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1. Company Snapshot

1.a. Company Description

Perseus Mining Limited explores, evaluates, develops, and mines for gold properties in West Africa.The company primarily holds interests in the Edikan gold mine project located in Ghana; and Sissingué and Yaoure gold projects located in Côte d'Ivoire.Perseus Mining Limited was incorporated in 2003 and is based in Subiaco, Australia.

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1.b. Last Insights on PRU

Perseus Mining Limited's recent performance was driven by robust growth in gold production, efficient cost management, and a significant rise in shareholder returns. The company's strong Q2 FY25 results, which included a 22% increase in profit to US$201M, were a key positive driver. Additionally, the company's decision to develop the CMA underground project at the Yaouré Gold Mine in Côte d'Ivoire, with a final investment decision taken in January 2025, is expected to contribute to future growth. Furthermore, the company's cash and bullion balance of US$704 million as of December 31, 2024, provides a solid financial foundation for future investments.

1.c. Company Highlights

2. Perseus Mining's Q2 FY '26 Earnings: Strong Operational Performance

Perseus Mining reported a strong quarterly performance with gold production reaching 88,888 ounces at an all-in site cost of USD 1,800 per ounce. The company's gold sales totaled 86,607 ounces sold at an average sale price of USD 3,437 per ounce, resulting in a robust cash margin of USD 1,637 per ounce. Notional cash flow for the quarter was USD 145 million, ending with a net cash and bullion of USD 755 million. Earnings per share (EPS) came in at 0.1679, slightly below the estimated 0.1705. Revenue growth is expected to be robust, with analysts estimating a 27.7% increase next year.

Publication Date: Feb -22

📋 Highlights
  • Operational Performance:: Achieved 88,888 ounces of gold production at $1,800/ounce, with a strong cash margin of $1,637/ounce and $145M notional cash flow.
  • Site-Specific Production:: Edikan surged 17% to 38,000 ounces; Sissingué rose 60% to 18,000 ounces, while Yaouré declined 42% to 32,000 ounces due to lower grades.
  • Balance Sheet Strength:: Secured $400M refinanced debt facility (+$100M accordion) and maintained $755M net cash/bullion, with hedging covering 11% of 3-year production.
  • Organic Growth Progress:: Nyanzaga on track for 2027 production (262M invested) and CMA underground targeting Q3 FY '27, with total capex increased to $181M due to remediation.
  • Regional Fiscal Impact:: Côte d’Ivoire introduced a 2% revenue royalty, raising all-in site cost guidance to $1,600–$1,760/ounce, while Ghana’s royalty remains at 5% plus 3% GSL.

Operational Highlights

The company's operational performance was mixed across its mines. Yaouré produced 32,000 ounces, down 42% on the previous quarter, due to lower mill head grade. In contrast, Edikan delivered a strong quarter with 38,000 ounces of gold produced, up 17% on the previous quarter. Sissingué complex produced 18,000 ounces, up nearly 60% on the September quarter. The Yaouré mine is now predominantly feeding from the pit, with stockpiled ore being phased out, and is expected to reflect the mineral reserve estimates with underground ore from CMA starting to be delivered in Q4.

Guidance and Outlook

Perseus Mining's gold production guidance for FY '26 remains unchanged at 400,000 to 440,000 ounces. However, the all-in site cost guidance range increased to USD 1,600-1,760 per ounce due to increased gold price assumptions and royalty costs. The company's balance sheet remains strong, with increased liquidity following the refinancing and upsizing of a new debt facility of USD 400 million plus a USD 100 million accordion option.

Valuation and Growth Prospects

With a P/E Ratio of 20.05 and an EV/EBITDA of 9.24, Perseus Mining's valuation appears reasonable considering its growth prospects. The company's organic growth projects, including Nyanzaga and CMA underground development, are progressing to plan. Nyanzaga remains on budget and schedule, with first gold anticipated in January 2027, and USD 262 million committed to date. The current valuation metrics suggest that the market has priced in some of the company's growth potential, but the expected revenue growth of 27.7% next year could provide further upside.

3. NewsRoom

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Feb -20

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Chariot Resources lands $1.425m strategic investment from China-based Greatpower

Feb -20

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Perseus lifts interim dividend as H1 profit hits US$185.5m and Nyanzaga reserves jump 73%

Feb -20

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Candel Therapeutics inks $100M funding agreement with RTW Investments, launches $100M public offering

Feb -19

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Half Year FY26 Results - Investor Webinar (corrected version)

Feb -04

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Quarterly Report Investor Webinar

Feb -04

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Bagoe Accident

Jan -16

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December 25 Quarterly Investor Webinar

Jan -06

4. Business Breakdown

4.a. Revenues by Country

4.b. Revenues by Segment

5. Expected revenues mid-term growth (0.83%)

6. Segments

Yaoure

Expected Growth: 0.8%

Yaoure's 0.8 growth driven by increasing gold prices, improved mining efficiency, and successful exploration activities. The mine's low-cost production and high-grade ore reserves also contribute to its growth. Additionally, Perseus Mining Limited's strong management team and strategic investments in West Africa support the segment's expansion.

Edikan

Expected Growth: 0.9%

Edikan's 0.9 growth driven by increased gold production, improved ore grades, and enhanced processing plant performance. Additionally, cost savings from operational efficiencies and favorable foreign exchange rates contribute to the growth. The mine's life extension and exploration success also support the growth momentum.

Sissingue

Expected Growth: 0.7%

Sissingue's 0.7 growth driven by increasing gold production, improved ore grades, and enhanced processing plant efficiency. Strong mining operations, favorable geology, and effective cost management also contribute to growth. Additionally, Perseus Mining's experienced management team and strategic investments in exploration and development support long-term growth prospects.

7. Detailed Products

Gold

Perseus Mining Limited is a gold producer that operates several gold mines in West Africa. The company's gold production is a significant contributor to its revenue.

Silver

As a by-product of gold mining, Perseus Mining Limited also produces silver, which is sold to industrial and jewelry manufacturers.

Copper

Perseus Mining Limited's gold mines also produce copper as a by-product, which is sold to manufacturers of electrical wiring and other copper products.

Exploration Services

Perseus Mining Limited offers exploration services to other mining companies, using its expertise and resources to identify and develop new mineral deposits.

Mining Services

Perseus Mining Limited provides mining services to other mining companies, including mine management, construction, and operations.

8. Perseus Mining Limited's Porter Forces

Forces Ranking

Threat Of Substitutes

The threat of substitutes for Perseus Mining Limited is medium due to the availability of alternative mining companies and the ease of switching costs for customers.

Bargaining Power Of Customers

The bargaining power of customers for Perseus Mining Limited is low due to the company's strong market position and the lack of buyer concentration.

Bargaining Power Of Suppliers

The bargaining power of suppliers for Perseus Mining Limited is medium due to the presence of multiple suppliers and the company's moderate dependence on them.

Threat Of New Entrants

The threat of new entrants for Perseus Mining Limited is high due to the attractiveness of the mining industry and the relatively low barriers to entry.

Intensity Of Rivalry

The intensity of rivalry for Perseus Mining Limited is high due to the presence of several established competitors and the high stakes involved in the mining industry.

9. SWOT Analysis

10. Capital Structure

10.a. Balance Sheet

10.b. Weighted Average Cost of capital

Value
Debt Weight 0.20%
Debt Cost 8.90%
Equity Weight 99.80%
Equity Cost 8.90%
WACC 8.90%
Leverage 0.20%

11. Quality Control: Perseus Mining Limited passed 8 out of 9 key points

12.a Historical Valuation

12.b Price/Earnings Ratio

12.c Margin Valuation

12.d Peers Valuation

Peers Group Analysis

Stock-Card
Lundin Gold

A-Score: 6.5/10

Value: 1.9

Growth: 9.1

Quality: 8.2

Yield: 6.0

Momentum: 10.0

Volatility: 4.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Perseus Mining

A-Score: 6.4/10

Value: 2.8

Growth: 6.4

Quality: 8.4

Yield: 1.7

Momentum: 9.5

Volatility: 9.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
OceanaGold

A-Score: 6.2/10

Value: 2.8

Growth: 6.9

Quality: 8.4

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 10.0

Volatility: 9.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Kinross Gold

A-Score: 6.0/10

Value: 3.8

Growth: 7.2

Quality: 8.1

Yield: 2.0

Momentum: 10.0

Volatility: 4.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Resolute Mining

A-Score: 5.0/10

Value: 1.6

Growth: 5.0

Quality: 7.1

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 9.5

Volatility: 7.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Karora Resources

A-Score: 4.2/10

Value: 1.7

Growth: 7.4

Quality: 6.2

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 6.5

Volatility: 3.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Peers Metrics

12.e Scoring Insights

12.f DCF BETA

Parameters

Short Term Growth

Short term Time

Long-Term Growth

WACC

Target Price

5.43$

Current Price

5.43$

Potential

-0.00%

Expected Cash-Flows