of New Entrants

The threat of new entrants in the US wireless carrier market is relatively low due to high capital requirements for network infrastructure, spectrum acquisition costs, and the need for a large customer base to achieve economies of scale. These barriers make it difficult for new companies to enter the market and compete effectively.

Intensity Of Rivalry

The intensity of rivalry among wireless carriers in the US is high. The market is dominated by a few major players (Verizon, AT&T, T-Mobile, and Sprint), leading to aggressive competition in terms of pricing, service offerings, and marketing. This competition drives innovation but also puts pressure on profit margins.

9. SWOT Analysis

10. Capital Structure

10.a. Balance Sheet

10.b. Weighted Average Cost of capital

Value
Debt Weight 64.86%
Debt Cost 4.31%
Equity Weight 35.14%
Equity Cost 7.76%
WACC 5.52%
Leverage 184.55%

11. Quality Control: T-Mobile US, Inc. passed 5 out of 9 key points

12.a Historical Valuation

12.b Price/Earnings Ratio

12.c Margin Valuation

12.d Peers Valuation

Peers Group Analysis

Stock-Card
AT&T

A-Score: 7.0/10

Value: 7.1

Growth: 2.6

Quality: 5.7

Yield: 9.0

Momentum: 8.5

Volatility: 9.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Verizon

A-Score: 6.9/10

Value: 7.0

Growth: 3.1

Quality: 5.5

Yield: 10.0

Momentum: 5.5

Volatility: 10.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Comcast

A-Score: 6.5/10

Value: 8.4

Growth: 5.2

Quality: 8.0

Yield: 7.0

Momentum: 1.5

Volatility: 8.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Alphabet

A-Score: 5.9/10

Value: 1.8

Growth: 8.3

Quality: 8.4

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 9.0

Volatility: 7.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
T-Mobile US

A-Score: 5.7/10

Value: 4.2

Growth: 7.1

Quality: 5.6

Yield: 2.0

Momentum: 6.5

Volatility: 9.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Charter

A-Score: 4.6/10

Value: 7.6

Growth: 7.8

Quality: 5.2

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 2.0

Volatility: 5.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Peers Metrics

12.e Scoring Insights

12.f DCF BETA

Parameters

Short Term Growth

Short term Time

Long-Term Growth

WACC

Target Price

208.01$

Current Price

208.01$

Potential

-0.00%

Expected Cash-Flows