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1. Company Snapshot

1.a. Company Description

Five Point Holdings, LLC, through its subsidiary, Five Point Operating Company, LP, owns and develops mixed-use and planned communities in Orange County, Los Angeles County, and San Francisco County.The company operates in four segments: Valencia, San Francisco, Great Park, and Commercial.It sells residential and commercial land sites to homebuilders, commercial developers, and commercial buyers; operates and owns a commercial office, medical campus, and other properties; and provides development and property management services.


The company was formerly known as Newhall Holding Company, LLC and changed its name to Five Point Holdings, LLC in May 2016.Five Point Holdings, LLC was incorporated in 2009 and is headquartered in Irvine, California.

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1.b. Last Insights on FPH

Five Point Holdings, LLC faced challenges in recent months, with its Q3 2025 earnings call revealing potential headwinds. The company's profitability was questioned in a head-to-head comparison with Agile Property, sparking concerns about its financials. Furthermore, institutional investors like Third Avenue Management exited their positions in related companies, potentially signaling a loss of confidence. Although a share buyback wasn't mentioned, the lack of positive catalysts and scrutiny over profitability may have contributed to downward pressure. Analyst recommendations and valuation concerns may also be affecting sentiment.

1.c. Company Highlights

2. Five Point Holdings' 2025 Earnings: A Record Year Amidst Challenging Market Conditions

Five Point Holdings reported a net income of $58.7 million in Q4 2025, culminating in a record annual consolidated net income of $183.5 million, surpassing the previous record set in 2024. The company's EPS for the year was not explicitly stated, but the actual EPS came out at '-0.07' relative to estimates at '0.12'. The company's revenue growth for the next year is estimated to be -59.1%. The distributions and incentive compensation payments from the Great Park Venture significantly contributed to the company's financial performance, with $73.6 million received in Q4. The company's cash position stood at $425 million, with total liquidity reaching $643 million as of 2025 year-end.

Publication Date: Feb -06

📋 Highlights
  • Record Annual Net Income: 2025 consolidated net income reached $183.5 million, surpassing the 2024 record.
  • Major Land Sales Contributions: Generated $224 million from Valencia ($42.5M industrial) and Great Park ($181.5M residential homesites) in 2025.
  • Strong Liquidity Position: Ended 2025 with $425 million in cash and $643 million total liquidity, bolstered by $175 million in debt paydown since 2024.
  • Hearthstone Acquisition Impact: Added $3.4 billion in assets under management, contributing $11.8 million in management fees and $3.5 million net income in 2025.
  • 2026 Guidance: Targets $100 million net income, driven by 2026 land sales in Valencia (20 acres) and Great Park (50 acres), with earnings skewed toward H2.

Operational Highlights and Land Sales

During 2025, Five Point closed significant land sales in both Valencia and the Great Park, including an industrial land sale in Valencia for $42.5 million and three new home programs with 187 homesites at the Great Park for an aggregate base purchase price of $181.5 million. The company obtained critical entitlement approvals at both locations, enhancing near-term cash flows. As of 2025 year-end, the company had approximately 155 net acres of residential land remaining at the Great Park and 55 net acres of residential land, 11 net acres of retail land, and 13 net acres of industrial land available at Valencia.

Strategic Developments and Outlook

Five Point expects consolidated net income in 2026 to be approximately $100 million, with earnings weighted more heavily towards the second half of the year. The company is confident in its actions to strengthen its financial condition, having paid down a total of $175 million in debt since January 2024 and refinanced its senior notes, reducing annual interest expense by approximately $20 million. The acquisition of Hearthstone in Q3 2025 contributed $11.8 million of management fee revenue and $3.5 million of net income to Five Point's consolidated results in 2025. The company's guidance reflects a challenging housing market, and its strategy remains focused on discipline, aligning land sales with home absorption to protect value, manage risk, and position the business for normalized demand over time.

Valuation and Financial Metrics

With a P/E Ratio of 5.09 and a P/B Ratio of 0.43, the market appears to be pricing in a relatively conservative valuation for Five Point Holdings. The company's ROE stands at 8.87%, indicating a decent return on equity. The Net Debt / EBITDA ratio is -8.54, suggesting a healthy debt position. The Free Cash Flow Yield is 57.75%, indicating a significant generation of cash relative to the company's market value.

3. NewsRoom

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Five Point Holdings At Nearly Half Book Value Seems Illogical, Material Upside

Feb -27

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Five Point Holdings, LLC Announces New Hearthstone Residential Land Banking Investment Partnership With Blue Owl Managed Funds

Feb -10

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Five Point Holdings, LLC (FPH) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

Jan -30

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IRSA Inversiones Y Representaciones (NYSE:IRS) vs. Five Point (NYSE:FPH) Critical Review

Jan -07

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Analyzing IRSA Inversiones Y Representaciones (NYSE:IRS) & Five Point (NYSE:FPH)

Jan -04

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Agile Property (OTCMKTS:AGPYY) vs. Five Point (NYSE:FPH) Head to Head Comparison

Dec -12

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Third Avenue Management Exits Deutsche Bank AG, Impacting Portfolio by -6.22%

Nov -14

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Five Point Holdings, LLC (FPH) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

Oct -30

4. Business Breakdown

4.a. Revenues by Country

4.b. Revenues by Segment

5. Expected revenues mid-term growth (6.45%)

6. Segments

Great Park

Expected Growth: 6.37%

Great Park's 6.37% growth is driven by increasing demand for housing in Irvine, California, fueled by job growth, limited supply, and proximity to major employers. The master-planned community's amenities, schools, and outdoor spaces also attract families and young professionals, contributing to its growth.

Reconciling Items

Expected Growth: 7.05%

Five Point Holdings, LLC's 7.05% growth is driven by increasing demand for master-planned communities, strategic land acquisitions, and effective cost management. Additionally, the company's focus on high-growth markets, such as California and Florida, contributes to its growth. Furthermore, the company's ability to deliver high-quality homes and amenities, resulting in strong sales and revenue growth, also supports its growth momentum.

Valencia

Expected Growth: 4.65%

Valencia's 4.65% growth is driven by increasing demand for new homes in California, fueled by job growth, low unemployment, and limited housing supply. Additionally, Five Point Holdings' strategic land banking and entitlement process, as well as its focus on community development, contribute to the segment's growth.

Commercial

Expected Growth: 6.48%

Strong demand for residential and commercial properties in California, driven by job growth, limited housing supply, and favorable demographics. Five Point Holdings' strategic land holdings and entitlements in high-growth areas, such as San Francisco and Los Angeles, position the company for continued growth. Additionally, the company's focus on mixed-use development and master-planned communities enhances its growth potential.

San Francisco

Expected Growth: 4.65%

San Francisco's growth is driven by Five Point Holdings' strategic land acquisition and development in high-demand areas, coupled with the region's thriving tech industry, limited housing supply, and strong job market. Additionally, the city's desirability and proximity to Silicon Valley attract high-income earners, fueling demand for luxury housing and driving growth.

7. Detailed Products

New Home Sales

Five Point Holdings, LLC develops and sells new homes in master-planned communities, offering a range of residential products, including single-family homes, townhomes, and condominiums.

Land Development

The company acquires, develops, and sells land to homebuilders, providing a range of lot sizes and product types to meet the needs of various builders and buyers.

Commercial Development

Five Point Holdings, LLC develops and sells commercial properties, including retail, office, and industrial spaces, within its master-planned communities.

Resort and Hospitality

The company develops and operates resort-style amenities, including hotels, golf courses, and recreational facilities, within its master-planned communities.

Land Banking

Five Point Holdings, LLC acquires and holds land for future development, providing a strategic pipeline of opportunities for future growth.

8. Five Point Holdings, LLC's Porter Forces

Forces Ranking

Threat Of Substitutes

The threat of substitutes for Five Point Holdings, LLC is medium due to the availability of alternative land development companies and homebuilders in the market.

Bargaining Power Of Customers

The bargaining power of customers for Five Point Holdings, LLC is low due to the company's strong brand reputation and limited alternatives for customers.

Bargaining Power Of Suppliers

The bargaining power of suppliers for Five Point Holdings, LLC is medium due to the company's dependence on a few key suppliers for materials and services.

Threat Of New Entrants

The threat of new entrants for Five Point Holdings, LLC is high due to the relatively low barriers to entry in the land development and homebuilding industry.

Intensity Of Rivalry

The intensity of rivalry for Five Point Holdings, LLC is high due to the competitive nature of the land development and homebuilding industry, with many established players competing for market share.

9. SWOT Analysis

10. Capital Structure

10.a. Balance Sheet

10.b. Weighted Average Cost of capital

Value
Debt Weight 50.13%
Debt Cost 3.95%
Equity Weight 49.87%
Equity Cost 11.02%
WACC 7.47%
Leverage 100.52%

11. Quality Control: Five Point Holdings, LLC passed 4 out of 9 key points

12.a Historical Valuation

12.b Price/Earnings Ratio

12.c Margin Valuation

12.d Peers Valuation

Peers Group Analysis

Stock-Card
Ellington Financial

A-Score: 7.0/10

Value: 5.9

Growth: 2.4

Quality: 6.0

Yield: 10.0

Momentum: 7.5

Volatility: 10.0

1-Year Total Return ->

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Saul Centers

A-Score: 6.3/10

Value: 5.5

Growth: 3.6

Quality: 6.1

Yield: 10.0

Momentum: 3.0

Volatility: 9.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
CTO Realty Growth

A-Score: 6.3/10

Value: 5.9

Growth: 5.2

Quality: 3.6

Yield: 10.0

Momentum: 3.5

Volatility: 9.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Five Point Holdings

A-Score: 6.2/10

Value: 9.0

Growth: 7.0

Quality: 7.2

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 9.5

Volatility: 4.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
American Assets Trust

A-Score: 5.7/10

Value: 5.4

Growth: 4.3

Quality: 4.7

Yield: 10.0

Momentum: 2.0

Volatility: 8.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Belpointe PREP

A-Score: 4.0/10

Value: 7.8

Growth: 3.2

Quality: 3.0

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 2.5

Volatility: 7.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Peers Metrics

12.e Scoring Insights

12.f DCF BETA

Parameters

Short Term Growth

Short term Time

Long-Term Growth

WACC

Target Price

5.12$

Current Price

5.12$

Potential

-0.00%

Expected Cash-Flows